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Horse with no Name

(33,956 posts)
Tue Jul 10, 2018, 09:26 PM Jul 2018

Just curious. If trump blows up NATO....would our former allies be able to close our military bases

and shut their borders to US citizens?
Honestly, we all know he is beholden to putin. Who is to say that putin won't talk trump into attacking these countries using our military?
Who really knows? I know that this trumputin alliance is fucking scary.
If I were the leaders of the other countries I would be afraid of what he is going to do.

22 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Just curious. If trump blows up NATO....would our former allies be able to close our military bases (Original Post) Horse with no Name Jul 2018 OP
The US likely owns the property that the bases are located. tonyt53 Jul 2018 #1
Poland and the Czech Republic would be on that list. no_hypocrisy Jul 2018 #3
takeover of eastern europe while breaking EU AlexSFCA Jul 2018 #9
The Baltics. The Russian Navy has been on high alert since the start of the World Cup nt maryellen99 Jul 2018 #20
No, the U.S. contracts for the use of foreign land for those bases. haele Jul 2018 #21
No Doubt, Dolt 45 pulls the U.S. out of NATO, because Vlad said, make it so. sarcasmo Jul 2018 #2
And either pulls troops out of Europe Bettie Jul 2018 #4
I'm betting Dolt 45 pulls our troops out of Germany by Labor Day. sarcasmo Jul 2018 #12
I'm afraid that could happen Bettie Jul 2018 #15
I have no doubt either Horse with no Name Jul 2018 #5
They probably could, but it depends on the individual agreements. SeattleVet Jul 2018 #6
That's assuming he or his party Bettie Jul 2018 #16
Saying he would pull out of NATO does serious damage angrychair Jul 2018 #7
The cost and loss of profits from pulling out of NATO will be enormous to the U.S. haele Jul 2018 #22
Trump once said something to the effect of how powerful it would be if the US and Russia RKP5637 Jul 2018 #8
I know I don't sleep well at night anymore Horse with no Name Jul 2018 #10
1:30 AM is my average the last 530 plus days. sarcasmo Jul 2018 #13
I have the same problem Bettie Jul 2018 #17
The host state own the base Historic NY Jul 2018 #11
What if NATO preemptively booted 45? RainCaster Jul 2018 #14
Why would they want to? MichMary Jul 2018 #18
Every troop reduction in Germany has resulted in a trip by a bunch of burgermeisters to D.C. Hangingon Jul 2018 #19
 

tonyt53

(5,737 posts)
1. The US likely owns the property that the bases are located.
Tue Jul 10, 2018, 09:30 PM
Jul 2018

However, they can probably tell the US to remove its military forces.

What I see happening before the end of the year, is that Russia will mount an all out invasion of Ukraine. After that, who knows, maybe the reclamation of all the countries that were part of the USSR.

haele

(12,646 posts)
21. No, the U.S. contracts for the use of foreign land for those bases.
Wed Jul 11, 2018, 11:24 AM
Jul 2018

They aren't like embassies or consulates where we will buy the property lot in accordance with local laws to build our structure on; most U.S. bases are large tracts of land that we are allowed to call "U.S. property" only by virtue of the lease. If we close a base in a country, it reverts back to that country.

Spouse was stationed in Greenham Commons, UK, in the 1980's; when the U.S. closed that base, they cleared out all the equipment and any component infrastructure (generators, telco drops, comm. systems) they built, and England was left with the buildings, roads, and land.

Germany gets a crapload of land and natural resources back if we leave.

Haele

Bettie

(16,088 posts)
15. I'm afraid that could happen
Wed Jul 11, 2018, 07:26 AM
Jul 2018

and Republicans in congress will do nothing about it, they'll just nod and smile while mouthing "MAGA"...and "More Money".

Horse with no Name

(33,956 posts)
5. I have no doubt either
Tue Jul 10, 2018, 09:37 PM
Jul 2018

he has already started the foreplay with his base..."they owe us so much money".....yada yada yada

SeattleVet

(5,477 posts)
6. They probably could, but it depends on the individual agreements.
Tue Jul 10, 2018, 09:45 PM
Jul 2018

There is a negotiated Status of Forces agreement with each country, and some parts are outside the NATO framework.

