What are the chances the Senate will end up 51-49, with no change?

[stopbush]

Isn’t that a distinct possibility at this point?

[marylandblue]

1. Yes it's possible, look like we will win AZ, FL still a long shot

Last edited Thu Nov 8, 2018, 09:49 PM - Edit history (1)

[guillaumeb]

2. Arizona is looking more likely.

But anything less than control means the GOP will approve any Judge that Trump names.

[stopbush]

5. Not necessarily. Collins and Murkowski can perhaps still be swayed, even after Kavanaugh.

If the Rs end up with 53, then, yeah, nothing can help...unless McConnell tells tRump that he has to nominate more-centrist candidates.

[guillaumeb]

11. Collins has always voted to confirm.

In my view, McConnell is just as bad as Trump. He is slightly and superficially more polite.

[Salviati]

16. Anyone that expects anything other than mealymouthed betrayal from collins...

... is as gullible as she pretends to be.

[guillaumeb]

17. She is convicted by her own record.

But her voters might be just gullible enough to support her.

[FreeRunning]

3. it's hard to tell

so many different jurisidictions.

[David__77]

4. I don't think likely.

I think 47-53 is most likely. That’s better than the 45-55 I thought would happen on election night.

[Hav]

6. Not really

Getting to 49 would not only require a win in Florida but also winning the runoff (I think there will be one) in MS.

[Funtatlaguy]

9. Dems winning the runoff in Mississippi would be a huge upset.

[roamer65]

7. I think Sinema and Nelson will eek their races out.

That would make it 48-52, right?

[Blue_true]

14. That is what I am guessing.

A net loss of 1 seat for Dems with Dems having a brutal map to contend with.

Nelson is .22 behind Scott. There is a report of major uncounted votes in Broward County, a strong Dem stronghold. My guess is with Broward being corrected and statewide mailins being counted, Nelson over take Scott. Gillum may even pass DeSantis too, given that he is down by around .35 and gaining ground every hour literally.

I think that Sinema has Arizona, uncounted votes should lean heavily toward her by >4%.

[jcgoldie]

8. Even if Nelson miraculously wins a recount...

How do you think we have a legit shit in Mississippi where 2 republicans combined for 57% of the vote?

I would be delighted with 52-48 at this point.

[krawhitham]

10. Zero

The have flipped 3 (ND, MO, IN)

We might will flip 2 (NV & AZ)

Maybe pull out FL

But unless the Mississippi GOP if running a Pedophile we are not taking it

[Blue_true]

15. Heck, repugs in Mississippi likely could run a CONVICTED pedophile and still win.

That is how fucked the white Christians in that state are.

[Awsi Dooger]

20. Rachel at 9:15 on election night was touting Mississippi to potentially decide senate

This was with Donnelly gone, Nelson behind, Bredesen already a disaster, and Beto losing ground at every update.

I was in hysterics. Rachel is always dependable to absolutely butcher something on election night. She was going on and on with this preposterous theme that a Mississippi runoff might decide the senate. Meanwhile the odds were literally less than 2% at that point.

Chris Matthews was much too polite in butting in and saying...Rachel, I don't think things are looking promising for that side in the senate.

[John Fante]

12. 48-52 would be astonishing given how brutal

the senate map was for us. It would also put us in good position to take the senate in 2020.

[BluegrassDem]

18. Yes, considering how brutal the map was, we have to take what we can get and be happy

Can you imagine the bloodshed in the Senate if Hillary were president?

[Strelnikov_]

19. I agree

Only a blue wave could attain 48-52 with the headwind Dems faced in the Senate.

2018 . . . stop the offensive at Stalingrad . . . 2020 advance.

[Blue_true]

13. Small. That assumes we can win Mississippi, doubtful.

I am feeling that Sinema will win in Arizona. That should make it 53-48, a net loss of 1 seat for us.

[In It to Win It]

21. I'm proud of us for holdng our own despite the TOUGH (extreme empasis on TOUGH) map

Assuming that the GOP is up 2 more seats just means Susan Collins lost her swing vote power. She didn't really know how to use it anyway. She had all this power and got nothing for her constituents in return. CRAZY!