How a 2012 Senate race between Bill Nelson & Jeb Bush in FL might play out (PPP Poll)

[WI_DEM]

Florida 2012

Our newest survey, looking ahead to the 2012 Senate race in Florida, finds that an epic contest between Bill Nelson and Jeb Bush would be closely fought. Nelson leads Bush 46-44 in such a match up.

Nelson has pretty solid approval numbers for a Democrat in this political climate, with 39% of voters giving him good marks to 33% disapproving. He's doing well on two key measures: independents approve of him 39/34, and there are more Republicans (21%) who like the job he's doing than there are Democrats (18%) who don't.

Bush's favorability numbers are pretty solid as well, an indication that the Bush brand or at least the non-George W. Bush brand, is not completely destroyed. 45% of voters have a favorable opinion of him while 42% see him unfavorably. His numbers are extremely polarized along party lines with 78% of Republicans seeing him positively and 72% of Democrats seeing him negatively. Independents split almost evenly, 41/40 toward a favorable view of Bush.

A head to head match up between Nelson and Bush shapes up as a contest where both candidates would already have their parties pretty much completely locked up and independents would hold the balance of power in this closely divided state. Bush has an 83-10 advantage with Republicans while Nelson has an 81-10 lead with Democrats. Nelson holds the overall lead thanks to a 49-36 edge with independents.

http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/

[msongs]

1. is this another repub-lite vs repub race or is there a real dem available lol nt

[WI_DEM]

3. chances are that Nelson will be the nominee. Bush needs to be stopped

or else we could be looking at a third Bush in the White House.

[Bitwit1234]

2. But the poll doesn't take in all the "dirty tricks" Jeb Bush and his

cohorts such as Rove would do to win..and when I say win I mean APPOINTED OR STEAL.

[Perky]

4. This poll also does not take int account massive turnout in a Presidential election

Jeb has a cap on his uspport because of the Bush Brand