FL: New HD 72 polling puts James Buchanan, Margaret Good in virtual tie

[RandySF]

Sarasota Republican James Buchanan and Democrat Margaret Good are virtually tied in the House District 72 special election, according to new polling released Wednesday.

With about three weeks left in the race, Buchanan enjoys a three-point lead over attorney Good, 49 to 46 percent, in a St. Pete Polls survey of likely HD 72 voters conducted for Florida Politics Jan. 23.

But since Buchanan’s lead is within the poll’s 3.7 percent margin of error, the race is a statistical tie.

Libertarian candidate Alison Foxall also received about 3 percent; less than 2 percent said they were unsure.

Nearly 61 percent of respondents plan to vote in the race, which is set for Feb. 13; more than a third (39 percent) said they already voted.

As expected, the race is falling mainly within partisan lines, with Good taking more the 81 percent of Democrats; Buchanan takes about the same number of Republicans (80 percent). Independents are breaking toward Good 54 to 34 percent.


http://floridapolitics.com/archives/254405-new-hd-72-polling-puts-james-buchanan-margaret-good-virtual-tie

[marybourg]

1. The seat had been held by a publican. nt

[D_Master81]

2. had to see what last election was

in 2016, the GOP won this seat 58-42%, so if the race ends as the poll is currently suggesting, the Dems would be overperforming last time by 13%.

[RandySF]

4. But Trump only carried HD-72 by 5.

[NewJeffCT]

3. Hopefully Good will outperform the polls

by several points.