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octoberlib

(14,971 posts)
Wed Jul 11, 2018, 03:05 PM Jul 2018

Dem with a 7 point lead in a congressional district held by a Republican in NC




Civitas Poll showing @McCreadyForNC w/7 pt lead over @MarkHarrisNC9 also shows him leading 43-26 among Unaffiliateds. Civitas Pres Donald Bryson says: 'Republicans should be concerned.'
#charobs #ncpol #nc9
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Dem with a 7 point lead in a congressional district held by a Republican in NC (Original Post) octoberlib Jul 2018 OP
Great sign. sarcasmo Jul 2018 #1
Dems in disarry!!!!! RandySF Jul 2018 #2
Let'em keep thinking that. octoberlib Jul 2018 #3
I've been meeting with folks working on flipping NC State Leg seats... brooklynite Jul 2018 #4
Excellent! We've got a dem in every race down here. octoberlib Jul 2018 #5
I actually have a call with Gov. Cooper this evening to get an update. brooklynite Jul 2018 #6
Great opportunity for a pickup... LincolnRossiter Jul 2018 #7
Thanks for the info! octoberlib Jul 2018 #8

brooklynite

(93,842 posts)
4. I've been meeting with folks working on flipping NC State Leg seats...
Wed Jul 11, 2018, 03:29 PM
Jul 2018

NC-9 dovetails with several of their target seats. A strong House candidate will turn out down-ticket votes.

LincolnRossiter

(560 posts)
7. Great opportunity for a pickup...
Wed Jul 11, 2018, 04:06 PM
Jul 2018

Last edited Wed Jul 11, 2018, 04:49 PM - Edit history (1)

The seat is still listed as a “tilt GOP“ because of its R+8 partisan voting index and the fact that it’s been Red since Kennedy was president. But there are reasons for optimism. First, the GOP incumbent (Pettinger) lost to an insurgent Trumpkin (Harris) with less broad appeal in a district that has been trending more competitive. Second, the Dem nominee, Dan McCready, has raised as much to date as the other six candidates who competed in the primaries combined. The only one who was close was Pettinger. McCready now has about $1.2M on hand to Harris’ $70K. And third, though I think this stat is overrated as a predictor of general election turnout, over 10k more voters cast ballots in the Dem primary than the GOP primary. McCready alone received more votes than all GOP candidates combined, in fact. That certainly can’t be a bad thing. [link:https://ballotpedia.org/North_Carolina%27s_9th_Congressional_District_election,_2018|



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