General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsCOOK POLITICAL: 7 more House Races shift towards Democrats
Speaker Paul Ryan's retirement plans could complicate the House GOP's fundraising math. In 2017, Ryan's joint fundraising committee brought in $44 million and transferred $32 million to the NRCC. His exit could leave GOP donors skittish. But even before last week, Democratic donors had been demonstrating far more enthusiasm on a race-by-race basis, a fact reflected in the newest House fundraising reports.
The newest FEC filings spell danger for Republicans. In the most recent fundraising period, Democrats outraised Republicans in at least 60 GOP-held seats, more than twice the 23 seats Democrats need for a majority. Meanwhile, the reverse is true in just five Democratic-held seats. That's going to force the NRCC and Congressional Leadership Fund to bail out a lot of cash-strapped GOP candidates come the fall.
Ratings Changes:
AZ-08: VACANT (Franks) | Solid R to Likely R
AR-02: Hill | Likely R to Lean R
IL-14: Hultgren | Likely R to Lean R
MI-01: Bergman | Solid R to Likely R
OH-14: Joyce | Solid R to Likely R
SC-05: Norman | Solid R to Likely R
VA-05: Garrett | Likely R to Lean R
http://cookpolitical.com/analysis/house/house-overview/new-house-fec-reports-rating-changes-7-districts
beachbum bob
(10,437 posts)and will either not contribute OR support the democrat to have some access. The "K Street" crowd is about access and they can read the tea leaves and see the coming blue tidal wave. Koch Money alone will not win much for the GOP...its the other big money and PACS....influence and access is way more important than ideology when it comes down to it.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,708 posts)This is just as significant as generic ballot polls which fluctuate.
Scurrilous
(38,687 posts)YOHABLO
(7,358 posts)brooklynite
(94,293 posts)oberliner
(58,724 posts)Losing 5-2 is not really any different than losing 10-1.
brooklynite
(94,293 posts)...that in 7 of the "Likely R" races, the leading Democrat outraised the Republican incumbent.
The fact that more seats are moving out the "Solid R" category shows forward momentum.
oberliner
(58,724 posts)I admire your optimism. The 2016 election results drained a lot of that from me.