Trump running a different race.

[Prosper]

Trump has a rock solid base. He can pick up the votes to win in his say anything to win campaign. He is already on record promising healthcare to everybody whether able to pay or not. Total lie and no republican would support it. But it will swindle votes from the millions of people that can’t afford premiums, copays or deductibles. Racist racial rabble rousing rallies will pick up more votes. It won’t cost him votes because he never had the humanitarian vote in the first place. His Jobs promise gets a boost from the widely lauded booming economy. False booming because working class wages are still stagnant and nobody knows how many new jobs go to one person. But he picks up more votes. MAGA gets a boost from him challenging to “Love it or leave”. Don’t forget there is a legacy of exceptionalism that denies equality. Lastly is his immunity to loss of support from negative issues , scandals or actions. Pelosi recommended: “Don’t take the bait, just stick with health care, good-paying jobs and clean government.”
With most democratic distancing from Universal Healthcare Trump wins with his promise everyone gets insurance. Same with all the rest of his promises. Winning the election from Trump will require out promising him on all his promises citing Republicans won’t support Trumps progressive promises. Democratics need to point out that they are the party that traditionally carries out jobs and healthcare improvements. Trump has to be out Trumped starting with Universal Healthcare. A centrist campaign will throw the election to Trump.

[Vogon_Glory]

1. The 2018 Elections Cast Doubt On Your Prognosis

Yes, Donnie’s hard-core base is still with him. But I think the last couple of years have been educational for at least a single-digit percentage of his starry-eyed voters who thought that Donnie would make their lives better. Many of those are either going to stay home or even vote Democrat.

We lost several Midwestern states by slender margins in 2016. I suspect that some of Orange Julius’ 2016 voters will have wised up by October 2020.

[Caliman73]

2. No. He is running the same race. A base turnout/opponent suppression race.

Yes his base is solid. It is about 25% to 35% of registered voters. There isn't much room for growth there. Most people by this point, know that he will not deliver on any promises that he makes so he won't pick up anyone who thinks he will do universal healthcare.


He is keeping his base riled up while he and the GOP look for ways to suppress Democratic votes.


I do agree with you however, that staying in the center and trying to reach out to the "undecideds" will play right into that strategy. Democrats have to give an opposite and compelling view of what they will be doing. They need to energize our own larger base, and try to wake up the 46% of eligible but dormant voters who have sat out the last 2 elections.