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Edited on Wed May-17-06 02:06 PM by Divernan
Dems have won the last three special elections for the PA House and that IS significant because both parties put a lot of effort into getting out the vote (GOTV). I was heavily involved in the last special election here - just last month. I also worked very hard on our primary,including spending the whole (rainy)day outside the polling places (AHHHHHHHCHOOOO!) The elections were qualitatively different.
For the majority of voters in either party, their main interests were Gov. & US Senate, followed at some distance by their respective Congressional races & the Lt. Gov. race ----- unless, and this is a big unless, their incumbent state representative and/or state senator had voted for the pay raise and was up for reelection AND had a primary opponent. As to Gov. and Senate, for both Ds and Rs, their favorite was either unopposed, or the opponent was running behind 5 to 1, with no prayer of winning. So many people stayed home who will definitely be voting in the fall. As to Lt. Gov., most voters could care less, and had no knowledge of the incumbent's opposition. And as to U.S. Congress, even after 5 mailings, many people coming in to vote were not clear on who was running for the Dem slot and the incumbent R had no opposition. Then you throw in the rotten rainy weather the whole day, and the fact that many of our senior citizens were afraid of looking foolish if they couldn't figure out the new touchscreen machines, and the turnout was low and skewed by the state house and senate fights.
In other words, only what we call the "super voters", i.e, the people identified as coming to the polls for every single election, no matter the weather, showed up, plus those motivated by continuing anger over the pay raises the state legislature voted for themselves in the dead of night (and since were forced to rescind). And I would say that anger was directed at both Dems and Reps in a "pox upon both their houses" attitude of the voters.
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