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Atman

(31,464 posts)
Tue Mar 13, 2018, 09:50 PM Mar 2018

Isn't it amazing how the Dem candidates always start out strong, but...

...then at the very end of the vote count, the GOP candidates make a miraculous surge? Very curious indeed.

It's almost as if the Republicans are waiting to see how many votes they need to add in order to flip the result.

46 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Isn't it amazing how the Dem candidates always start out strong, but... (Original Post) Atman Mar 2018 OP
its how and where votes are counted beachbum bob Mar 2018 #1
My thoughts exactly Bradshaw3 Mar 2018 #2
2006. Dawson Leery Mar 2018 #3
Isn't it interesting how the most republican county decided at the 11th hour not to Squinch Mar 2018 #4
Actually that's not how it "always' works onenote Mar 2018 #5
also the Alabama senate race, radius777 Mar 2018 #13
Not typically in California Stargleamer Mar 2018 #6
It's the lines in CA in minority communities. Not enough polling places for the numbers. SleeplessinSoCal Mar 2018 #35
In Oregon, the republicans say the same thing. MissB Mar 2018 #7
scares the crap out of me every time, too. flibbitygiblets Mar 2018 #45
that's a good way of putting it. MissB Mar 2018 #46
Yes. It's like e the repubs have a diala-vote machine that fudges it at the end. CentralMass Mar 2018 #8
Not true Awsi Dooger Mar 2018 #9
its bdamomma Mar 2018 #10
Rachel now: 50-50 at 10pm. WOW! nt babylonsister Mar 2018 #11
No, but this thread is a good example of confirmation bias. tritsofme Mar 2018 #12
Hey, I did direct mail for Lamb. Of course I'm biased! Atman Mar 2018 #16
Except that isn't what you said mythology Mar 2018 #17
Oh, here we go... Atman Mar 2018 #18
the question is, is there any Dem vote radius777 Mar 2018 #14
yep. barbtries Mar 2018 #15
Such a remarkable coincidence, that. Amaryllis Mar 2018 #19
it would be if it wasn't nonsense onenote Mar 2018 #40
Did you notice that one of the Republican districts... Catch2.2 Mar 2018 #20
I bet Putin's hackers have it planned that way BigmanPigman Mar 2018 #21
I miss the GOOD OLD DAYS when American elections were just stolen by American Republicans... TrollBuster9090 Mar 2018 #23
The sad thing is that the Fux Ruse viewers believe his BS. BigmanPigman Mar 2018 #25
I can sum that up in two words... TrollBuster9090 Mar 2018 #22
And people don't need to forget that. MelissaB Mar 2018 #24
******Notice: Important post above******** MelissaB Mar 2018 #26
Rural votes tend to be conservative and come in late. Sophia4 Mar 2018 #27
Amazing indeed. InAbLuEsTaTe Mar 2018 #28
You do realize this is a VERY RED district, right? still_one Mar 2018 #29
Alabama Senate Race D_Master81 Mar 2018 #30
Yep. But that doesn't support the storyline some here want so they conveniently forget onenote Mar 2018 #41
Not really rpannier Mar 2018 #31
When Philly had lever style voting machines, DeminPennswoods Mar 2018 #32
That is true. But, if they were like Los Angeles and San Francisco they rpannier Mar 2018 #37
Its amazing you think this GulfCoast66 Mar 2018 #33
It's not strange at all 2left4u Mar 2018 #34
We're all suffering from election shock njhoneybadger Mar 2018 #36
Rural vs. Urban Sam McGee Mar 2018 #38
How about Republicans view voting as their duty elocs Mar 2018 #39
You mean Dem voters who stay home because of things like this? Wednesdays Mar 2018 #43
I'm still hoping...11:11 EST Allegheny County reported its absentee ballots, lead up to 847 pioche4 Mar 2018 #42
Cheating... czarjak Mar 2018 #44
 

beachbum bob

(10,437 posts)
1. its how and where votes are counted
Tue Mar 13, 2018, 09:52 PM
Mar 2018

happens everywhere....some areas are slow to count and issue returns, the larger the county, the slower it is. The more rural, slower it is...

Dawson Leery

(19,348 posts)
3. 2006.
Tue Mar 13, 2018, 09:52 PM
Mar 2018

I believe that Chris Shays (CT-4) lost (Jim Himes defeated him in 2008).
Monroe and Oxford (upper Fairfield County and VERY REPUG) did not report until the next morning and Shays "won" by a
little under 2 points.

This is Connecticut, we get the votes counted within 2 hours of polls closing.

Squinch

(50,909 posts)
4. Isn't it interesting how the most republican county decided at the 11th hour not to
Tue Mar 13, 2018, 09:53 PM
Mar 2018

report by district, as they were planning to do?

