Edwards takes lead in InsiderAdvantage Iowa poll - SPR

[rndmprsn]

http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/storylink_1218_89.aspx


John Edwards has leapfrogged over his rivals Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, and leads the Democratic field in Iowa, according to the latest InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion poll. In the Republican caucus race, Mike Huckabee continues to hold a narrow lead over Mitt Romney.

The race among the three top Democrats is extremely close, with the potential for any of them to finish first – or third.

Edwards leads with 30 percent in a poll of Democratic voters who said they intend to participate in the Jan. 3 presidential caucuses, followed by Clinton with 26 percent and Obama with 24 percent. When the sample was narrowed to the most likely caucus-goers, based on several questions, Obama leads Edwards by less than a percentage point with 27 percent, with Clinton in third place at 24 percent.



Edwards holds a significant advantage, however, among a group who could be key to the first contest of the presidential year: those who say their first choice is someone other than the top three. Under Iowa Democratic Party rules, candidates who poll less than 15 percent in the first vote at each caucus around the state are eliminated, and their supporters get a second chance to vote for another candidate.

Under both screens, Edwards leads as the second choice of these voters, with Clinton trailing Obama.

“If Edwards is the second choice at this stage of those who intend to vote for other Democrats, then it would not be surprising if he produced a bit of a shock in Iowa,” said InsiderAdvantage CEO Matt Towery.

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wha'dya think about that?

[LSparkle]

1. Shock and awe in Iowa!

Go, Edwards!!!

[SammyWinstonJack]

2. YES!

:bounce:

[BlueManDude]

3. Everyone is just sick of the Clinton/Obama soap opera.

[SammyWinstonJack]

7. I am!

:argh:

[nradisic]

4. Yes!Yes!Yes!

Iowans are very much attracted by Edwards' populist, straight forward, honest, anti-corporate message. This could be awesome!!!

[nradisic]

5. Yes!Yes!Yes!

Iowans are very much attracted by Edwards' populist, straight forward, honest, anti-corporate message. This could be awesome!!!

[petersjo02]

6. I think I participated in this poll

Got a call yesterday asking questions that lead me to believe it was this poll. And yes, I'm caucusing for Edwards

[SammyWinstonJack]

12. ....

:thumbsup: Thank you!

[caligirl]

17. This mom of two college kids, one a diabetic, thanks you.

O8) O8) O8) O8) O8) O8) O8) O8)

[bobbolink]

20. May I add my thanks to you! Wish I could be there to canvas....

How does it look on the street, and at the watercooler?

[LaPera]

8. There is no doubt in my mind John Edwards will win Iowa.

[SammyWinstonJack]

16. Oh my, I so hope you are right! Please, Please, Please!

:bounce:

[frogmarch]

9. If Edwards got more media coverage

and more people heard his message, he'd be a shoe-in for sure.

[EVDebs]

10. Newsweek: The Sleeper !

M$M is now in full-blown CYA mode now that the handwriting is on the wall. Now they have to appear, after weeks of ignoring Edwards with Obama/HRC 'coverage', to be impartial. They still want HRC but can't stop the inevitable surge for Edward's progressive ideas...which don't include pandering to media corporations.

[frogmarch]

11. Woot! Thanks for posting that! nt

[EVDebs]

13. Anytime ! Onward and upward with Edwards !

[caligirl]

14. Happy nfeet happy feet I am screaming happy happy happy!!!!

:bounce: :bounce: :bounce: :bounce: :bounce: :bounce: :bounce: :bounce: :bounce: :bounce: :bounce: :bounce: :toast: :toast: :toast: :toast: :toast: :toast: :toast: :toast: :toast: :toast: :toast: :hi: :hi: :hi: :hi: :hi: :hi: :hi: :hi: :hi: :hi: :hi: :hi: :hi: :hi: :hi: :hi: :hi: :hi: :hi: :hi: :hi: :hi:

[AmBlue]

18. let me just say....

I KNEW this was gonna happen....

:party: :toast: :bounce: :party: :toast: :bounce: :party: :toast: :bounce: :party: :toast: :bounce: :party: :toast: :bounce: :party: :toast: :bounce: :party: :toast: :party: :toast: :bounce: :party: :toast: :party: :toast: :bounce: :party: :toast: :bounce: :party: :toast: :bounce: :party: :toast: :bounce: :party: :toast: :bounce:

[caligirl]

19. Love your art work, your more skilled with this I see.

[BuyingThyme]

15. He's getting the southern Huckabee coattails.

[rndmprsn]

21. kick...for edwards!