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Demovictory9

(32,423 posts)
Mon Dec 9, 2019, 03:24 AM Dec 2019

Jobs of the future are clustering in a handful of (BLUE) U.S. cities study finds... fuels resentment

Last edited Mon Dec 9, 2019, 04:06 AM - Edit history (2)

Jobs of the future are clustering in a handful of U.S. cities, study finds
Howard Schneider
4 MIN READ

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - A new analysis of where “innovation” jobs are being created in the United States paints a stark portrait of a divided economy where the industries seen as key to future growth cluster in a narrowing set of places.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-economy-superstars/jobs-of-the-future-are-clustering-in-a-handful-of-u-s-cities-study-finds-idUSKBN1YD0B4

Divergence in job growth, incomes and future prospects between strong-performing cities and the rest of the country is an emerging focus of political debate and economic research. It is seen as a source of social stress, particularly since President Donald Trump tapped the resentment of left-behind areas in his 2016 presidential campaign.

Research from the Brookings Institution released on Monday shows the problem cuts deeper than many thought. Even cities that have performed well in terms of overall employment growth, such as Dallas, are trailing in attracting workers in 13 industries with the most productive private sector jobs.

Between 2005 and 2017, industries such as chemical manufacturing, satellite telecommunications, and scientific research flocked to about 20 cities, led by well-established standouts San Francisco, Seattle, San Jose, Boston and San Diego, the study found. Combined, these mostly coastal cities captured an additional 6% of 'innovation' jobs - some 250,000 positions.


Companies in those industries tend to benefit from being close to each other, with the better-educated employees they target also attracted to urban amenities.

Brookings Institution economist Mark Muro said he fears the trend risks becoming “self-reinforcing and destructive” as the workforce separates into a group of highly productive and high-earning metro areas and everywhere else.

Even though expensive housing, high wages, and congestion have prompted some tech companies to open offices outside of Silicon Valley, those moves have not been at scale. Most U.S. metro areas are either losing innovation industry jobs outright or gaining no share, Muro wrote.

Over this decade, “a clear hierarchy of economic performance based on innovation capacity had become deeply entrenched,” Muro and co-author Rob Atkinson, president of the Information Technology and Innovation Foundation, wrote in the report. Across the 13 industries they studied, workers in the upper echelon of cities were about 50% more productive than in others.

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Jobs of the future are clustering in a handful of (BLUE) U.S. cities study finds... fuels resentment (Original Post) Demovictory9 Dec 2019 OP
"a trend that started reversing around 1980" LOL. Gee, I wonder what else happened around 1980? LOL PSPS Dec 2019 #1
we need detectives on this, now! Hermit-The-Prog Dec 2019 #2
*snort* smirkymonkey Dec 2019 #11
Let's get that crack team that found Obama's fake birth certificate... Wounded Bear Dec 2019 #14
+100000 Pachamama Dec 2019 #3
As long as there is the Electoral College, we dare not forget where the resentment is DFW Dec 2019 #4
electoral college or not, we are still stuck with 2 senators per state AlexSFCA Dec 2019 #6
Senators block things, but a simple majority is all we need there to unblock, and it is within reach DFW Dec 2019 #9
Yes, your initial point is well said and people need to THINK MH1 Dec 2019 #10
Most electoral votes are still in the populous radius777 Dec 2019 #15
They can resent all they want, but at the end of the day tech giants are going to locate meadowlander Dec 2019 #5
Great post! Nt raccoon Dec 2019 #8
+1000 smirkymonkey Dec 2019 #12
Fwiw and otoh, the resentful ones are those not doing okay, Hortensis Dec 2019 #19
.. Demovictory9 Dec 2019 #13
Yes, companies won't go to shithole Red states radius777 Dec 2019 #16
Making the case for Universal Basic Income Sherman A1 Dec 2019 #7
Whereas I read that law students who want top jobs are advised Hortensis Dec 2019 #17
"Why rural American needs cities" and the case for more mid-sized cities: Garrett78 Dec 2019 #18

PSPS

(13,580 posts)
1. "a trend that started reversing around 1980" LOL. Gee, I wonder what else happened around 1980? LOL
Mon Dec 9, 2019, 03:32 AM
Dec 2019

So many things "mysteriously" started "around 1980."

