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RamblingRose

(1,037 posts)
Tue Nov 6, 2018, 09:52 AM Nov 2018

Can someone please explain polling to me? I live in GA 7th & we have 3 voters registered

in our household. Our land line & my cell phones have been ringing non-stop for over a month & all go unanswered. No one I know has answered their phones from unknown numbers and are sick of the calls.

My mom lives in Florida & we have a daughter in college there and neither of them answer their phones.

Where do they get these pre-election poll numbers from?? I heard Michael Moore on Chris Hayes last night basically say nobody knows what's going to happen today which makes more sense than following the polls.

Am I missing something???

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Guppy

(444 posts)
2. polling is done by statistical analysis
Tue Nov 6, 2018, 09:59 AM
Nov 2018

How many people answer and how many fit into a certain profile(age, race, income). When they fill their "number" then they go to the next demographic. Once they fill their number they then run their statistical model. 1,000 respondents is quite accurate. 600 lees so. Most are using 600 today.The wild card is new voters are are hard to factor in.

I did answer my phone and I did participate in the polling

I also live in the 7th and canvassed for Carolyn Bordeaux. I dislike Woodall with a passion. Did you go to any of the candidates forum?

RamblingRose

(1,037 posts)
7. I went to one sponsored by Gwinnett Sierra Club for the Democratic primary
Tue Nov 6, 2018, 10:15 AM
Nov 2018

for Woodall's seat.

I canvassed for Abrams Saturday and was sent to a 'non-gated' 'gated' community in Duluth by the coordinator and was rewarded by someone calling the police and getting a parking ticket from the Duluth police department.

Praying this doesn't go to a runoff!!!

 

Guppy

(444 posts)
8. was that the one at red clay theater?
Tue Nov 6, 2018, 10:20 AM
Nov 2018

you should have gone back to whichever group you were canvassing for and got a new list. Also it is in your rights to canvas and that property owner did not know his rights. It is not worth confronting him but you are within your rights.

The police are wrong. You can fight this unless you were parking illegally.

RamblingRose

(1,037 posts)
12. The citation requires me to appear in court. I guess it will come down to the politics of the judge
Tue Nov 6, 2018, 10:38 AM
Nov 2018

It was near Pleasant Hill Presbyterian Church. It must be a fairly new subdivision as it doesn't appear on googlemaps.

 

Guppy

(444 posts)
13. It does not come down to politics
Tue Nov 6, 2018, 10:44 AM
Nov 2018

You have a legal right to canvas. If they have posted no parking signs then you are in the wrong for parking. Go look at that subdivision and see if they have any posted "no parking signs". If they do then you will lose. If they don't you win. take pictures.

samnsara

(17,605 posts)
3. i answer mine just so i can put them on the block list afterwards..
Tue Nov 6, 2018, 10:00 AM
Nov 2018

..im polite...even when called by repugs...then I block them with my phone feature. They call on my land line not my cell.

Polly Hennessey

(6,788 posts)
4. I never answer any caller that I don't know.
Tue Nov 6, 2018, 10:01 AM
Nov 2018

We have voicemail and isn’t that what it is for. Maybe those before voicemail are the ones answering. Baby Boomers are you there??

 

lancelyons

(988 posts)
5. Same hear. I think it people looking for donations
Tue Nov 6, 2018, 10:02 AM
Nov 2018

I just can't donate every call so I don't answer many of them

lilactime

(657 posts)
6. The one poll call I answered...
Tue Nov 6, 2018, 10:12 AM
Nov 2018

turned out to be for the congressional district next to the one I actually live in.

Cicada

(4,533 posts)
10. They call 33000 to get 1000 who answer
Tue Nov 6, 2018, 10:26 AM
Nov 2018

It’s amazing that they can be so accurate with such a huge no answer rate. They weight the answers so they match a demographic model they have. So many of this age, sex, race, maybe education. Their accuracy is a miracle. Once I left a parking structure in downtown Los Angeles. I apparently put a muffin on the curved roof of my Porsche as I got in. Through rush hour traffic, stop and go, to Venice Beach, is that 10 or 12 miles? The muffin was still there when I got out and saw it. That’s when I realized that there may really be a god because that defies all rules of science. Poll accuracy is the second such miracle I have personally witnessed.

Cicada

(4,533 posts)
16. Actually, I taught statistics in college. It's a miracle to me.
Tue Nov 6, 2018, 11:28 AM
Nov 2018

You can’t know that those who answer are representative of the population. Your sample of white college graduate over 40 years old may differ in some ways from those in the population. Yet somehow it works. It’s a miracle. To me.

RamblingRose

(1,037 posts)
11. College kids do NOT answer their phones!!
Tue Nov 6, 2018, 10:29 AM
Nov 2018

Our other daughter is a first time voter freshman at UGA so we know a lot of college kids voting for the first time. A LOT of them are minorities. Her 'squad' from high school that are registered in GA 7 are Pakistani, Hindi, Vietnamese, Korean, Chinese & Japanese. I made sure they all got absentee ballots.

Clay Cox canvassed our house holding a yard sign, perhaps because he saw we had a new registered voter (?). I hate Cox more than Woodall.

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