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Tue Jan 28, 2020, 09:15 PM

From Pew Research -- Nine months before Election Day, three dozen House members heading for the exit

As of Jan. 28, 28 representatives (22 Republicans and six Democrats) have announced that they’re retiring and won’t seek reelection this year; four other Republicans and three Democrats are running for other offices instead. In addition, the seat of Duncan D. Hunter, R-Calif., who resigned earlier this month, won’t be filled by special election before November’s general election. That makes for 36 open seats that we know about so far.


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Good, seemingly fair methodology here. We need to pay attention, and put party money on training candidates toward these seats.

According to our analysis, the 2018 election cycle saw the second-highest number of voluntary departures from the House (that is, members retiring, resigning or pursuing some other office) since the early 1990s, with 58 representatives (39 Republicans and 19 Democrats) not running for reelection. Of those 58, 31 retired outright, 21 left to run for some other office, and six resigned without being replaced in a special election.


We have to do the Obama thing -- run the numbers on the ground. "On the ground" means laying out the voter profile, existing and potential.

https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2020/01/28/nine-months-before-election-day-three-dozen-house-members-heading-for-the-exits/?fbclid=IwAR1n0_OZ5TmAsJjzn9jb6nooMG-RSBUHNSVLNQXj7c-9T20n63QCJt4CrnM

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Reply From Pew Research -- Nine months before Election Day, three dozen House members heading for the exit (Original post)
ancianita Jan 2020 OP
Wounded Bear Jan 2020 #1
Tiggeroshii Jan 2020 #2

Response to ancianita (Original post)

Tue Jan 28, 2020, 09:21 PM

1. Wonder what the over/under on this is for Dem pickups...

I'm gonna go with 17 Dem House seats picked up in November.

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Response to ancianita (Original post)

Tue Jan 28, 2020, 09:24 PM

2. Likey!!

 

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