CNN Key Races: 11 House seats move toward Democrats, 3 in direction of Republicans

[DonViejo]

By Terence Burlij, CNN

Updated 8:12 AM ET, Sun September 2, 2018

Washington (CNN)The battle for control of the US House is coming into sharper focus with November's midterm elections now less than 70 days away.

For Democrats, the path to the majority appears to run in large part through suburban, well-educated districts where disapproval of President Donald Trump's job performance could be hobbling GOP candidates. The party's prospects have improved as Democratic candidates continue to overperform in special election contests, with the latest example being last month's slim defeat in a reliably Republican central Ohio district. The result was further proof the party has a significant enthusiasm edge this cycle.

Despite those headwinds, there remain a few bright spots for the GOP. The party has a handful of incumbents who are running strong races in districts that would be tough in any environment, let alone one where the President's approval rating is stuck in the high 30s or low to mid-40s. The latest ABC News/Washington Post survey, released Friday, showed the President at 36% approval and 60% disapproval.

Ten weeks might not seem like a long time, but in politics it is a lifetime. The national dynamics can change in an instant, as we saw with the recent legal bombshells involving Michael Cohen and Paul Manafort. Then there was the stunning indictment of a sitting GOP member of Congress for allegedly misusing campaign funds, prompting Democrats to reprise their "culture of corruption" line of attack, which the party successfully deployed against Republicans in 2006.

In all, CNN is moving 14 seats -- 11 toward Democrats and three in the direction of Republicans. There are currently 11 seats held or vacated by Republicans that CNN rates as Lean Democratic or better, which would get the party almost halfway to the 23 it needs to gain in order to win control of the House. Of the 30 districts now rated as Toss-Ups, 28 belong to Republicans -- and Hillary Clinton won 12 of them in 2016.

more
https://www.cnn.com/2018/09/02/politics/cnn-house-key-races-august-update/index.html

[dalton99a]

1. GOTV. Complacency is deadly.

[beachbum bob]

2. CNN is woefully lacking in what races are competitive and

Which ones are not. Cooks political report and 538 shows dozens more than CNN

[RandySF]

3. OH-14 came out of nowhere.