Prediction: Kavanaugh Withdraws before Thursday. Edited on Wednesday...

[MineralMan]

The appearance of new victims of his youthful inability to control his rapey proclivities is going to increase, I believe.

He will have no other recourse but to withdraw in an attempt to stem the tide.

Further, his excuse for withdrawing will be some weak sauce like, "To prevent unwarranted disruption of the nomination and confirmation process, I am hereby withdrawing from consideration for Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States."

We'll see if I'm right.

ETA on Wednesday, the 26th: New victims. Worse behavior. I predict he pulls out tonight. I'm sticking with my prediction from Monday.

[TheCowsCameHome]

1. Probably so.

I hope so, anyway

[mainstreetonce]

2. I believe you are making a very sensible prediction.

Let us hope he does the right thing or Trump tells him to give up.

[redstatebluegirl]

3. Lord do you think his wife knew he was a sexual predator?

I wonder what she thinks right now? Maybe her position and money is more important than what a nasty man she is married to, but I would kick his butt to the curb.

[MineralMan]

5. I have no idea about that.

However, I suspect she will say, "Get that ugly thing away from me, you pervert!" the next time he makes a move on her.

[redstatebluegirl]

14. I sure hope so, she looks very sweet when they show her with her kids.

[asiliveandbreathe]

13. Probably not..Ashley, who was Bush the youngers personal secretary, is immune to

all that is going on...I read she even brought cookies to the reporters staked out at their home..

[Cosmocat]

20. of course she did

she may not have known how far he went, but he is repugnant, POS scumbag, and she knows it. She has some "conservative" proclivities that allow people to partition that shit off - they can be scumbags and it is OK. Not sure about how she has lived her life specifically, but she knew what she was marrying, and clearly is all in on the conservative, elitist lifestyle.

[honest.abe]

4. Likely sooner.

I think they are realizing this is a quickly growing political disaster and the sooner they end it the better.

[MineralMan]

8. Yes. It could come at any time, I think.

He must realize that his confirmation is doomed at this point, and will just be hoping to keep his Appeals Court seat.

[scheming daemons]

6. In past (normal) times, you would be correct. But not now.

He will stay until the bitter end. At this point, McConnell wants a vote, even if it fails. Then he can hang it on Red State Dems and also keep everyone in session throughout October, so they can't go home and campaign.

[Cosmocat]

22. He will NOT lose a vote on this

He will proceed if he has all his Rs in order, will have whoever does his wet work tell Kavanaugh to drop out for his family if there happens to be enough light in the soul of two of the Rs in the senate to not cast a vote for the POS.

[bdamomma]

7. hope so

too. They are not going to silenced those women who have been assaulted and oh by the way we have a predator squatting in the WH. 20+ women who did come out against that POS tRump. Starts at the top. Get rid of these assaulters. You kind of wonder what kind of relationships they had with their own mothers?

[JonLP24]

9. The problem is we just had a weekend of football

And instead of talking about Kavanaugh they are obsessing over Rosenstein all day.

If the media was focusing on Kavanaugh the chances of withdrawing increases.

[MineralMan]

10. Well, I still don't know what the Rosenstein story will end up being.

Both stories have strong, muscular legs, though.

[Watchfoxheadexplodes]

11. After McConnell statement last week?

I bet they invest in a bulldozer and push pervy through. I don't think he wants egg on his face after that.

[MineralMan]

12. That was last week.

This is moving too fast for last week to matter.

[Watchfoxheadexplodes]

15. Fox is pushing that second accusation

Has no credibility and is a ploy if the Republican leadership buys into it they will have the hearing Thursday. Then say she was heard now vote.

I simply think they just don't care.

[MineralMan]

19. Who cares what Fox News says?

They are irrelevant.

[Blue_true]

16. I tend to agree. The floodgate is open.

If Montgomery County says in a press conference that a fifth woman has come forward and that she actually filed a complaint, I don't see how Collins and Murkowski stay with him, or any democrats voting for him.

[berksdem]

17. as much as I want to believe

this to be true I really do not see it happening. I see this being a fight to the end and the reTHUGS still pushing this to a vote.

[cwydro]

18. One would certainly hope so!

I just no longer dare to keep my hopes up. Sigh.

[DrDan]

21. I don't think so - trump will be urging him to stay and fight - he loves the conflict

as long as his name is in the middle of it.

trump wants that 1-guaranteed vote security in the SCOTUS to protect him. And he makes progress on his pledge to weaken/overturn roe v wade.

So trump will be 100% behind him. Most of the gop senators will do whatever trump wants - they do not want him as an enemy. The rest will be bought off. There are two votes to play with . . .

Nope - don't see him leaving without more of a fight than what we have seen so far.

[KenCol]

23. Depends a lot on 2 Republican senators

If two say they want an FBI investigation before moving forward, that could be game over.

[lagomorph777]

24. I think so. As you say, the floodgates have opened.

And obscene liquids are spewing forth.

[apnu]

25. The R's are in a tough spot.

Obviously the Kavanaugh thing will build and build between now and Thursday. But also, Ralph Reed and other hard right Evangelicals have signaled that if they don't get Kavanaugh, they are staying home in the midterms.

But again, the more Kavanaugh plays the more the blue wave grows, all the signs are there. Plus the general circus of it all, further shows how inept the Republicans are, which is going to have a depressing effect on R turnout that is not rabid one issue, anti-choice, voters. And let's face it, that crowd doesn't have the pull it once had.

[lunatica]

27. Don't forget Ann Coulter will stay home and not vote if he isn't confirmed

I’m rather enjoying watching them eat their own.

Rock, meet hard place.

[apnu]

28. Hell, how can they win w/out Coulter's vote?

Its over! Stick a fork in them!

[lunatica]

31. If Trump is their emperor Coulter is their queen

[lunatica]

26. He's suicidal if he doesn't withdraw his name very soon

All of this would die down very quickly for him. Elections are too close now for anyone to waste a single minute more on him.

[Hoyt]

29. If he doesn't withdraw, the Supreme Court's reputation will be this --

https://www.democraticunderground.com/1017512032

[at140]

30. When Kavanaugh withdraws, I think Rump nominates this

guy...the one McTurtle was pushing. He is Indian ancestry.

[Turbineguy]

32. I think Kavanaugh is in very deep.

Trump obviously needs him in there to get him off the hook. I think promises and commitments have been made. From Kavanaugh's perspective, they may be irreversible. He's a desperate man. The question is if Kavanaugh is up to it? I don't think he is a sufficiently skilled criminal as he needs to be. This whole thing was supposed to be an easy score, but things are not going according to plan. He's now forced to operate from the Trump Playbook which is tenuous at best. Brazen it out, deny, deny, deny, and hope for a break.

As Horace Rumpole would say, "Give up your life of crime, you have no talent for it!"

If eventually confirmed in spite of everything, I don't think Kavanaugh will revoke Roe v Wade. I don't think he will be around long enough. He needs only to do Gamble v. the U.S. and make sure that Trump is not held to account. When he's done with that, he no longer serves a purpose. He can leave the Court. One way or another. One way, he'll be a wealthy man, another, not so much.

His supporters are correct, but for the wrong reasons, that nobody should have to go through this, .

If he withdraws, I would worry about his safety.

[TNLib]

33. Too me that is the most sensible political thing the GOP and Trump can do

But unfortunately the GOP is bat sh*t crazy so who knows.

[Bonx]

34. This is 100% going to happen.

[MineralMan]

35. I'm maintaining my prediction from Monday. Kavanaugh withdraws tonight.