FINAL STATE OF PLAY: Democrats On The Verge Of Flipping The House
By Cameron Joseph
November 5, 2018 6:00 am
The long-discussed blue wave may be about to wash ashore.
With Election Day just hours away, strategists in both parties think the House is highly likely to flip, with Republicans privately admitting that their chances of holding the majority look even slimmer now than a few weeks ago.
The killing of 11 Jewish worshippers by an alleged anti-Semitic white nationalist in Pittsburgh and the mail bombs sent to prominent Democrats and CNN allegedly by a radicalized Trump supporter dominated headlines and undercut any momentum the GOP had in many races, something President Trump himself has groused about. While his closing message of anti-immigrant fear-mongering may have helped in some Senate races, it’s at best a double-edged sword in the House, where suburban races predominate.
Strategists say that the few polls they conducted in the final days of the race in swing territory mirrored national public polling showing Trump’s disapproval rating climbing an average of three or four points in the race’s closing stretch, a bad sign for his party.
“This last week hasn’t been helpful,” said one GOP strategist involved in House races.
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