This internals graph in the WSJ poll should delight Dems and scare the shit out of the GOP

[sunonmars]

Link to tweet

Both the under 40 figure and the over 65 figure are notable here. Voters under 40 going D+23 should not surprise anyone following me on Twitter. But, as @murphymike has noted often, the over-65 crowd only breaking R+3 is maybe even a bigger deal here. (H/t @dellavolpe for chart)


and this

Link to tweet

Link to tweet

new NBC/WSJ poll on battle for Congress, by age:

—18-34, +21 Dem
—35-49, +6 Dem
—50-64, +10 GOP
—65 and over, +13 Dem
.........................

If this happens on Tuesday GOP are screwed.

[dalton99a]

1. The long lines in Texas over the last two weeks were full of younger people.

[pangaia]

2. It seems to me that, in a way, the more important is the 'over-under' in each district.

Something like the 'average' vs the 'median' income.

[unc70]

3. Senior gap switching in Dem favor

A number of recent polls are showing the Repubs losing their advantage among seniors (over 65). I see several related trends contributing to this. First, Boomers are an increasing percentage of seniors. The generational boundary that was once at age 30 is now around 72.

The second factor is the growing gender divide by party is amplified among seniors. Women are increasingly Democratic and they greatly outlive me.

[CrispyQ]

4. For a lot of boomers, Social Security recently went from a nebulous withdrawal from our paychecks,

to an actual deposit in our bank accounts every month.

[andym]

5. Sadly, GOP and Trump still doing well among their real core

----------------Democratic Congress----------Republican Congress
Whites_____________ 44__________________ 50
Men (overall)_________43__________________50
White no college degree 36__________________60

And the problem is that the latter group (white no college degree) are situated in the South, Midwest and rural counties everywhere, where they are easy pickings for talk radio, Trump and Fox News.

Bottom line is that the Democratic Party should take the House and make it close in the Senate.
BUT, if not for this last group-- Democrats could actually have a blowout election with a 100 seat majority and a clear Senate majority.