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****A RATED MARIST POLL - Gillium 48% DeTrumpis 43%**** (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2018 OP
Florida Democrats! mcar Sep 2018 #1
Go Gillum! lark Sep 2018 #2
Yes! sheshe2 Sep 2018 #3
I would expect a pleasant boost in relative Democratic turnout compared with the likely voter model. David__77 Sep 2018 #4
Just sent a little more money to Gillum HopeAgain Sep 2018 #5
Bring it home!! MaryMagdaline Sep 2018 #6
Wonderfully stable Awsi Dooger Sep 2018 #7
My wife got a survey call this weekend OriginalGeek Sep 2018 #8
Pollster must have been working off a registered voter DeminPennswoods Sep 2018 #13
Let's take a step back edhopper Sep 2018 #9
I will actually be surprised if gillum doesnt beat desantis by 9-15 pts Tiggeroshii Sep 2018 #10
One can only hope edhopper Sep 2018 #14
It actually makes me a little sad when you use the Repube's real name, DSM Maven Sep 2018 #11
I changed it just for you. I was in a hurry. DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2018 #15
Yay! Maven Sep 2018 #16
Go, Andrew Gillum! And go, Floridians for good sense and decency! Hortensis Sep 2018 #12

HopeAgain

(4,407 posts)
5. Just sent a little more money to Gillum
Tue Sep 25, 2018, 05:17 PM
Sep 2018

I honestly think it's going to be closer than that. Florida Tea Party nuts come do out to vote.

 

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)
7. Wonderfully stable
Tue Sep 25, 2018, 05:35 PM
Sep 2018

But be prepared for a narrowing. That is by far the most logical track. DeSantis led the betting odds and conventional wisdom immediately after the nomination. Then he fell off the rail with "monkeying it up" and resulting positive surge for Gillum.

However, everything tends to drift back to the beginning. I always keep that in mind. It makes no sense that there won't be a favorable stretch for DeSantis that returns this race closer to where it was pegged on primary night.

I think Gillum wins narrowly

OriginalGeek

(12,132 posts)
8. My wife got a survey call this weekend
Tue Sep 25, 2018, 05:38 PM
Sep 2018

the caller ID actually said "Survey Call" and she debated answering as she was about to go fix supper but she answered figuring if it was gonna take a while she could give me the phone. (knowing how much I love to give my opinion on stuff lol). She asked if I could take the phone from her but they said they were calling her specifically so either she could do it or they would have to go on to the next person on their list.

They asked the most questions about Gillum/Desantis (although there were a few Nelson/Scott Qs too)

I'm not sure if they were from either campaign or a neutral outfit looking for info but they asked a LOT of "Who do you think would do a better job of fixing x..." questions... Environment, jobs, schools, etc....After about the 4th or 5th "Gillum" answer my wife said to the surveyor "You can tell I've already decided on Gillum - don't you think that's who I'm going to answer for all these?" and I don't know what they said but they kept asking the questions. Wife was getting perturbed by then but she managed to get in a few good shots at "disgusting desantis" lol.

On a related note, I was stoked to see some Gillum bumper stickers on actual cars out in the wild these last couple weeks too.

DeminPennswoods

(15,273 posts)
13. Pollster must have been working off a registered voter
Tue Sep 25, 2018, 05:51 PM
Sep 2018

list and calling specific demographics to ensure as little statistical bias as possible.

edhopper

(33,554 posts)
9. Let's take a step back
Tue Sep 25, 2018, 05:40 PM
Sep 2018

great for Gillum, but that this loathsome, racist, piece of shit is only trailing by this much shows us many of our fellow citizens are deplorable.

 

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)
10. I will actually be surprised if gillum doesnt beat desantis by 9-15 pts
Tue Sep 25, 2018, 05:43 PM
Sep 2018

The polls are not encouraging actually...

Maven

(10,533 posts)
11. It actually makes me a little sad when you use the Repube's real name, DSM
Tue Sep 25, 2018, 05:47 PM
Sep 2018

Just saying.

Good news nonetheless.

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