General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsBernie Sanders running means a less "progressive" or more establishment candidate will win
Sanders will dilute the support of the Harris and Warrens of the world. This helps the Biden, Klobuchar, and Hickenloopers of the world.
Maven
(10,533 posts)Renew Deal
(81,855 posts)But there are many people out there looking for the "most progressive" option. Some even care if they are electable. All of the "progressive" options will cancel each other out.
Maven
(10,533 posts)I support Harris not only because she is one of the most progressive politicians out there but also because she is brilliant, effective and has excellent leadership qualities. I believe that she is eminently electable. I lived in CA when she was the state AG and I've seen her in action. She's the real deal.
Progressives are looking for the best candidate, not just a laundry list of positions. The idea that Bernie is going to take away support from Harris (when the two candidates couldn't be more different) is silly.
blm
(113,043 posts)Sanders additional candidacy will DILUTE the overall field of progressive candidates which could result in a more centrist candidate winning the nomination.
I have 3 progressives I am considering at this point, and Harris is one of them.
Andy823
(11,495 posts)You are talking about a group that won't vote "unless" they get their candidate, the so called most progressive option. Which to me means they are the same kind of crowd that was over on the JPR boards bashing Democrats and promoting trump instead of Hillary. The were never going to vote for a Democrat in 2016, and they won't this time, so I don't think what they want really matters.
We have a good group of progressives running and one of them will win, even if they aren't as progressive as the crowd on the JPR boards want.
emulatorloo
(44,116 posts)And IMHO Warren brings more to the table as the most progressive option. More accomplishments, and shes a policy wonk.
Of course YMMV
brush
(53,764 posts)And with California's primary moved way up on the primary calendar that is very likely to happen. Who needs all that divisiveness again?
Aristus
(66,316 posts)Because I'm a DEMOCRAT!
I won't do anything that will help re-elect Trump; including and especially voting for Bernie!
TomSlick
(11,097 posts)Bernie will help Trump win - again.
Thekaspervote
(32,755 posts)Primary... just like in 2016
Blue_Tires
(55,445 posts)and you think his cultists give a rat's ass?? Either Bernie wins or they'll blow the whole thing up out of sheer spite
PTWB
(4,131 posts)There are a lot of factors - Stein, Russian meddling, Comey, poor campaigning by HRC in the blue wall states, etc. I dont see Bernie fans being much of a factor.
I like Bernie. I think he would make a fine President, infinitely better than Trump. But right now Im leaning heavily toward Kamala for my primary support.
Blue_Tires
(55,445 posts)and lampshading the idea that there was NO FUCKING WAY Trump could *EVER* be worse than Hillary, Ed Snowden (back when folks still took him seriously) screaming that there was never a better time in history to vote third party, H. A. Goodman swearing up and down as late as OCTOBER 2016 that he had it from the most impeccable sources that Hillary's arrest was imminent and Sanders would be the new nominee, or in Susan Sarandon/Michael Moore's case adopting that bullshit "A-Hillary-loss-could-be-the-best-thing-that-ever-happened-to-this-party" talking point didn't have *ANY* effect on Dem voters at all...
And no these are not random nutbars, these are among some of the most prominent and high-profile names in the liberal pundisphere with millions and millions of followers on Twitter.
PTWB
(4,131 posts)Bernie certainly isnt responsible for messaging from Moore, Sarandon, Snowden, etc. Bernie endorsed Hillary. If he wanted to sow division he easily could have.
"I have come here to make it as clear as possible why I am endorsing Hillary Clinton and why she must become our next president," Sanders said at a joint rally. "Secretary Clinton has won the Democratic nomination and I congratulate her for that." Bernie July, 2016
Blue_Tires
(55,445 posts)Since they're the people who sunk him the first time, and they're the people who are going to sink him this time... But we all know that isn't going to happen yet oh my GOD there will be endless hand-wringing and recriminations when Bernie strikes out with black voters *again* because his most vocal supporters on Twitter have been calling Kamala Harris a cop and a whore who isn't even a real black woman for a solid month... And I've got news for you: The hatemob mentality might have halfway worked against a polarizing figure like Hillary, but it is NOT going to work against candidates of color more liberal than St. Bern. Of course Bernie hasn't taken a single bit of my advice since 2015 so why should he start now?
And yes, after some arm-twisting Bernie gave a warmed-over endorsement but he never actively encouraged his people to fall in line... It's hard for me to fully blame him, since so many people have been telling him he's the sole savior of liberal politics that it's only a matter of time before he starts believing in all that hero worship bullshit. I also know for a fact that Bernie really hates Hillary and Obama and the Dem party (which ironically is why he feels a kindred connection with Trump) so why would he help us out anyway?? I'd said in 2017 that the party would regret how much they bent over backwards to kiss his ass and kowtow to his snowflake mob cultists because he's just going to fuck us in return and that's what's happening.
