Exciting News As The Coming Democratic Wave Could Be As Big As 25-40 House Seats

[babylonsister]

http://www.politicususa.com/2018/01/02/exciting-news-coming-democratic-wave-big-25-40-house-seats.html

Exciting News As The Coming Democratic Wave Could Be As Big As 25-40 House Seats
By Jason Easley on Tue, Jan 2nd, 2018 at 8:27 pm


Democrats need 24 seats to win back the House, but history tells that an incumbent president with an approval rating below 40% loses at least 40 House seats. In other words, the Democratic wave could be enormous in 2018.

Mark Murray of NBC News broke down what Republicans are up against:

Video at link~

Murray said, “The person who holds the white house ends up losing about 28 house seats. Democrats need to win 24 to pick up the house of representatives. But a president below 50% of the approval rating and Donald Trump is in the 30s or 40s. A president below 50% ends up losing more than 40 house seats. So looking at those numbers, the president’s standing is very, very instructive. At the end of the day, these waves are determined by how big and well run the campaigns are. If the elections were held tomorrow, I think Democrats would be poised for a very, very big election night but we have 11 months to go.”

The idea that Democrats don’t vote in non-presidential elections was kicked to the curb in 2017 as Democrats set turnout records all across the country after Trump took office. To say that Democrats are motivated right now would be a massive understatement.

What is happening isn’t enthusiasm or motivation. Democrats are focused and determined to put a check on a president and presidency that many feel is corrupt and illegitimate. These elections aren’t about Democrats being fired up. They are about a party that rediscovered its core and sense of purporse. For eight years, Barack Obama was the firewall that made Democrats feel secure.

Obama almost did too good of a job, because the running joke in Democratic circles was that no matter what went wrong, Obama would handle it. Former President Obama tried to tell Democrats that it was their turn now, but they didn’t get the message until after Trump became president.

Democrats get it now, and the size of the upcoming wave will leave Paul Ryan out of a job, and Trump looking like a one term president heading into 2020.

[kentuck]

1. I'm a little more optimistic than this forecast.

I would think the pickup would be between 25-70 seats. If there is a blowout, it could be very big.

[crazycatlady]

2. I want more than Paul Ryan to lose the speaker job, I want him to lose his seat

[Fullduplexxx]

7. I'd like him to lose more than that

[delisen]

3. No argument that starts pickup should be high but

Jason Easley's mansplaining is almost comical.

An analysis that excludes the role of Russia, women, and the realization of voters all over the country that democracy is at stake? This type of analysis is old school, and out-of-date.

[babylonsister]

4. Seems to me women might be included

in the word Democrats, Russia would be included in corrupt/illegitimate, and the whole point is that we're all aware democracy is at stake and could be the reason for the shifts in Congress.

Your griping seems comical to me.

[tymorial]

6. What was so offensive about the post that you had to call it mansplaining?

[cheyanne]

5. The Repubs will be armed and ready for 2018. Will the Dems?

The Republicans have shown how low they will go to win an election.

We need to protect our local elections by attending election board meetings. Any changes in voting sites and times must be fought if they suppress votes.

2018 starts now!