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Sun Dec 24, 2017, 11:13 AM

23 Democratic Party Senate seats up for re-election in 2018, but only 8 Repub seats. Yikes.

Much is made of the 2018 re-election, but I was shocked to see that 23 Dem seats are up for grabs in 2018, and 2 independents, while only 8 Repub seats are.

Even in a Democratic Party favored year, those are some really tough odds to overcome. Are we making too much of the favored status for 2018? Of course Dems should fight for all those seats, no matter what. But I had thought the seats up for grabs was more equal.

All the House of Rep seats are up for re-election in 2018, I believe, which gives the Dems some leverage, IMO.

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Reply 23 Democratic Party Senate seats up for re-election in 2018, but only 8 Repub seats. Yikes. (Original post)
Honeycombe8 Dec 2017 OP
bearsfootball516 Dec 2017 #1
crazycatlady Dec 2017 #4
Blue_true Dec 2017 #7
Blue_true Dec 2017 #6
Honeycombe8 Dec 2017 #8
CrispyQ Dec 2017 #2
Honeycombe8 Dec 2017 #9
a kennedy Dec 2017 #3
AlexSFCA Dec 2017 #5
Honeycombe8 Dec 2017 #10

Response to Honeycombe8 (Original post)

Sun Dec 24, 2017, 11:19 AM

1. Dems likely retake House while Repubs maintain control in the Senate is the most likely outcome

But as we saw in Alabama, anything is possible. If we can take a seat in Arizona and Nevada and hold all of our seats, that's 51. But that means holding some tough seats, like Donnelly in Indiana.

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Response to bearsfootball516 (Reply #1)

Sun Dec 24, 2017, 11:37 AM

4. There may be both AZ senate seats up this year

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Response to crazycatlady (Reply #4)

Sun Dec 24, 2017, 02:29 PM

7. True.

And if Mexican Americans in Arizona show up to vote, we could take both. Unfortunately Mexican Americans in Arizona have a weak voting record. African Americans are not a big group in Arizona, maybe 5% of the population, so they can't provide a base for our candidates there.

We can also pick up Heller's seat in Nevada if we are organized.

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Response to bearsfootball516 (Reply #1)

Sun Dec 24, 2017, 02:21 PM

6. Donnelly's chance of holding his seat improved by the day.

Indiana is one of the state's that is being hurt by Trump actions so far and 2018 should be worse for that state. Donnelley just need to challenge republican lies about him and not let them grow.

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Response to bearsfootball516 (Reply #1)

Sun Dec 24, 2017, 08:52 PM

8. Really? Well, taking the House would be something, and increasing our position in the Senate...

is better than not.

You're so knowledgeable on this!

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Response to Honeycombe8 (Original post)

Sun Dec 24, 2017, 11:22 AM

2. "Are we making too much of the favored status for 2018?"

Yes.

This would be a hard battle if we had a fair system, but our electoral process is horribly compromised & little has been done to fix it. We also have an unstable man at the helm. Don't underestimate what the Con is willing to do to keep control of Congress.

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Response to CrispyQ (Reply #2)

Sun Dec 24, 2017, 08:53 PM

9. Well, yes. That's a real possibility. And why the Repubs have taken no action.

They are willing to let the Russians in our government, as long as they win the seats.

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Response to Honeycombe8 (Original post)

Sun Dec 24, 2017, 11:33 AM

3. Ive heard on faux noise that the Dems could take the House, but not the Senate....

thought thatís something coming from them.....

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Response to Honeycombe8 (Original post)

Sun Dec 24, 2017, 01:59 PM

5. I still think its easier for dems to take the senate

simply because senate races are always statewide where gerrymandering plays no role. All senate races depend exclusively on the turnout as we recently saw in Alabama. 100M eligible folks did not vote in 2016. There is no such thing as red or blue state, it all depends on the turnout. I beleive the enthusiasm will be on democratic side in 2018.

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Response to AlexSFCA (Reply #5)

Sun Dec 24, 2017, 08:54 PM

10. Good point. nt

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