Chump was at 44/55 approve/disapprove in exit polls

[DemocratSinceBirth]

Don't forget the presidential election will be an even more Democratic electorate and consequently his approval rating will be even lower with them. We can beat this malignant clown.

[NewJeffCT]

1. and remember

2016 was a razor-thin "win" for Trump - 77,000 or 78,000 votes in three states in total. (MI, WI and PA)

if just 1% of Trump's votes flipped, it would have meant Clinton won those 3 states plus Florida.

[Johnny2X2X]

2. And...

MI, WI, and PA now have Dem Governors. That makes a big difference.

The Dems have the House now, what that means is they can defend the country from more insane Trump policies being passed, they can try to negotiate some spending bills, but mostly they will be playing defense. And the 2nd thing they will be doing is investigation all of the hundreds of Trump scandals.

It's always politics, that's unfortunate, but that's reality. Dems need to use their new House control to parlay massive gains and a White House takeover in 2020.

[albacore]

3. My problem: Who the fuck are those 44%?? nt

[NewJeffCT]

4. people that are ok with racism

as long as they have the illusion of a decent economy?

[albacore]

5. Racism...misogyny... corruption...

And that's the problem. A damn large portion of the population in this country is down with that.

How do we ever have any kind of reconciliation? How do we compromise with people who are told by god that abortion is murder, and who think trump is a role model for their children, and who think Obama is a Muslim?

How do we ever "kiss and make up"?

Maybe we get a divorce.

[D_Master81]

6. I can lay it out

Probably 80% of those people are dyed in the wool Republicans that see his policies as what they want and have swallowed the GOP propaganda for decades and believe his fighting everyday with people as a good thing. Then there’s the rest that think the economy is good and that’s all they care about.
I think racism plays a part for some but less than half easily. Many Republicans see politics like a sport and just want to win over liberals, damn the consequences and right now they see trump as winning.

[Awsi Dooger]

7. If he remains in this approval range

That is the assumption that has not held up. Last year at this time he was 37-38 and assertions were that he would remain there. I insisted that would not be the case, that he could remain the same and be gradually accepted.

IMO, one year from now this 42-44 range will be considerably below where Trump stands.

Incumbency combined with cult has enormous advantage. I am not going to follow 2020 presidential at all, just like I didn't waste time and follow one day of 1984 with Reagan. I may have been very young but I knew it was impossible to defeat Reagan, given the obsession that Republicans had with him. This is different given the gender gap but I still believe the foundational aspect of incumbent with his party in power only one term is so powerful it will push Trump over the top, no matter how much of a slime he is.

Maybe I'll revisit in a year. Tanking economy would help, like late 1991 into 1992.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

9. He will definitely be running in a year with 1-2% GDP growth, if not a recession.

The effects of the tax cut are already petering out. Q2 18 GDP growth of 4.2% will likely be his economic high mark. His party wasn't supposed to lose 37 House seats, 7 governor seats, and 367 state legislative seats in a good economic environment. How will he and them fare in a worse economic environment?

[Quixote1818]

8. A recession is also likely

Which would make Rebecca-election impossible.