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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsTrump Impeachment Odds in 2018 Predict President May Not Finish His First Term
BY SAM SCHWARZ ON 1/1/18 AT 10:34 AM
President Donald Trump may not want to look at betting odds on his impeachment if he wants to get 2018 off to a positive start. The odds would likely leave the president on the brink of his first tweetstorm of the new year.
Related: Support for Donald Trump's impeachment is higher than his re-election chances
The Ireland-based gambling website Paddy Power thinks it's highly unlikely Trump lasts his first term in office without being impeached. The odds are currently 4-7 that the president is impeached before Inauguration Day 2021. To put that in perspective, oddsmakers at Paddy Power think it's nearly twice as likely Trump will be impeached as it is that he will serve four years in office.
Paddy Power has additional ominous betting odds for the White House. Of the three years Trump has remaining in his presidency, the betting site has impeachment most likely in 2018. The odds that Trump is impeached in 2018 are nearly even at 5-4. For a sitting president, that doesn't paint a particularly rosy picture. The odds get exponentially better for Trump if he emerges from 2018 unscathed, as the site puts the odds at 7-1 that Trump is impeached in 2019 and 50-1 in 2020.
If the president wants slightly more optimistic odds, he should look to PredictIt, a New Zealandbased prediction market that allows betting on major political events around the globe. On the topic of Trump being impeached in his first term, the market is a bit more bullish on the president's survival. The site, which does its betting differently than Paddy Power, allows for a 35-cent bet on Trump's impeachment and a 65-cent bet on Trump completing the entirety of his term. That would put the odds at approximately 2-1.
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http://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-impeach-impeachment-767280
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Trump Impeachment Odds in 2018 Predict President May Not Finish His First Term (Original Post)
DonViejo
Jan 2018
OP
gordianot
(15,226 posts)1. He does help the odds makers I am sure they take it into account.
Alice11111
(5,730 posts)2. We have heard this before. He is a cockroach. Survived
the primaries, against the odds. Won election, against all odds.
These racists, greedy, conservatives may SAY they will vote one way, but they go into the booths and vote another.