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Tue Oct 29, 2019, 05:45 PM

December 12th vote...hmmm...first vote on Brexit low turnout...hmmm


11 replies, 813 views

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Response to pbmus (Original post)

Tue Oct 29, 2019, 05:51 PM

1. This could go anyway...

Interesting times!

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Response to pbmus (Original post)

Tue Oct 29, 2019, 05:52 PM

2. I did hear that the first vote was pretty low turnout...

will the British people show up this time?

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Response to Wounded Bear (Reply #2)

Tue Oct 29, 2019, 06:05 PM

3. I've been informed that votes scheduled for winter time in the UK get far lower turnout,

especially among older people. If the Brits don't get out and vote then, like some voters in the US,
they deserve the government they get by default.

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Response to abqtommy (Reply #3)

Tue Oct 29, 2019, 06:08 PM

4. That's been our problem for years...

Trump was "elected" on low turnout.

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Response to abqtommy (Reply #3)

Tue Oct 29, 2019, 06:28 PM

8. There's been 1 'winter' election since the mass ownership of cars, in Feb 1974

and that had a higher turnout than the elections before and after it - see the graph at the first link in reply #6.

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Response to Wounded Bear (Reply #2)

Tue Oct 29, 2019, 06:24 PM

6. If you mean the turnout in the referendum, then, no, it was quite high

http://www.ukpolitical.info/Turnout45.htm
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/eu_referendum/results

2001 GE: 59.4%
2005 GE: 61.4%
2010 GE: 65.3%
2015 GE: 66.1%
2016 Brexit referendum: 72.4%
2017 GE: 68.7%

20th century turnouts were higher.

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Response to muriel_volestrangler (Reply #6)

Tue Oct 29, 2019, 06:58 PM

9. I stand corrected...

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Response to pbmus (Original post)

Tue Oct 29, 2019, 06:09 PM

5. The election will not be about Brexit, although if the Torries win they will certainly claim it was.

The election will be about all the issues, and all the candidates.

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Response to pbmus (Original post)

Tue Oct 29, 2019, 06:26 PM

7. What does "first vote on Brexit low turnout" mean?

Are you saying you predict this GE vote is "the first since a definite Brexit agreement existed" and it will be low? For past figures, see reply #6.

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Response to pbmus (Original post)

Tue Oct 29, 2019, 07:31 PM

10. Jeremy Corbyn's biggest problem is a lot of old Labour areas voted for brexit

If he tries to make the GE about social issues and governing on bread and butter politics he could pull it off. But he is unlikely to do that because brexit is the big topic that will dominate the campaign.

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Response to Otto Lidenbrock (Reply #10)

Tue Oct 29, 2019, 08:32 PM

11. Honestly, Corbyn is the worst Labor leader in my memory.

People criticize Blair for his decisions on war, but other than that, he had to Torries by the shorthairs.

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