General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsWill Trump win Reelection?
11 votes, 0 passes | Time left: Unlimited | |
Yes - no question | |
0 (0%) |
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Yes - if he survives the next two years | |
7 (64%) |
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No | |
3 (27%) |
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He won't finish his first term | |
0 (0%) |
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Ugh - this is a Horrible poll!!! | |
1 (9%) |
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0 DU members did not wish to select any of the options provided. | |
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Disclaimer: This is an Internet poll |
PubliusEnigma
(1,583 posts)Le Gaucher
(1,547 posts)Polybius
(15,373 posts)Three months later.
PubliusEnigma
(1,583 posts)qazplm135
(7,447 posts)most Presidents get re-elected.
Having said that, he's almost uniquely unpopular, and his initial win was against a fairly flawed candidate and was razor-thin mathematically.
So putting those things together, I'd put the odds at 50-50 and would expect another very close election.
He won't win all of the states he won last time. I don't think he wins Michigan for example. Florida could be tough for him given his response to Puerto Rico and immigration policies.
But it will depend on us putting forward a team that does not generate the antipathy of the last team, and gets folks on-board on our side (because sadly the threat and reality of Trump doesn't necessarily appear to be enough).
Little Star
(17,055 posts)Last edited Mon Oct 15, 2018, 05:14 PM - Edit history (1)
because I'm praying that Mueller's investigation especially the part that is in The Eastern District of NY Court brings him down within that time frame.
It deservedly happened with Nixon and it's possible again. Maybe.
Vote and drag you family and friends out to vote too! It's up to us and it's our civic duty.
Vote like your life depends on it because it does!
zipplewrath
(16,646 posts)A very big incentive for Nixon was he needed the pension and staff that former presidents get. If he was impeached there was a very good chance he'd lose that and he had large legal bills. About the only way I see Trump quitting is if it is his last chance to protect the kids.
Little Star
(17,055 posts)I think that Mueller's teams are going to end up following that obvious trail. I would hope so at least.
Zing Zing Zingbah
(6,496 posts)Plus, who knows, maybe he'll have a Republican primary challenger. I would love that.
WhiteTara
(29,699 posts)Runningdawg
(4,516 posts)Just this week alone, 3 groups have been denied their voting rights: Native Americans who live on reservations in SD, people in GA who had their registrations held until after the deadline and students in NH who will now be charged hundreds of dollars for a "proper" ID. I expect that soon no ballots by mail will be accepted and we all know they are working on a way to disenfranchise people on public assistance. At this rate by 2020 he could win by a landslide.
Polybius
(15,373 posts)1) How will the Robert Mueller investigation go?
2) How will the economy be in 2020?
3) Who's running against him?
Hard to vote without knowing at least two of these. However, if the first two go his way, we would need a very strong candidate to rally behind and win.
standingtall
(2,785 posts)nt
Turin_C3PO
(13,952 posts)But Ive been disappointed before.
sarah FAILIN
(2,857 posts)Making us miserable. It is pointless.
Le Gaucher
(1,547 posts)With the scouts..
Mueller is chugging away but has been quiet for a while now.
But yet I think we are , on net, a hopeful bunch.
Have faith Sarah.. It's usually darkest before dawn.
brooklynite
(94,489 posts)Since we don't know Trump's legal situation, whether he'll be Primaried and who the Democrat will be, what useful information will this provide?
Awsi Dooger
(14,565 posts)I have more ideas on who doesn't qualify, than someone who does.
But I hope we understand those necessities. Trump realizes the vast gap between a two-term president and someone who is rejected by the voters during re-election. Our 2020 nominee will receive the full Roy Cohn treatment, and then some. It will be worse than Hillary faced or Kerry faced or any past Democratic nominee has faced. As Trump described to Leslie Stahl regarding the Kavanaugh situation, nothing matters except the bottom line. He will tell more lies than 2016, and so forth.
If we put a cupcake out there, he or she will be smushed.
CK_John
(10,005 posts)put his daughter up to get her Pac money.
Jamaal510
(10,893 posts)and the history of incumbents winning re-election have me somewhat wary. He's a joke to many of us on here and elsewhere, but his numbers should be much lower. Right now, 2020 is up in the air. None of us know who will come forward, and a lot can happen between now and then. Whoever that ends up winning our nomination in 2020 had better unleash his/her full arsenal against him, and all Democratic-leaning athletes, celebs, and ordinary people should donate and/or volunteer however possible. I sent a donation to ActBlue just a week ago for this year's midterms, and I plan on donating again in two years.
Polybius
(15,373 posts)It's another year later.