Fuckers.

onenote

(42,558 posts)
5. Actually that's not how it "always' works
Tue Mar 13, 2018, 09:53 PM
Mar 2018

In some elections, the republican starts out strong and the Democrat comes on strong when the urban area votes come in. Virginia in the 2016 Presidential election is a good example of that.

radius777

(3,635 posts)
13. also the Alabama senate race,
Tue Mar 13, 2018, 10:00 PM
Mar 2018

Jones was behind for most of the night, but then the Dem heavy areas came in and he won easily.

it's all about how the votes come in, which is unique to each race.

Stargleamer

(1,985 posts)
6. Not typically in California
Tue Mar 13, 2018, 09:55 PM
Mar 2018

Usually in California the Democratic surge after 60% of the votes are in is quite strong.

Also, I think Al Gore was getting a surge to overtake Bush in Florida until the Supreme Court stopped the recount. Had that not happened this nightmare we are currently in would never have occurred.

SleeplessinSoCal

(9,082 posts)
35. It's the lines in CA in minority communities. Not enough polling places for the numbers.
Tue Mar 13, 2018, 10:48 PM
Mar 2018

And this is CA. I think vote by mail is the way to go. Those ballots are usually counted last.

MissB

(15,803 posts)
7. In Oregon, the republicans say the same thing.
Tue Mar 13, 2018, 09:56 PM
Mar 2018

What happens is the largest populated area - Multnomah County, Portland basically- is the last to provide results. And it voted overwhelmingly democratic.

flibbitygiblets

(7,220 posts)
45. scares the crap out of me every time, too.
Wed Mar 14, 2018, 12:29 AM
Mar 2018

The rest of the state is redneck AF. They talk about Portland like it's Sodom & Gomorrah.

 

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)
9. Not true
Tue Mar 13, 2018, 09:57 PM
Mar 2018

In Virginia it is exactly the opposite. The rural areas report first and then northern Virginia shoves the Democrat over the top. Never fails.

The problem in this district is we don't follow it closely every cycle. This may be exactly how the votes traditionally report by county. The early returns led to misplaced optimism of a cruise. That's why I posted early in the evening that while Allegheny looked good I don't know enough about this district to be certain.

Atman

(31,464 posts)
16. Hey, I did direct mail for Lamb. Of course I'm biased!
Tue Mar 13, 2018, 10:09 PM
Mar 2018

Westmoreland deciding not to report precinct results just smells stinky to me.

 

mythology

(9,527 posts)
17. Except that isn't what you said
Tue Mar 13, 2018, 10:11 PM
Mar 2018

You are claiming this happens all the time with exactly zero evidence to support your position.

radius777

(3,635 posts)
14. the question is, is there any Dem vote
Tue Mar 13, 2018, 10:02 PM
Mar 2018

left for us to squeeze it out... without precinct info there's no way to know.. its just coming it at random...

onenote

(42,558 posts)
40. it would be if it wasn't nonsense
Tue Mar 13, 2018, 11:09 PM
Mar 2018

Do people not remember Jones v Moore? It was only a few months ago:

Dec 12, 2017 10:20 PM EST With 86.5 percent of the precincts reporting, Doug Jones is ahead 49.6 percent to 48.9 percent for Roy Moore.

Dec 12, 2017 10:17 PM EST With 85.5 percent of the precincts reporting, Roy Moore is tied with Doug Jones at 49.5 percent.


Dec 12, 2017 10:08 PM EST With 85 percent of the precincts reporting, Roy Moore is ahead 49.5 percent to 49 percent for Doug Jones.

Dec 12, 2017 10:04 PM EST With 81 percent of the precincts reporting, Roy Moore is ahead 49.7 percent to 48.8 percent for Doug Jones.

Dec 12, 2017 9:59 PM EST With 75 percent of the precincts reporting, Roy Moore is ahead 50.6 percent to 48 percent for Doug Jones. The percentage of voters who wrote in a name other than Moore or Jones is 1.4 percent.

Catch2.2

(629 posts)
20. Did you notice that one of the Republican districts...
Tue Mar 13, 2018, 10:21 PM
Mar 2018

...was stuck on 33% of the vote turned in? A little suspicious.

TrollBuster9090

(5,953 posts)
23. I miss the GOOD OLD DAYS when American elections were just stolen by American Republicans...
Tue Mar 13, 2018, 10:30 PM
Mar 2018

using crooked, hackable Diebold voting machines...

I had the misfortune to watch Tucker Carlson last night, and couldn't believe my ears when the little shit claimed that THE LEFT is against using PAPER BALLOTS. Really? The left is the only political faction that WANTS paper ballots!

BigmanPigman

(51,565 posts)
25. The sad thing is that the Fux Ruse viewers believe his BS.
Tue Mar 13, 2018, 10:33 PM
Mar 2018

The Fucking Moron told his pep rally on Sat that he has a 50% approval rating ( ). I love my new, free "I hate fox news" t-shirt that I got today.