- Two incomes required to comfortably support a household
- Income tax on the wealthy cut by 2/3
- Homeless population explodes
- US goes from largest creditor nation to largest debtor nation

Such a "mystery" how all of these came to pass "around 1980."

DFW

(54,302 posts)
4. As long as there is the Electoral College, we dare not forget where the resentment is
Mon Dec 9, 2019, 04:21 AM
Dec 2019

There are a lot of electoral votes in places that do not have booming coastal cities.

DFW

(54,302 posts)
9. Senators block things, but a simple majority is all we need there to unblock, and it is within reach
Mon Dec 9, 2019, 07:29 AM
Dec 2019

A simple majority of the popular vote for president, as we have seen all too clearly, is not enough to put the winner of that vote in the White House.

MH1

(17,573 posts)
10. Yes, your initial point is well said and people need to THINK
Mon Dec 9, 2019, 08:51 AM
Dec 2019

when deciding who / what to push in the 2020 presidential race.

The electoral college sucks but we have to work with it, or we lose.

radius777

(3,635 posts)
15. Most electoral votes are still in the populous
Tue Dec 10, 2019, 04:56 AM
Dec 2019

states that have diverse metro areas, which exist all across the country, not just on 'coasts'.

The Sunbelt (AZ,TX,GA,NC) has become urbanized and is trending towards Dems in the way that VA/CO/NV did, which I see more as the future of the party than some of the more culturally conservative states in the Midwest, for whom Trump's nativist populism is appealing.

meadowlander

(4,388 posts)
5. They can resent all they want, but at the end of the day tech giants are going to locate
Mon Dec 9, 2019, 04:39 AM
Dec 2019

where the work force is well educated and where well educated people want to live. Those are the people that they employ and they can't compete for the small pool of programming talent if they demand that their employees relocate to Fargo.

If you want to attract tech sector jobs stop defunding public schools, refusing federal funds for Obama-care, enacting regressive social policies and underfunding amenities like parks, libraries, museums, the arts, etc.

What talented young women are going to move to a city in a state that has no abortion clinics? What talented gay men are going to move to a city where they risk getting the shit kicked out of them in the street while the cops sit around laughing? What talented black people are going to walk past a statue of Robert E Lee on their way to work every day if they don't have to?

What 21st century company is going to locate in a state where it can't attract talent because people don't want to live there?

The Indianapolises, Milwaukees, Kansas Cities and Omahas of the world have no one to blame but themselves for four decades of short sighted and bigoted policy making. Stop "resenting" the coastal cities and take a good honest look in the mirror.

The cities that are going to be able to do this are cities like Denver that can leverage engineering know-how from the military industries. Seattle was a two-horse lumberjack town in the 1960s and 70s but it leveraged off all the kids of Boeing employees who insisted that they get a world class STEM education and now all those kids work in software development. Lots of other mid-Western and Southern cities are in the same position. They just need to invest in education and crawl out of the Stone Age.

 

smirkymonkey

(63,221 posts)
12. +1000
Mon Dec 9, 2019, 08:58 AM
Dec 2019

You make some excellent points. If only these resentful people in rural America could see that it is their own refusal to move forward and into the 21st century is the cause of most of their problems instead of blaming and resenting more liberal, innovative coastal areas they might be able to help themselves. But they won't learn until it gets too painful for them. Some of them will never learn.

Hortensis

(58,785 posts)
19. Fwiw and otoh, the resentful ones are those not doing okay,
Tue Dec 10, 2019, 06:59 AM
Dec 2019

Last edited Tue Dec 10, 2019, 07:56 AM - Edit history (2)

and not every rural town is failing economically by any means. Every day more conservatives are intentionally leaving higher-paying jobs in cities for lower pay in conforming communities full of people "like them." Although they probably resent finding they can't afford to shop in most urban mall shops, thanks to modern technology other stores are full of more good-quality goods, and far more affordable ones, than ever before.

All the cons we knew who left the city (L.A.) long ago for smaller, more conforming communities are smugly and irritatingly superior about it. They probably feel some resentment when others don't envy them enough or when forced to remembr they couldn't afford to live in a blue city now. But they don't want to, and wherever all this is taking our nation, that natural preference is key.

