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Mon Oct 15, 2018, 08:24 AM

Will Trump win Reelection?


47 votes, 2 passes | Time left: Unlimited
Yes - no question
0 (0%)
Yes - if he survives the next two years
15 (32%)
No
17 (36%)
He won't finish his first term
5 (11%)
Ugh - this is a Horrible poll!!!
10 (21%)
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Disclaimer: This is an Internet poll

18 replies, 695 views

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Response to Le Gaucher (Original post)

Mon Oct 15, 2018, 08:25 AM

1. Ask this question again in a month.

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Response to PubliusEnigma (Reply #1)

Mon Oct 15, 2018, 08:26 AM

2. Trust me I will.

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Response to Le Gaucher (Original post)

Mon Oct 15, 2018, 08:26 AM

3. the odds favor it historically

most Presidents get re-elected.

Having said that, he's almost uniquely unpopular, and his initial win was against a fairly flawed candidate and was razor-thin mathematically.

So putting those things together, I'd put the odds at 50-50 and would expect another very close election.

He won't win all of the states he won last time. I don't think he wins Michigan for example. Florida could be tough for him given his response to Puerto Rico and immigration policies.

But it will depend on us putting forward a team that does not generate the antipathy of the last team, and gets folks on-board on our side (because sadly the threat and reality of Trump doesn't necessarily appear to be enough).

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Response to Le Gaucher (Original post)

Mon Oct 15, 2018, 08:51 AM

4. I'm in the if he survives two years column........

Last edited Mon Oct 15, 2018, 04:14 PM - Edit history (1)

because I'm praying that Mueller's investigation especially the part that is in The Eastern District of NY Court brings him down within that time frame.

It deservedly happened with Nixon and it's possible again. Maybe.

Vote and drag you family and friends out to vote too! It's up to us and it's our civic duty.

Vote like your life depends on it because it does!

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Response to Little Star (Reply #4)

Mon Oct 15, 2018, 08:53 AM

5. Nixon was broke

A very big incentive for Nixon was he needed the pension and staff that former presidents get. If he was impeached there was a very good chance he'd lose that and he had large legal bills. About the only way I see Trump quitting is if it is his last chance to protect the kids.

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Response to zipplewrath (Reply #5)

Mon Oct 15, 2018, 08:56 AM

6. Well then the law should focus on his kids too and

I think that Mueller's teams are going to end up following that obvious trail. I would hope so at least.

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Response to Le Gaucher (Original post)

Mon Oct 15, 2018, 09:29 AM

7. Too early to answer this question when we don't even know who he is up against yet.

Plus, who knows, maybe he'll have a Republican primary challenger. I would love that.

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Response to Le Gaucher (Original post)

Mon Oct 15, 2018, 09:32 AM

8. Ask me again on November 7th

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Response to Le Gaucher (Original post)

Mon Oct 15, 2018, 12:09 PM

9. Each day, I lean more toward yes.

Just this week alone, 3 groups have been denied their voting rights: Native Americans who live on reservations in SD, people in GA who had their registrations held until after the deadline and students in NH who will now be charged hundreds of dollars for a "proper" ID. I expect that soon no ballots by mail will be accepted and we all know they are working on a way to disenfranchise people on public assistance. At this rate by 2020 he could win by a landslide.

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Response to Le Gaucher (Original post)

Mon Oct 15, 2018, 10:49 PM

10. Depends on three things

1) How will the Robert Mueller investigation go?

2) How will the economy be in 2020?

3) Who's running against him?

Hard to vote without knowing at least two of these. However, if the first two go his way, we would need a very strong candidate to rally behind and win.

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Response to Le Gaucher (Original post)

Mon Oct 15, 2018, 11:08 PM

11. Trump better not get reelected if he does that will be the end of America

nt

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Response to Le Gaucher (Original post)

Mon Oct 15, 2018, 11:17 PM

12. I don't expect him to get re-elected.

But Iíve been disappointed before.

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Response to Le Gaucher (Original post)

Mon Oct 15, 2018, 11:19 PM

13. These stupid polls are only good for one thing

Making us miserable. It is pointless.

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Response to sarah FAILIN (Reply #13)

Tue Oct 16, 2018, 03:23 AM

16. I am just trying to guage our collective state of mind. We have had serious setback

With the scouts..

Mueller is chugging away but has been quiet for a while now.

But yet I think we are , on net, a hopeful bunch.

Have faith Sarah.. It's usually darkest before dawn.

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Response to Le Gaucher (Original post)

Mon Oct 15, 2018, 11:28 PM

14. What's the point of a meaningless poll like this?

Since we don't know Trump's legal situation, whether he'll be Primaried and who the Democrat will be, what useful information will this provide?

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Response to Le Gaucher (Original post)

Tue Oct 16, 2018, 02:50 AM

15. We'll need someone with charisma and teflon to defeat him

I have more ideas on who doesn't qualify, than someone who does.

But I hope we understand those necessities. Trump realizes the vast gap between a two-term president and someone who is rejected by the voters during re-election. Our 2020 nominee will receive the full Roy Cohn treatment, and then some. It will be worse than Hillary faced or Kerry faced or any past Democratic nominee has faced. As Trump described to Leslie Stahl regarding the Kavanaugh situation, nothing matters except the bottom line. He will tell more lies than 2016, and so forth.

If we put a cupcake out there, he or she will be smushed.

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Response to Le Gaucher (Original post)

Tue Oct 16, 2018, 03:32 AM

17. He just want to run off with the Pac money that he is building up, he'll

put his daughter up to get her Pac money.

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Response to Le Gaucher (Original post)

Tue Oct 16, 2018, 03:37 AM

18. His stable (albeit underwater) approval rating

and the history of incumbents winning re-election have me somewhat wary. He's a joke to many of us on here and elsewhere, but his numbers should be much lower. Right now, 2020 is up in the air. None of us know who will come forward, and a lot can happen between now and then. Whoever that ends up winning our nomination in 2020 had better unleash his/her full arsenal against him, and all Democratic-leaning athletes, celebs, and ordinary people should donate and/or volunteer however possible. I sent a donation to ActBlue just a week ago for this year's midterms, and I plan on donating again in two years.

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