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Wed Sep 18, 2019, 11:56 AM

Israel's election results show Netanyahu is in serious trouble

https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2019/9/18/20871949/israel-election-results-who-won-benjamin-netanyahu

No one outright won. But Netanyahu did worse than he hoped and may lose office because of it.

The September Israeli election results are in — and it’s still not clear who the country’s next prime minister will be. But the results are the biggest threat to incumbent Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s hold on power since he took office in 2009.

With over 90 percent of the vote now counted, the centrist Blue and White party looks to have won the largest number of seats in Israel’s parliament, called the Knesset — 32 out of a total of 120. Netanyahu’s right-wing Likud came in a close second, with 31 seats.

Obviously, neither one of these parties has enough for a parliamentary majority on its own. Which means they will either have to make some kind of power-sharing deal with each other and form what’s called a “national unity” government or else cobble together some kind of coalition out of the seven smaller parties who made the Knesset. The most important of these is Yisrael Beiteinu, a hawkish secular party whose allegiances are very much up in the air. Its leader, former Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman, is widely described as a “kingmaker” in the Israeli press.

So who will come out on top here? Honestly, no one knows yet. But there is a real chance that Netanyahu will lose the top job even if his party remains in power. Benny Gantz, the head of Blue and White, has said he’s interested in a national unity government — but only if Likud dumps Netanyahu.

This is the fight of Netanyahu’s political life — and his personal one, too. Because if he loses, he will have no way to protect himself from imminent indictments on corruption and bribery charges. A defeat in coalition negotiations for Netanyahu might not just be the end of his political career; it could be the end of his freedom.


Sounds very similar to the American president.

Vox explains the complexity of the situation.

16 replies, 1644 views

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Arrow 16 replies Author Time Post
Reply Israel's election results show Netanyahu is in serious trouble (Original post)
IronLionZion Sep 2019 OP
bearsfootball516 Sep 2019 #1
IronLionZion Sep 2019 #2
Takket Sep 2019 #4
11cents Sep 2019 #7
FBaggins Sep 2019 #3
Takket Sep 2019 #5
11cents Sep 2019 #8
unblock Sep 2019 #9
Johnny2X2X Sep 2019 #12
brooklynite Sep 2019 #14
malaise Sep 2019 #6
UTUSN Sep 2019 #10
MaryMagdaline Sep 2019 #11
IronLionZion Sep 2019 #13
HipChick Sep 2019 #15
Mosby Sep 2019 #16

Response to IronLionZion (Original post)

Wed Sep 18, 2019, 12:00 PM

1. Didn't he say he's refusing to step down if he loses last night?

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Response to bearsfootball516 (Reply #1)

Wed Sep 18, 2019, 12:02 PM

2. He has said a lot of completely outrageous things

to fire up his voters to turn out. He's weakened by this close election but it would be sweet to see him go to prison.

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Response to bearsfootball516 (Reply #1)

Wed Sep 18, 2019, 12:04 PM

4. I hope he does refuse because seeing him dragged off

Kicking and screaming will be much more entertaining. Same for drumpf 2021

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Response to bearsfootball516 (Reply #1)

Wed Sep 18, 2019, 12:08 PM

7. NO. This was a misunderstanding of the Israeli parliamentary system ...

...that was widely shared (and widely debunked) on Twitter.

The "winner" of the election will not be known for weeks; it will be whoever is successful at putting together a governing coalition. Netanyahu has declined to state that he won't try to form that coalition. He was successful at doing so in a previous election in which Likud won fewer seats than a centrist party. Of course this time he's much more vulnerable (and also more desperate). So now he's implying that he'll seek a government of national unity instead of trying to put together a purely right-wing coalition.

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Response to IronLionZion (Original post)

Wed Sep 18, 2019, 12:03 PM

3. Barely two hours old and already out of date

Four conservative parties have agreed to act as a bloc and negotiate together. Their combined ~55 seats is not enough to form a government alone... but acting as a party, they would get first shot at forming a government.

With Netanyahu as the head

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Response to FBaggins (Reply #3)

Wed Sep 18, 2019, 12:04 PM

5. Dammit

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Response to FBaggins (Reply #3)

Wed Sep 18, 2019, 12:09 PM

8. "First shot" does not mean they'll win.

At least, that's the pattern from the past.

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Response to FBaggins (Reply #3)

Wed Sep 18, 2019, 12:12 PM

9. "Channel 13 gave one of the Likud's seats to the Joint List, giving them 31 and 13 seats, respective

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Response to FBaggins (Reply #3)

Wed Sep 18, 2019, 01:21 PM

12. Where are you seeing this

I thought it was speculated, but that there is no agreement yet.

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Response to FBaggins (Reply #3)

Wed Sep 18, 2019, 01:29 PM

14. They can't hit 61 without an alliance with Blue & White or Yisrael...

...neither of which will accept Netanyahu remaining at PM.

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Response to IronLionZion (Original post)

Wed Sep 18, 2019, 12:08 PM

6. Good riddance

Now send him to prison

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Response to IronLionZion (Original post)

Wed Sep 18, 2019, 12:33 PM

10. K&R

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Response to IronLionZion (Original post)

Wed Sep 18, 2019, 01:09 PM

11. Why don't we know the results yet?

There are only 9 million people in Israel. There are 18 million in Florida. I don't want to hear about how bad we are in Florida.

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Response to MaryMagdaline (Reply #11)

Wed Sep 18, 2019, 01:28 PM

13. In a parliamentary system, if no party gets a majority they have to build coalitions

until a majority is formed which will then select the prime minister. It's quite different in the USA.

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Response to IronLionZion (Original post)

Wed Sep 18, 2019, 01:48 PM

15. Everything the Con touches...

Bye bye BiBi

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Response to IronLionZion (Original post)

Wed Sep 18, 2019, 02:50 PM

16. Good summary

Rivlin has a really important decision to make, because likud and BW both can make a case that they are around 55-56 seats right now. The fact that shas hasn't ruled out BW is a big deal.

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