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GOP Primary - Romney/Perry breakdown to mirror general election patterns?

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LetTimmySmoke Donating Member (970 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-23-11 03:16 AM
Original message
GOP Primary - Romney/Perry breakdown to mirror general election patterns?
With the exception of Utah, Romney is generally going to win the Bluer states and Perry is generally going to win in Redder states, especially in the deep south and grain belt. It would be interesting to see how the GOP faithful in red states would react to Romney carrying the nomination largely on blue states plus Utah and Idaho.

Unlike the Dems, the GOP does a winner-take-all system in their primaries.
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Owlet Donating Member (765 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-23-11 04:57 AM
Response to Original message
1. That used to be the case..
...."Unlike the Dems, the GOP does a winner-take-all system in their primaries..."

but, as I understand it, there've been some rule changes for the 2012 primaries:

"The committee's major rule change is over the way some states will have to award convention delegates, which will affect the way candidates organize and campaign in 2012. 
States that hold their nominating contests during the month of March now must award delegates proportionally, similar to the way Democrats award convention delegates. If states want to wait until April, then they are permitted to hold so-called 'winner take all' contests, which award all of the state's convention delegates to the primary winner." new-presidential-primary-rules-will-alter-2012-contest

Here are the states that would likely be impacted by the rule change:

January 31st: Florida (Likely to change)
February 6th: Iowa caucuses
February 7th: Minnesota GOP caucuses, Missouri, New Jersey
February 14th: New Hampshire
February 18th: Nevada caucuses
February 21st: Wisconsin
February 28th: South Carolina, Arizona, Michigan
March 6th (Super Tuesday): Massachusetts, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, Colorado caucuses, Idaho GOP caucuses, Minnesota Democratic caucuses
March 11th: Maine Democratic caucuses
March 13th: Alabama, Mississippi, Hawaii GOP caucuses, Utah Democratic caucuses
March 20th: Illinois
March 24th: Louisiana
2012-republican-primary-schedule
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LetTimmySmoke Donating Member (970 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-23-11 04:22 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. Oh damn. I wonder what the real reason for the change is.
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