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Mon Aug 13, 2018, 05:20 AM

 

November is looking to be a "blue flood" instead of a wave!

Here is some great news to start your Monday morning off with!

GO GO DEMOCRATS!
This is a kick ass article! Take the time & read it because it's going to make your day a lot better!

“A blue flood, more than just a wave”: 8 experts on midterm elections after the Ohio special election
Things are looking better and better for Democrats.

The results from this week’s special election in Ohio’s 12th District are widely viewed as the latest indicator that Democrats are due for a strong performance this fall. Republican Troy Balderson still has a slim lead as of press time, but the fact that Democratic candidate Danny O’Connor garnered so much support in a heavily conservative district (he’s hovering around 49 percent of the vote) is just another sign that the GOP should be worried, experts say.

O’Connor’s solid showing in the special election comes in the wake of a stunning upset by Conor Lamb in Pennsylvania’s 18th District earlier this year. Both elections, in addition to another special election in Arizona, suggest that Democrats could continue to build on voter momentum to spur a potential “blue wave” this fall.

While Democratic odds for retaking the House seemed more uncertain earlier this summer, the party’s performance across different races since then have seemed to improve the broader outlook of this possibility. Here’s what eight experts had to say about the likelihood of a “blue wave” in November.

These responses have been lightly edited for length and clarity.

Article continues with comments from election experts

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Reply November is looking to be a "blue flood" instead of a wave! (Original post)
SkyDancer Aug 2018 OP
MFM008 Aug 2018 #1
SkyDancer Aug 2018 #4
DFW Aug 2018 #2
DavidDvorkin Aug 2018 #3
zipplewrath Aug 2018 #5

Response to SkyDancer (Original post)

Mon Aug 13, 2018, 06:07 AM

1. Good omens

But VOTE.

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Response to MFM008 (Reply #1)

Mon Aug 13, 2018, 07:41 AM

4. Yup!

 

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Response to SkyDancer (Original post)

Mon Aug 13, 2018, 06:27 AM

2. We all hope so obviously

But unhatched chickens have no votes in Congress.

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Response to SkyDancer (Original post)

Mon Aug 13, 2018, 07:11 AM

3. Bluenami

I hope.

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Response to SkyDancer (Original post)

Mon Aug 13, 2018, 09:48 AM

5. It just gets harder

The thing that worries me about all of the "blue wave" talk is that it is reminiscent of articles you see when there is a disease out break. It's all the talk at the beginning that "at current rates of transmission...". Basically you'll see arm chair analysis that suggests that everyone will be infected by some date. The problem is that disease doesn't work that way. As the number of people infected increases, more and more are just exposing themselves to the already infected. Transmission rates peak out well before "everyone" is infected. Elections don't really work that way either

It's similar in almost every industry and endeavour. Achieving something "completely" can be nearly impossible. Hotels usually have a number of rooms that equals "full occupancy" that is less than the number of rooms. Usually in low to mid 90% range. "Full employment" in this country is usually considered to be around 4% unemployment. Restaurants don't run out of food, they run out of time. Their is inefficiency and imperfection in every industry.

The number of seats needed to get a majority is a big number. It's even bigger if you consider that we may lose a few as well. It will be hard just to get that many. All this talk about "waves" is interesting, but it never seems to acknowledge that the bigger the "wave" the harder it gets to actually achieve. Republicans still vote, and there are still places that will elect a farm animal over a democrat as long as there is an "R" after their name.

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