TX is officially starting to turn blue....we are now GRAY! YAY

[Dem_4_Life]

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/senate/2018_elections_senate_map.html

This is so exciting!!!

Texas is now a Toss Up. Go Beto!

[sheshe2]

1. K&R

[TonyPDX]

2. Texas voters have let me down many times before now, but hope springs eternal

Get out the vote for Beto!

[dalton99a]

3. It is absolutely doable with a good turnout. GOTV!

[flamin lib]

4. No 'leans Republican'!

Everything that was 'likely Republican' moved to 'leans' and now to toss up! How sweet is that!

[Dem_4_Life]

7. It is totally awesome! No resting still need to GOTV!

[Gothmog]

5. Texas will turn blue eventually

[Awsi Dooger]

9. Only 57% whites in the electorate

That is very low and in most cases would guarantee a blue state. But it is a wacky distribution because 44% of the electorate self-identifies as conservative. For reference, the national breakdown is 71% white voters and only 35% conservatives.

So instead of 2 whites include 1 conservative nationwide in Texas it is basically 5 whites include 4 conservatives.

Close enough, anyway. Obviously there are non-whites who self identify as conservative and contribute to the 35% and 44%.

Bottom line, whites in Texas are much more likely to be conservative, which is acting like a plug to keep Texas red. The website Texas politics polls Texas frequently. On a scale of 1-7 with 1 being most liberal and 7 being most conservative, a full 35% of Texans place themselves at 6 or 7. Normally when a state is trending the other way there are enough moderates and soft conservatives who go allow with the shift. Texas is considerably more stubborn.

Blacks in Texas also are not as lopsided toward Democrats as nationally. Trump carried 11% blacks in Texas compared to 8% nationally.

I've become more interested in Texas the more I look at it, primarily due to the low number of whites. Logically the state cannot continue to be a red guarantee with that distribution. This push with Beto should help get the ball rolling toward more Hispanics registered and participating, and perhaps not only more blacks participating but fewer of them willing to stray toward the GOP.

[anarch]

6. I get the impression TX would be solidly blue, if people would just actually vote

I think (and hope) the enthusiasm for Beto is a sign of things to come...now let's just GOTV!

[Dem_4_Life]

8. Me too and this would probably be true everywhere haha

I am working hard on my end to GOTV.

[brooklynite]

10. Wasn't the Blue and Grey what got Texas into trouble in the first place?