I just want him to drop the fucking pretense and run as in Independent... This way his race can be ALL about HIM and he won't even have to deal with those messy rigged primaries...
Garrett78
(10,721 posts)That, far more than his policy positions, is what separates him from others and essentially eliminates him as a contender.
He's done after New Hampshire, which he may not even win this time around. Once we get into the larger, more diverse states, he has no path to victory.
PTWB
(4,131 posts)FWIW I love Obama and Kamala is most likely going to get my vote in the primary, though it is far too early to make a concrete decision.
Blue_Tires
(55,445 posts)Lest you forget, the last few time St. Bern has talked about Obama he couldn't avoid dishing out a backhanded non-compliment...
Any more questions? You're wearing me out for someone who just joined...
PTWB
(4,131 posts)Youd think a discussion wouldnt be too much for someone on a discussion forum, but it is what it is I suppose.
I dont know when the last time is that Bernie praised Hillary or Obama was. Im not a big Bernie guy and dont follow his every word, even less since he lost the last primary.
What I do know is that I support his progressive platform. If he wins the nomination Ill support him, although reluctantly - I dont trust him to stay a Democrat if he wins.
You made the assertion that you know for a fact that Bernie hates Obama, Clinton and the Democratic Party. I asked you to back that up. If you have evidence of that fact Id like to see it because anyone who hates Obama, Clinton or the Democratic Party is someone I will fight hard against.
Barack Obama was the best President in my lifetime. Hes in my top 3 since Lincoln. Hillary would have been a phenomenal President.
Blue_Tires
(55,445 posts)and I know this just by watching and listening to him... Perhaps you should try it yourself instead of coming at me? Sometimes reading a little more and posting a little less can make all the difference.
See that box at the top of the page? Why don't you have a dive into the archives and see for yourself if I'm lying, since I'm not your personal research assistant. Sorry, I quit playing that game 8 years ago.
Regardless, welcome to DU... However long your stay lasts.
Blue_Tires
(55,445 posts)But then why should you even know that?
PTWB
(4,131 posts)At least not in my state.
I feel like youre mad for the sake of being mad. I like Bernie. I support his progressive policies. I do NOT support him for the nomination. Im leaning toward Kamala.
Focus on what matters!
Blue_Tires
(55,445 posts)because, you know, Obama was wildly popular...
Is this the action of someone who supposedly loves, admires and respects Barack H. Obama?
PTWB
(4,131 posts)I definitely would have taken a dim view of that. We were lucky to have Obama for 8 years.
Thekaspervote
(32,755 posts)shanny
(6,709 posts)I thought it was the Russians! Or Jill Stein! (same thing!). Or Cheating! (I actually buy that one) Or a government that ignores far too many of its citizens! (that too)(oh wait...that one isn't an acceptable alternative, even as a partial explanation)
Dang. Now I'm confused. But that's OK. Everybody is.
emulatorloo
(44,116 posts)You dont believe it? No evidence?
Summary:
https://amp.usatoday.com/amp/348051002
Muellers indictment:
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2018/02/16/read-robert-muellers-indictment-13-russian-nationals-election-meddling/346688002/
InAbLuEsTaTe
(24,122 posts)trueblue2007
(17,205 posts)Palmer Report
?Verified account @PalmerReport
37m37 minutes ago
The whole problem in 2016 ended up being Bernie himself. Hes always been the problem.
For forty years hes been a toxic dumbass with zero accomplishments who just happens to be far-left.
Then cable news turned him into a god for the sake of ratings.
Hekate
(90,645 posts)shanny
(6,709 posts)y'know, when someone says stupid shit like that--after a career of saying stupid shit--it's OK to not listen
TheFarseer
(9,322 posts)I supported Bernie last time, but I think Id rather see Warren this time. I think they will split the progressive vote.
Garrett78
(10,721 posts)Midwesterners and New Englanders will hurt one another in Iowa and New Hampshire.
Many Bernie fans seem to love Warren but dislike Harris, even though the latter 2 have the same voting record.
Votes won't be split over policy positions so much as over demographics (race, sex, region, etc.) and perception of policy positions.
Sanders is wholly reliant on Iowa and New Hampshire. So is Klobuchar. So are Warren and Biden. And Brown. Disappointing finishes will effectively end campaigns.
CentralMass
(15,265 posts)Renew Deal
(81,855 posts)If it ever picked some for me.
Garrett78
(10,721 posts)For instance, there's virtually no chance that Sanders will be the nominee. Just as we knew after Super Tuesday in 2016 that he wouldn't be the nominee.
Thekaspervote
(32,755 posts)Awsi Dooger
(14,565 posts)If the base is determined to nominate someone from the more liberal wing, then it will sort out that way.
Primaries are like-minded people so one trigger can shift allegiance in the same direction. There is very little chance of the more liberal candidates splitting the vote in similar numbers.
