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reggieandlee

(775 posts)
Tue Nov 13, 2018, 09:57 AM Nov 2018

BTRTN: It's the "Get Out the Vote, Stupid!"

Born To Run the Numbers takes an historical view to note that Trump may be far stronger going into 2020 than one would think based on the mid-terms. But the mid-terms also show the Democrats the mantra for success...

http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2018/11/btrtn-its-get-out-vote-stupid.html

Excerpts: "First, the bad news: progressives need to know that the Americans tend to re-elect their incumbent President by an overwhelming degree. There are significant reasons why… which all seemed aligned to benefit Trump as we head toward 2020. Moreover, we cannot and should not assume that this blue wave generated momentum that will in any way carry into 2020. In sum, Donald Trump may be in a far stronger position going into 2020 than we realize. Let’s examine this through the lens of history...
"Aside from two exceptions, the party in power has held fast for their eight year turn at the wheel. In a 72 year period that contained a maximum of nine possible eight-year single-party terms, it happened seven times...
"If anyone is taking comfort that Donald Trump is wounded and therefore badly damaged going into the 2020 Presidential campaign season, think again. For starters, he has enormous wind at his back from two simple facts: the economy is roaring, and the country is not neck-deep in a wildly unpopular war. Those two facts alone are huge...
"We’ve been talking for a long time now about the fact that the United States of America is radically polarized. About the fact that it seems everyone has already made up their mind...The game has changed. Now, it is simply counting how many minds have been made up on the Red team vs. the Blue team. It is no longer a question of who can persuade the most people of their message. It is who can get the most people who already agree with them to actually vote. That is the logical conclusion of radical polarization."

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BTRTN: It's the "Get Out the Vote, Stupid!" (Original Post) reggieandlee Nov 2018 OP
No one should take anything for granted Cary Nov 2018 #1
explanation of title reggieandlee Nov 2018 #2
Not that part Cary Nov 2018 #3

reggieandlee

(775 posts)
2. explanation of title
Tue Nov 13, 2018, 01:34 PM
Nov 2018

The title of this post is a reference to the successful presidential campaign of Bill Clinton. Clinton's chief strategist, James Carville,
wanted everyone involved in the campaign to stay "on message," so he gave an extremely succinct directive about exactly what that message was: "It's the economy, stupid!!"

In today's post, the author is simply saying that 2020's equivalent of "It's the economy, stupid," would be to say "It's the get out the vote, stupid!"

The mid-terms give evidence to the fact that in our extremely polarized society, the point is no longer to try to convert Trump supporters to see the Democratic point of view. The point is to get every possible Democratic voter to the polls.

Cary

(11,746 posts)
3. Not that part
Tue Nov 13, 2018, 06:40 PM
Nov 2018

It's the idea that Unindicted Co-Conspirator is stronger than we think he is, and how that plays into the title.

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