The people we knew had typically lived in self-defined small "communities" within the giant city, rejecting and literally never seeing or knowing most of it, including many of its world-class amenities. To a shocking degree to me each time I ran into this common preference in its conservative extremes. Like people who worked downtown but never once took the elevator to the expensive business-district street level and stepped outside. For god's sake, the MOCA was right across that well-maintained boulevard, a couple blocks down a fantastic bakery, and the Grand Central Market within lunch-hour walking distance!!! Okay, the GCM is full of "weird" things, and not all smell fantastic, gotta admit that. But still, !!!

In the individual picture, that the places conservatives are congregating lack the riches of blue-city vitality suits people who are wired to be happiest and contented living focused inward on a small world of others like them. All small-town people we've ever known, cons or libs, have been far more full of smug virtue than resentment, wondering what's wrong with the rest of the world as routine as commenting on the weather, as long as non-innovative local industry is able to provide modest incomes.

radius777

(3,635 posts)
16. Yes, companies won't go to shithole Red states
Tue Dec 10, 2019, 05:11 AM
Dec 2019

that want to live in the 1800s.

White conservatives in the heartland are often portrayed as victims, ie that their economic anxiety causes their racism/sexism/etc.

It really is the other way around - they feel no need to achieve anything because they feel their whiteness entitles them to all the good things America has to offer - unlike the PoC/woman/immigrant/gay/etc who lives under no such illusions and knows they have to battle to succeed in this society, and is happy to live/work/learn/play amongst all types of people in a modern and cosmopolitan (liberal) setting.

Sherman A1

(38,958 posts)
7. Making the case for Universal Basic Income
Mon Dec 9, 2019, 06:13 AM
Dec 2019

as proposed by Andrew Yang

HUMAN-CENTERED CAPITALISM
Capitalism as an economic system has led to unparalleled innovation and improvement in the human condition. Many consider it to have “won” the war of ideas against socialism, but that simplistic view ignores that there is no such thing as a pure Capitalist system. And our current version of institutional capitalism and corporatism is a relatively recent development.

Our current emphasis on corporate profits isn’t working for the vast majority of Americans. This will only be made worse by the development of automation technology and AI.

We need to move to a new form of capitalism – Human Capitalism – that’s geared towards maximizing human well-being and fulfillment. The central tenets of Human Capitalism are:

Humans are more important than money
The unit of a Human Capitalism economy is each person, not each dollar
Markets exist to serve our common goals and values

The focus of our economy should be to maximize human welfare. Sometimes this aligns with a purely capitalist approach, where different entities compete for the best ideas. But there are plenty of times when a capitalist system leads to suboptimal outcomes. Think of an airline refusing to honor your ticket because they can get more money from a customer who purchases last-minute, or a pharmaceutical company charging extortionate rates for a life-saving drug because the customers are desperate.

https://www.yang2020.com/policies/human-capitalism/


THE FREEDOM DIVIDEND
Andrew would implement the Freedom Dividend, a universal basic income of $1,000/month, $12,000 a year, for every American adult over the age of 18. This is independent of one’s work status or any other factor. This would enable all Americans to pay their bills, educate themselves, start businesses, be more creative, stay healthy, relocate for work, spend time with their children, take care of loved ones, and have a real stake in the future.

Other than regular increases to keep up the cost of living, any change to the Freedom Dividend would require a constitutional amendment.

It will be illegal to lend or borrow against one’s Dividend.

A Universal Basic Income at this level would permanently grow the economy by 12.56 to 13.10 percent—or about $2.5 trillion by 2025—and it would increase the labor force by 4.5 to 4.7 million people. Putting money into people’s hands and keeping it there would be a perpetual boost and support to job growth and the economy.

LEARN MORE ABOUT UNIVERSAL BASIC INCOME

https://www.yang2020.com/policies/the-freedom-dividend/

Hortensis

(58,785 posts)
17. Whereas I read that law students who want top jobs are advised
Tue Dec 10, 2019, 05:39 AM
Dec 2019

to style and sell themselves as conservative. That's where the money and power are.

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