Why is Trump's approval going up?

[OliverQ]

42% approval, 54% disapprove. His highest numbers yet. He's been an epic catastrophe. What the heck is wrong with almost half of this country?

[hack89]

1. Economy is picking up. Unemployment is down.

People feeling more economically secure.

[Dawson Leery]

2. PPP has him falling.

Last month he was at 44%, this month at 39%.

[Fred Sanders]

3. LINK! 42% is HORRIBLE, by the way.

[OliverQ]

9. It's a CNN poll.

https://www.cnn.com/2018/03/26/politics/cnn-poll-trump-approval-rating-rises/index.html

[Vinca]

4. It's probably just a fluke.

As soon as his supporters go on a shopping spree at Walmart and find the prices have gone up because he's jerking China around, they'll wake up . . . at least some of them.

[karynnj]

5. The economy and he likely has shored up his very right wing base with Pompeo and Bolton

There is a solid block against him including everyone on the left, including almost all Democrats and a hefty portion of independents. There likely is no one left that is changing their position on things like Stormy Daniels. As to Mueller, I think there are two narratives and on the far right - they seem to be convinced that the REAL crime that will lead to indictments are of Clinton, Obama, and others in the last administration.

[LonePirate]

10. He has sky high numbers from his base. Not sure why but I doubt Pompeo and Bolton factor much.

Rank and file Repubs worship him (literally by evangelicals). Last week’s budget bill has had no effect. The base loves his bombast and bigotry. He pisses off liberals so everything else gets a pass from his base.

[secondwind]

6. A poll is nothing but a snapshot in time. n/t

[caraher]

7. What's the statistical significance of the changes?

The margin of error is typically about 3 percentage points, so little upticks of a point or two literally mean nothing. His approval rating hasn't changed very substantially since maybe last June.

[Valhallakey]

8. Sex s candles are a bridge too far

I think the 7x24 focus on Russia which has now been taken over by sex scandles is wearing on less politically active people. To some it seems like, hey the Dems couldn’t get him with Russia so now they are trying to get him with sex. It is a bit analogous to Bill. The public revolted when the Rs tried to impeach him over sex. Also as mentioned above the economy is still doing well. I think MSNBC, CNN etc... should tone it down a bit and focus on these issues when there are truly major revelations.

[uponit7771]

11. ?!?! 538 has him at 40, bout the top RCP has him at 42 because of AssMusin and FAUX News polls

[B2G]

12. Was this before or after he signed the omnibus bill? nt

[a kennedy]

13. Shouldnt be watching polls so religiously, but I do

here’s the poll I just pay attention to. http://fivethirtyeight.com.

[blake2012]

14. Within margin of error

For all you know, his approval is flat to slightly falling.

I wish more people took statistics classes and understood them.

[IluvPitties]

15. The economy, and conservatives see him as a martyr.

[brooklynite]

16. From the point of view of the non-Trump base...

Taxes are down (so income is up) and businesses are prospering under reduced regulatory burdens.

[OliverQ]

17. Yet Democracy is collapsing and we're turning into

an authoritarian cesspool. I really wish people stopped worshipping the economy like it's the only thing that matters.

[gratuitous]

18. Polls are sometimes a trailing indicator

Something that happened last week might have just come into play, and a temporary bump happened. Sometimes the margin of error comes into play big time. Sometimes a poll is an outlier, not truly indicative of public sentiment because of a bad sampling.

Don't let one poll in isolation rule your day. Aggregate the polls to get a truer picture of the mood of the electorate. And if you're truly all pissed off because of Trump's stubborn poll numbers, find a candidate in your area that you can get behind, volunteer for her or his campaign, and start working for a better America.

[Blue_true]

19. Look.

He has a solid base of 30-38% that won't go anywhere. All he needs is to convince some of the 30-35% that sit on the fence and he is in a horse race with our nominee, that was the case with Bush II, McCain, Romney. Don't expect rightwing evangelicals to abandon him, he can be caught banging two porn stars on the floor of the Oval Office, with video being made, and every single rightwing evangelical will stay with him.

His base of support is exactly the reason why the divisions among us, with some clearly or craftily saying that they will make up their mind about our party nominee during the General, bothers me deeply. Regardless of disagreements, people need to understand that we share the exact same values, as a result, we need to put our differences aside when strategic voting to turn back real threats is required.

[ProfessorGAC]

20. Is It Really?

Same time period with Gallup has "it"at 39. So, if both are really 40 +/-2, they're the same number. Different polls have never had "it" below 40, others never above.

It's somewhere around there and probably really isn't moving much. 25% in full throated support, 12 to 18% who don't much care as long as they aren't personally affected. ("He's ok by me, i guess.)

Still at 50+% who really disapprove.

[ConnorMarc]

21. Is there a polling on how the black community feels about him?

Dollars to donuts it's nowhere near what this poll is indicating.