Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

DCCC internal polls for individual races

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » General Discussion: Presidency Donate to DU
 
KingFlorez Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-07-10 01:02 PM
Original message
DCCC internal polls for individual races
Democrats hadn't been releasing internal polling, which suggested problems, so it's a good sign when some internals are released. Granted, party internals show a better picture, I do think these are somewhat close to how things are.

http://dccc.org/blog/archives/house_democrats_races_district_by_district/

DCCC Independent Expenditure Polls

Arcuri Leading Hanna by 13 in NY-24 Poll
A new Benenson Strategy Group poll shows Representative Mike Arcuri leading Republican challenger Richard Hanna by 13 percent. In the initial head-to-head, Arcuri leads Hanna 50 to 37 percent. Conducted August 29-31, the poll surveyed 400 likely voters and has a 4.9 percent margin of error.

Bright Leading Roby by 9 in AL-02 Poll
A new Greenberg Quinlan Rosner poll shows Representative Bobby Bright leading Republican challenger Martha Roby by 9 percent. In the initial head-to-head in the race for Alabama’s 2nd congressional district, Bright leads Roby 52 to 43 percent. Conducted August 23-26, the poll surveyed 400 likely voters and has a 4.9 percent margin of error.

Herseth Sandlin Leading Noem in SD-AL Poll
A new Anzalone Liszt Research poll shows Representative Stephanie Herseth Sandlin leading Republican challenger Kristi Noem by 9 percent in a two-way match up and by 11 percent in a three-way match up. In the initial head-to-head, Herseth Sandlin leads Noem 50 to 41 percent. When including independent candidate B. Thomas Marking, Herseth Sandlin’s lead expands to 50 percent to 39 percent with Marking receiving 4 percent. Conducted August 31-September 2, the poll surveyed 400 likely voters and has a 4.9 percent margin of error.

Kissell Leading Johnson by 12 in NC-08 Poll
A new Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research poll shows Representative Larry Kissell leading Republican challenger Harold Johnson by 12 percent. In the initial head-to-head in the race for North Carolina’s 8th congressional district, Kissell leads Johnson 48 to 36 percent. Libertarian Thomas Hill received 6 percent. Conducted August 25-29, the poll surveyed 400 likely voters and has a 4.9 percent margin of error.

Perriello Tied in VA-05 Poll
A new Global Strategy Group poll that shows Representative Tom Perriello is statistically tied with Republican candidate, Virginia State Senator Robert Hurt. In the initial head-to-head in the race for Virginia’s 5th congressional district, Perriello is within the margin of error against Hurt, 42 to 44 percent. Clark received 6 percent. Conducted August 24-26 , the poll surveyed 400 likely voters and has a 4.9 percent margin of error.

Campaign Polls

Adler Leading Runyan by 17 in NJ-03 Poll
A recent poll from Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research shows Representative John Adler leading Republican challenger Jon Runyan by 17 percent. Adler leads Runyan 51 percent to 34 percent. The poll was conducted in late June.

Altmire Leading Rothfus by 27 in PA-04 Poll
A new poll from Anzalone Liszt Research shows Representative Jason Altmire leading Republican challenger Keith Rothfus by 27 percent. Altmire leads Rothfus 51 percent to 24 percent. Conducted August 30-September 2, the poll surveyed 400 likely voters.

Boucher Leading Griffith by 23 in VA-09 Poll
A recent poll from Benenson Strategy Group shows Representative Rick Boucher leading Republican challenger Morgan Griffith by 23 percent. Boucher leads Griffith 55 percent to 32 percent. Conducted August 18-22, the poll surveyed 400 likely voters and has a 4.9 margin of error.

Childers Leading Nunnelee by 5 in MS-01 Poll
A new Anzalone Liszt Research poll shows Representative Travis Childers leading Republican challenger Alan Nunnelee by 5 percent. Childers leads Nunnelee 46 percent to 41 percent. Conducted August 30-September 1, the poll surveyed 400 likely voters and has a 4.9 percent margin of error.

Causey Tied With Crawford in AR-01 Poll
A recent poll from Garin-Hart-Yang Research shows Chad Causey statistically tied with Republican candidate Rick Crawford.

Seals Leads Dold by 13 in IL-10 Poll
A new Anzalone Liszt Research poll shows Democrat Dan Seals leading Republican Robert Dold by 13 percent. Seals leads Dold 49 percent to 36 percent, a slightly bigger margin than Seals’ 46-38 lead in May. Conducted August 30-September 2, the poll surveyed 500 likely voters and has a 4.4 percent margin of error.

Schrader Leading Bruun by 11 in OR-05 Poll
A recent Lake Research Partners poll shows Representative Kurt Schrader leading Republican Scott Bruun by 11 percent. In the initial head-to-head in the race, Schrader leads Bruun 46 percent to 35 percent. Conducted July 21-25, the poll surveyed 400 likely voters and has a 4.9 margin of error.

Shuler Leading Miller by 17 in NC-11 Poll
A recent Anzalone Liszt Research poll shows Representative Heath Shuler leading Republican challenger Jeff Miller by 17 percent. Shuler leads Miller 51 percent to 34 percent. Conducted July 8-13, the poll surveyed 500 likely voters and has a 4.4 margin of error.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
bluestateguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-07-10 01:09 PM
Response to Original message
1. It's all about turnout
We get our people to the polls, the House holds. If not, the House falls.

I would actually forget about independent voters this election cycle and just focus for the rest of the time on Democrats and liberals.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Lost4words Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-07-10 01:18 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. why start now?
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
zipplewrath Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-07-10 01:29 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. 'Cause they need our votes
They can go back to calling us names after the election.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Lost4words Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-07-10 01:41 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. !
:hi:
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
27inCali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-07-10 04:05 PM
Response to Reply #4
8. fuck that rat.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
emulatorloo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-07-10 04:38 PM
Response to Reply #4
10. Self-Delete
Edited on Tue Sep-07-10 04:39 PM by emulatorloo
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
gkhouston Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-07-10 06:25 PM
Response to Reply #1
12. Liberals are no longer considered Democrats? Riiiiight.
And I don't see any reason to concede independents to the Republicans, especially since teabaggers won some primaries. Independents aren't likely to be comfortable about voting for whackadoodles if they know the R candidate is a whackadoodle.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Dawson Leery Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-07-10 01:18 PM
Response to Original message
2. Perriello and Childers are most likely gone.
Seeing that their seats are in very red areas. There are a few gains for the Democrats too.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Recursion Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-07-10 01:57 PM
Response to Reply #2
6. MS house seats are stubbornly blue
The only time MS went majority-red for the House (since Reconstruction, at least) was 1998. Every other year they've been majority-red or tied. And this is north Mississippi (or, all of north Mississippi except Starkville, since no way would they share a district with Oxford), which is where the tech- and casino- money went, and with it the people from out of state.

Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Dawson Leery Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-07-10 06:20 PM
Response to Reply #6
11. Then there is another reason for optimism.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Recursion Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-07-10 01:58 PM
Response to Original message
7. This shows the problem with "generic ballot" analysis
There are no "generic" races, and incumbents have several big advantages. That is good news for the party in the majority.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
craigmatic Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-07-10 04:08 PM
Response to Original message
9. In all reality these rpeubs can't win all the toss ups. This gives me some hope.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
DU AdBot (1000+ posts) Click to send private message to this author Click to view 
this author's profile Click to add 
this author to your buddy list Click to add 
this author to your Ignore list Tue Apr 30th 2024, 07:30 AM
Response to Original message
Advertisements [?]
 Top

Home » Discuss » General Discussion: Presidency Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC