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Let's put some numbers on the 'Top Ten' Fraud List : How Many VOTES?

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BreakForNews Donating Member (241 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-03-05 06:51 PM
Original message
Let's put some numbers on the 'Top Ten' Fraud List : How Many VOTES?
Edited on Mon Jan-03-05 06:55 PM by BreakForNews
We now have a good Top Ten summary of all the Vote losses.

Ten preliminary reasons why the Bush vote does not compute,
and why Congress must investigate rather than certify the Electoral College (Part One of Two)
http://www.freepress.org/departments/display/19/2005/1065
by Bob Fitrakis, Steve Rosenfeld and Harvey Wasserman January 3, 2005

Can the DU number crunchers get to a definitive estimate of the
actual numbers of votes?. Expecially for Ohio.

From vote-suppression to tabulator interference, and all the other ways detailed.

Specifically how many votes can we "prove" on a legal basis:

1) How many votes affected?, where our proof is based on
"the balance of probabilities" - the basis of civil law suits.

2) How many votes affected?, where our proof is based on proof
"beyond all reasonable doubt" - the basis of criminal conviction.

Assume a "reasonable" judge in a civil or criminal court,
able to see our statistical arguments and also well able
to point out flaws or defects in our proofs.

This could give us the upper and lower limits of "provable" election fraud.
In particular we need the numbers for Ohio.
Then we can able to argue our case more strongly, I feel.

Also check out the pic below.
Gosh there were a LOT of Kerry supporters, after all. :)

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BreakForNews Donating Member (241 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-03-05 06:53 PM
Response to Original message
1. Here are the Top Ten Election Fraud Points.... simplified
Ten preliminary reasons why the Bush vote does not compute,
and why Congress must investigate rather
than certify the Electoral College (Part One of Two)
http://www.freepress.org/departments/display/19/2005/1065
by Bob Fitrakis, Steve Rosenfeld and Harvey Wasserman
January 3, 2005

EDITED for simplification.

1. More than 106,000 Ohio ballots remain uncounted.
This figure does not include thousands of people who did not vote, despite intending to do so in Ohio’s inner cities, due to a lack of voting machines, having no available ballots, intimidation, manipulation of registrations, denial of absentee ballots and other means of depriving American citizens of their rightful vote.

2. Most uncounted ballots come from regions and precincts where Kerry was strongest.
In Hamilton County, 4,515 ballots came from Cincinnati.
In Cuyahoga County, 4,708 ballots came from Cleveland.
In Summit County, 2,650 ballots came from Akron.

3. Of the 147,000 combined provisional and absentee ballots counted by hand after Election Day, Kerry received 54.46 percent of the vote. In the 10 largest Ohio counties, Kerry’s margin was 4.24 to 8.92 percent higher than in the certified results

4. Turnout inconsistencies reveal tens of thousands of Kerry votes were not simply recorded.
Most striking: cities won by Kerry were 10 percentage points or more lower than in the regions won by Bush.
From Kerry-majority precincts in Columbus he would have netted an additional 17,000 votes.

5. In Cleveland, Kerry would have netted an additional 22,000 votes.
Kerry is also thought to have lost 7,000 votes in Toledo this way.

6. Election Day reports of machines that switched votes for Kerry to votes for Bush.
There were three precincts in which minor third-party candidates received 86, 92 and 98 percent of the vote.
All reported errors favored Bush over Kerry.

7. In Miami County, two sets of results were submitted, increasing Bush’s total by exactly 16,000 votes.
Miami County’s turnout was up, but affidavits say voters that did not cast ballots.
In Warren County, Bush had an implausible pickup of almost 40,000 votes.
In Butler Country, Bush had a discrepancy of more than 40,000 votes.

8. Democratic voters were apparently targeted with provisional ballots.
The same is true with presumed liberal college and university students.
In Athens, 8.59 percent of student ballots were provisional.
At Kenyon College and Oberlin College, there were severe shortages of voting machines.
Provisional ballots were high at Wilberforce College.

9. Ohio's exit polls predicted a Kerry victory by percentages that exceeded their margin of error.
Similarly, in Florida, Pennsylvania, with odds as high as 150 million to one against.

10. The Ohio recount wasn’t random or comprehensive and may have involved serious illegalities.
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L. Coyote Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-03-05 07:17 PM
Response to Original message
2. New Developments on the Punch Card/Switched Vote front in Cuyahoga
In depth analysis in the last 24 hours has revealed that the arrangement of ballot combinations and precinct numbers was not random. For all the locations with 2 precincts and 2 ballot orders (25% of Cuyahoga, 2.5% of Ohio), there were more combinations with collocated Kerry and Bush positions in the ballot order. Collocated positions switch Kerry votes to Bush votes when precinct cross-voting happens.

The net effect of this non-random distribution of ballot orders was to alter the probability of a cross-vote going from Kerry to Bush from the random 0.250 to 0.31250. This is but one example of similar findings in the last 24 hours. Check out the Web site with all the details. The site is updating regularly as the study continues.

Of course, these are precincts with over 70% Kerry support (after vote-switching), so Bush really robbed Kerry here!

There is no explanation as yet for how this was arranged to favor Bush, but the pattern is there. It's not smoke, it's FIRE!
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