Bettie

(16,088 posts)
16. That's assuming he or his party
Wed Jul 11, 2018, 07:27 AM
Jul 2018

care about breaking agreements.

I doubt they do. All they care about is pleasing Putin.

angrychair

(8,692 posts)
7. Saying he would pull out of NATO does serious damage
Tue Jul 10, 2018, 09:46 PM
Jul 2018

BUT he does not have the authority to unilaterally void a treaty. It would require the Senate and based on the vote today that seems highly unlikely.

Doing so would be the end of the road for many, such an action is incredibly reckless and foolish.

It would (should?) trigger massive and unprecedented protest.

haele

(12,646 posts)
22. The cost and loss of profits from pulling out of NATO will be enormous to the U.S.
Wed Jul 11, 2018, 11:47 AM
Jul 2018

Would he upset his Saudi and MIC backers by losing them money just because his Russian backers want to gut their economy grabbing territory from Europe?

Also, there's a significant cost to Russia if they make any moves now.
The invasion of Crimea and eastern Ukraine was only paid for because the long-term economic benefits of the Crimean ports and the sliver of Eastern Ukraine to get their infrastructure to those ports would give to the Oil and Gas pipelines - and other Russian Oligarch "businesses" - outweighed the cost to the overall Russian economy to prosecute a short war with Ukraine over it. Also, the fact that there were sufficient Russo-Ukrainian citizens aligned with the former Russian puppet leader in East Ukraine to be able to influence local politics in those areas did a lot to help the Russians when they invaded. Post WWII Stalin moving whole Russian communities to replace the depleted native Ukrainians from the Russian interior for "farming" tied local cultural identity to the Soviet mindset.
I don't think the same amount of "Russian cultural" influences exist anymore in Estonia, Poland, Romania, Hungary, Serbia, etc...

If we pull out of NATO, pulling our assets out of Eastern Europe as well as Germany - and we all know that Russia wants its old Soviet satellite nations back as a buffer against "The West" - I really don't think that Russia has the manpower or resources to take those countries unless they can first install solid "friendly" governments as they have in the U.S.(and I understand they've been trying to bribe the U.K. nationalists and conservatives into heading that way), even if they can destabilize those old Eastern Bloc countries.
Those eastern bloc countries have had a taste of the West, and the majority of the population in those countries enjoys being part of the EU and the subsequent Western lifestyle (even if the nationalists amongst them don't like immigration).

Russia will have to expend significant costs to maintain political destabilization and build nationalist isolation of those countries for a significant period - perhaps decades - before they can successfully push to gain those countries back militarily.

Haele

RKP5637

(67,102 posts)
8. Trump once said something to the effect of how powerful it would be if the US and Russia
Tue Jul 10, 2018, 09:49 PM
Jul 2018

joined forces. I don't have a link, but someone on DU did verify once this is correct, something to the effect of that wording. I don't care for secrets between Putin and Trump. Trump's totally an unhinged cannon and Putin is a master manipulator and far more intelligent than Trump. Hard to tell WTF might be going on.

Horse with no Name

(33,956 posts)
10. I know I don't sleep well at night anymore
Tue Jul 10, 2018, 09:54 PM
Jul 2018

and reluctant to look at media first thing in the am because I am afraid of what he has done to the world while we slept.

Bettie

(16,088 posts)
17. I have the same problem
Wed Jul 11, 2018, 07:28 AM
Jul 2018

can't fall asleep, up early with the feeling of impending doom hanging over my head.

Historic NY

(37,449 posts)
11. The host state own the base
Tue Jul 10, 2018, 10:04 PM
Jul 2018

North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO) Status of Forces Agreement of 1951 (SOFA) and the Visiting Forces Act of 1952.
Status of Forces Agreements allow a sending State’s military forces to operate within, and at the consent of, the host state. Many have shared use agreements.

MichMary

(1,714 posts)
18. Why would they want to?
Wed Jul 11, 2018, 09:11 AM
Jul 2018

Those thousands of American soldiers, and their dependents, pump lots of money into the local economies. Kicking them all out would be the very definition of biting off their noses to spite their faces.

Hangingon

(3,071 posts)
19. Every troop reduction in Germany has resulted in a trip by a bunch of burgermeisters to D.C.
Wed Jul 11, 2018, 11:17 AM
Jul 2018

Lots of money at stake here.

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