D_Master81

(1,822 posts)
30. Alabama Senate Race
Tue Mar 13, 2018, 10:36 PM
Mar 2018

I believe Moore started out ahead and then Jones made a charge late and won pretty easily.

onenote

(42,558 posts)
41. Yep. But that doesn't support the storyline some here want so they conveniently forget
Tue Mar 13, 2018, 11:11 PM
Mar 2018

Dec 12, 2017 10:20 PM EST With 86.5 percent of the precincts reporting, Doug Jones is ahead 49.6 percent to 48.9 percent for Roy Moore.

Dec 12, 2017 10:17 PM EST With 85.5 percent of the precincts reporting, Roy Moore is tied with Doug Jones at 49.5 percent.
l
Dec 12, 2017 10:08 PM EST With 85 percent of the precincts reporting, Roy Moore is ahead 49.5 percent to 49 percent for Doug Jones.

Dec 12, 2017 10:04 PM EST With 81 percent of the precincts reporting, Roy Moore is ahead 49.7 percent to 48.8 percent for Doug Jones.

Dec 12, 2017 9:59 PM EST With 75 percent of the precincts reporting, Roy Moore is ahead 50.6 percent to 48 percent for Doug Jones. The percentage of voters who wrote in a name other than Moore or Jones is 1.4 percent.

rpannier

(24,328 posts)
31. Not really
Tue Mar 13, 2018, 10:37 PM
Mar 2018

When you consider that Democrats are usually stronger in more populated centers, while Republicans are stronger in rural and some suburbs
Allegheny votes were expected to come in earlier than the other three counties -- they always do

DeminPennswoods

(15,265 posts)
32. When Philly had lever style voting machines,
Tue Mar 13, 2018, 10:41 PM
Mar 2018

it's vote count always came in last because it was just so time-consuming to read the counters off the back and write them in the official spreadsheets.

rpannier

(24,328 posts)
37. That is true. But, if they were like Los Angeles and San Francisco they
Tue Mar 13, 2018, 10:50 PM
Mar 2018

also were the first to begin reporting numbers.
For the last several election cycles Allegheny has been the first to begin reporting numbers
Theirs takes longer (probably like Philly) because they have many more to report

I've been watching the four precincts and Allegheny was first to begin reporting (they aren't finished), Greene (the smallest of the three and heavily republikkan) has completed theirs. Westmoreland (also heavily Republikkan) is also nearly complete as well (99%).
Right now the laggard is Washington, and they're at 93%

If the republikkans were going to cheat they'd withhold numbers from Westmoreland as it is the largest, heavily republikkan district

GulfCoast66

(11,949 posts)
33. Its amazing you think this
Tue Mar 13, 2018, 10:44 PM
Mar 2018

Often times it is the rural republican precincts that are first in due to smaller population base. And the Democratic city precincts that are slow.

Each district is different

 

2left4u

(186 posts)
34. It's not strange at all
Tue Mar 13, 2018, 10:45 PM
Mar 2018

You have to remember that there is a latency issue with Russia's server's trying to keep up with our servers that calculate the vote.

They'll get better before November.

 

Sam McGee

(347 posts)
38. Rural vs. Urban
Tue Mar 13, 2018, 11:06 PM
Mar 2018

Urban precincts tend to report earlier. Although they have more voters, they tend to have more poll workers who close the precinct, tally the votes, and report the preliminary results before the rural areas.

Rural areas tend to be Republican.


On another matter -- One thing I don't understand is the PA absentee ballots that are being counted late. I'm a member of the electoral board in my rural VA county. All absentee ballots in VA go the to the respective county/city registrar where the ballots are locked into a safe. On election day, a Central Absentee Precinct is active. In my county, three poll workers come in at 10:00 AM. They examine all the sealed absentee ballot envelopes to ensure the envelope is sealed and signed properly. Then, they open the envelope and, without looking at the ballot, place it into a ballot box. After all ballots are in the box, the box is opened and the ballots fed into the scanner for counting. The CAP usually has their results before the polls close, although they do not complete their tally until poll closing time in case absentee ballot(s) arrive at the last minute. Thus, our absentee ballot count is reported before the other precincts complete their tallies. PA must not do things this way.

elocs

(22,541 posts)
39. How about Republicans view voting as their duty
Tue Mar 13, 2018, 11:09 PM
Mar 2018

while too many on the Left will only vote if they are excited or motivated to vote.
How many voters on the Left saw polls which showed Lamb would win and then just stayed home because they figured it was in the bag.
There's no point in always claiming a rigged election when your people just can't be bothered to get out and vote because that's a much more simple explanation.

pioche4

(114 posts)
42. I'm still hoping...11:11 EST Allegheny County reported its absentee ballots, lead up to 847
Tue Mar 13, 2018, 11:33 PM
Mar 2018

From TPM 11:11 EST “Short time ago..Allegheny County reported its absentee ballots. Those came in overwhelmingly for Lamb, leaving him with an 847 vote lead. The remaining counties are all red counties and all plan to count their absentee votes tomorrow. It looks hard for Saccone to make up that margin.” https://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog

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