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RandySF

(58,737 posts)
Sun Sep 23, 2018, 01:04 AM Sep 2018

IA-GOV: Democrat Fred Hubbell narrowly leads Republican Kim Reynolds

Democratic businessman Fred Hubbell edges out Republican Gov. Kim Reynolds in a race for the governor’s office that still falls within the margin of error just more than six weeks before Election Day, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows.

Forty-three percent of likely voters say they support Hubbell, and 41 percent say they support Reynolds. Seven percent say they support Libertarian Jake Porter, and 9 percent are undecided.

A majority of Hubbell and Reynolds supporters say they will not change their minds. But about a third of supporters in each camp — 32 percent for Hubbell and 28 percent for Reynolds — say they could still be persuaded to vote for someone else.

“Neither of them have really nailed this thing down yet,” said Jennifer Duffy, an elections analyst specializing in governor’s races for Cook Political Report. “(Voters) are open to messages, and I’m sure you’ll see both parties provide those messages on a TV screen near you soon.”

The poll, conducted by Selzer and Co. of Des Moines, questioned 801 Iowa adults, including 555 likely voters statewide September 17-20. It has a margin of error among likely voters of plus or minus 4.2 percentage points.


https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2018/09/22/iowa-poll-hubbell-reynolds-governor-des-moines-register-2018-election-republican-democrat/1381513002/


FRED HUBBELL





https://fredhubbell.com/

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IA-GOV: Democrat Fred Hubbell narrowly leads Republican Kim Reynolds (Original Post) RandySF Sep 2018 OP
any democratic candidate needs to hit 50-52% at this stage in the polling and have few, if any beachbum bob Sep 2018 #1
 

beachbum bob

(10,437 posts)
1. any democratic candidate needs to hit 50-52% at this stage in the polling and have few, if any
Sun Sep 23, 2018, 08:01 AM
Sep 2018

undecided. This is no different than any election with statistics.

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