Always default to normalcy and not adjustment
Doremus
(7,261 posts)Renew Deal
(81,855 posts)Look at what came out of 16 republican candidates in 2016.
?w=990
Doremus
(7,261 posts)end up with a Trumpenstein again.
Fewer candidates = no scary Trump monster! Yay, fewer candidates!!
Renew Deal
(81,855 posts)But there are consequences. #1 is a tyranny of the minority in which the most popular of the unpopular wins (Trump). #2 is if no one can get a majority of the delegates. That would be ugly.
Trump was a president most didn't want. He failed to get a majority in most primaries and failed to get one in the GE. Yet here we are.
Doremus
(7,261 posts)You're conflating Bernie's primary run with Trump's eventual win. Why?
Renew Deal
(81,855 posts)So Bernie specifically isnt relevant. The large number of candidates is relevant to what you brought up.
Doremus
(7,261 posts)Fewer choices is better?
I don't agree.
Renew Deal
(81,855 posts)SidDithers
(44,228 posts)Shes everything he is, plus shes pro gun control, and recognizes that womens rights and civil rights are important to Democrats.
Sid
Doremus
(7,261 posts)I don't think her candidacy should preclude Bernie's entry into the race however.
The more progressives the easier to push the party back into leftist territory imo.
Thekaspervote
(32,755 posts)IF She wins she will surround herself with great minds.
doc03
(35,325 posts)election running a socialist.
Doremus
(7,261 posts)If we're going to be against something, we should at least learn what it is we're against.
https://www.google.com/search?q=democratic+socialism&oq=democratic+socialism&aqs=chrome..69i57j0l5.2589j0j4&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8
David__77
(23,369 posts)....
Gore1FL
(21,127 posts)You know, vote dilution and all....
Autumn
(45,056 posts)Klobuchar, Hickenlooper and a couple of others will be gone quick.
Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)Most progressives will likely vote for one of them. And Unlike last time it will all probably be sorted out by March.
Renew Deal
(81,855 posts)Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)Renew Deal
(81,855 posts)Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)As was Hillary in 2008, after she stayed into the summer and dropped out when it was over. Good for the both of them.
Blue_true
(31,261 posts)Harris even outranks Warren in that regard. How can you make your claim in the face of their records?
Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)Blue_true
(31,261 posts)Harris was the most progressive or second. Bernie was seventh or eight. Warren was either first or second, the top was between Warren and Harris. Booker was around fifth.
Recursion
(56,582 posts)I don't know where he gets this reputation, because it's sure as hell not his Congressional voting record.
Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)or 70% tax rate, or tuition free college at universities. if you add those issues bernie and warren would win in a landslide
Blue_true
(31,261 posts)Recursion
(56,582 posts)In the Krugman/Banerjee/Fukuyama arc of that spectrum. She's also probably one of the more hawkish candidates we have.
Blue_true
(31,261 posts)Everyone that has announced so far except I think Klobuchar ranked higher than him when their voting records were compiled and graded by a progressive group. It was presented here on DU.
Bernie talks a good game, but his actual track record is middling.
LuvLoogie
(6,992 posts)Or the way he says. I am not a Democrat and I am running for the Democratic Party nomination for President because Democrats aren't good enough.
jcgoldie
(11,631 posts)...when he's the only major democratic candidate who the NRA doesn't rate an F.
BannonsLiver
(16,369 posts)Only Bernie and his followers didnt get the memo. But I suspect you are right about 2020, only not in the way you hope.
Garrett78
(10,721 posts)That may not be the case in 2020 with there being such a large field, but Sanders will - as in 2016 - be eliminated from contention no later than Super Tuesday.
shanny
(6,709 posts)My personal criteria visavis "progressive" is whether Wall St. is OK with a candidate or not. So far only Warren and Bernie are "not." In fact, I think they are hated, which greatly endears them to me. I think all the rest will split the more moderate vote, and there are a lot of them.
liberal N proud
(60,334 posts)I will not support Sanders in the primaries. He will not get my vote and I will do nothing to help him. I have worked on all campaigns going back to Clinton.
My support is earned and not demanded. And the crap that went down last election by the BS campaign and the Bobs left a very bad taste in my mouth, one I can still taste.
LakeArenal
(28,817 posts)bigtree
(85,986 posts)...coming from voters, and bolstered by at least three major Dem candidates.
Hickenlooper isn't a serious contender, and there's still Sherrod Brown to come, I think, possibly Beto.
AlexSFCA
(6,137 posts)e.g. bernie and biden or bernie and kamala. I wont vote for bernie in the primary but one doesnt need to be a genius to predict that bernie will win the primary.
Garrett78
(10,721 posts)I replied to a similar post of yours in another thread but now I realize that you're just trolling. That anyone could think Sanders is likely to win the nomination is dumbfounding.