New Time/CNN Poll: PA Senate: Sestak within five with likely voters/ tied among reg. voters

[book_worm]

1/1a. If the election for U.S. Senate were held today and the candidates were Joe Sestak, the Democrat and
Pat Toomey, the Republican, who would you be more likely to vote for -- (IF UNSURE:) As of today,
who do you lean more toward? (RANDOM ORDER)
Other/Neither No
Sestak Toomey (vol.) Opinion
Likely Voters
Sept. 17-21, 2010 44% 49% 4% 3%
Registered Voters
Sept. 17-21, 2010 45% 45% 5% 5%

http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2010/images/09/22/topstate3.pdf

[Ramulux]

1. Very nice

If we can keep this seat along with California, Washington, Delaware and Colorado the senate is going to be in pretty good shape come next year.

[Ken Burch]

2. Good news.

n/t.

[Cirque du So-What]

3. If anybody bothered to ask me

the polls would show another registered voter who intends to cast his ballot for Joe Sestak. Thing is, (R)assmussen & their ilk don't bother asking me!

[blue neen]

4. Good news.

The voters in PA must be starting to realize what an extremist Pat Toomey really is.

[w4rma]

5. Striking distance! Will the DNC and DSCC help fund his campaign? (nt)

[karynnj]

23. I think they have for some time

In addition, people like Kerry have solicited money for him and is doing a fundraiser with Teresa at her PA home.

[AtomicKitten]

6. He just might be a contender. nt

[saltpoint]

7. Toomey's own polling must indicate that Joe is a formidable

opponent and that things are likely a lot closer than the public polling suggests.

I'm rootin' for Joe.

[Dawson Leery]

10. How do you know this?

Had Toomey released any polls showing himself in trouble? I doubt he would?

[saltpoint]

11. There's nothing that escapes my notice,

Dawson. Nothing. I know who killed John Kennedy in Dallas. I know where Amelia's plane went down.

Don't question me.

I also know the secret ingredients in Kentucky Fried Chicken.

[COLGATE4]

18. Shhhh. Don't let them know about the Illuminati either...

[wisteria]

8. I would very much like to be proven wrong about Sestak and see him win.

Mr. Toomey is going to be bad news for PA.

[Dawson Leery]

9. GOTV!

[scheming daemons]

12. Send the Big Dawg to a different PA district every other day

Clinton is very popular in most of PA.


In 6 weeks, he can hit all parts of the state.


He should be joined at Sestak's hip as Sestak goes around the state.



That will be enough to win the seat.

[Dawson Leery]

15. +1

[Aramchek]

13. The Teabaggers will fall together, if we don't let up on shining a light on them

[mvd]

14. There have been good ads run against Toomey lately

Seems it is making a difference - great news! As a PA resident, I can't imagine Toomey winning. Santorum was rejected finally, and Toomey is as bad.

[Dawson Leery]

16. Seeing that you are from Southeast Pennsylvania

a Democratic stronghold in national elections, what has to be done to solidify Sestak's share of the vote?

[old mark]

17. This is how Sestak's campaign against Specter went , too...

Specter startd with a good lead, Sestak's ad campaign started and he toured the state personally meeting and speaking to the people. In the primary, Sestak won every county in the state but 3. I believe we will win the Senate seat, and I also believe we have a good chance of winning the governorship, too.

mark

[Unvanguard]

21. Primaries are more flexible. The key to that race was name recognition.

All Sestak had to do was increase public familiarity with him, and Pennsylvania Democrats were willing to replace a former Republican with a genuine Democrat.

This election, on the other hand, is mostly determined by the underlying distribution of party loyalty in Pennsylvania, coupled with the attitudes of voters toward the Democratic Congress. These are not things Sestak can alter. Democrats are behind across Pennsylvania. The one opportunity he might have is to successfully paint Toomey as the right-wing extremist he is.

[jn2375]

22. check out this hard hitting Sestak ad against Toomey

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0W8wtetVPZA&feature=player_embedded

[RBInMaine]

19. Now it is time to kick it into high gear and start BASHING that asshole Toomey !

[Unvanguard]

20. It's kind of sad when a good poll for Sestak still has him five points behind.

Damn "enthusiasm gap."

[karynnj]

24. That's if you believe the enthusiasm gap

teh "good news" when looking at the enthusiasm gap is that the Republicans results are MODELED to be the best any party can do - and the Democrats is modeled as apathetic. This means that we have the power - working on our own people to make the results like the registered voter results. We just need to get people to vote. Meanwhile, the Republicans NEED to actually achieve the high results that are modeled in.

[Unvanguard]

25. The enthusiasm gap is not exogenous to the polling.

They ask, "Are you likely to vote this November?", and they poll people who say "yes."

[karynnj]

26. Yes, I know that - but that CAN change as the election comes closer

My point is that our fate rests on something that we can more easily affect than it often is. I am not saying it will happen - or that this is not the current situation, but we have the ability to speak to Democrats and correct many misconceptions and get the vote out.

[Unvanguard]

27. We're on the same page in that respect. We can do a lot better if we address the enthusiasm gap.

And it should shrink as November approaches anyway.