post - DNC, pre-debate DU Optimism Temp Check Poll for Pres. Obama's reelection

[NRaleighLiberal]

Just curious...

What is your current confidence level of President Obama's reelection? Provide your rationale if you wish...

if you don't want to vote, feel free to state how you think it will play out.

5 votes, 0 passes | Time left: Unlimited
	100% - no doubt at all
	0 (0%)
	80-99% - high confidence
	4 (80%)
	60-79% - feeling pretty good
	1 (20%)
	45-59% -thinking it will go either way
	0 (0%)
	25-44% - pessimistic
	0 (0%)
	0-24% - for whatever reason, feeling doom
	0 (0%)
	0 DU members did not wish to select any of the options provided.
Show usernames Disclaimer: This is an Internet poll

[Honeycombe8]

1. High confidence. Here's why.

Here's why I think Obama has won. These were updated a couple of days ago, before the convention results could be factored in. Convention results maybe wouldn't help Obama much, but it certainly won't hurt.





http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2012/Pres/Maps/Sep05.html

Obama: 332
Romney: 206

http://www.electionprojection.com/2012elections/president12.php?d=77

Obama: 303
Romney: 235

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

Obama: 313
Romney: 225

http://frontloading.blogspot.com/2012/09/the-electoral-college-map-9412.html

Obama: 332
Romney: 206



The only one I could find where Obama doesn't hit the magic 270 EV needed to win, still has Obama leading Romney (lots of toss-ups):

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html

Obama: 221

Romney: 191

[NRaleighLiberal]

2. High confidence for me - only reason I didn't pick 100% is...you never know.

that odd, off the wall last minute surprise.

High confidence because of how RMoney is pulling spending from some former key states and seeing PO's multiple roads to 270 vs RMoney's barely visible path.

Plus - I feel that the DNC has energized the base a bit, and the ground game will push things the way they need to - Must, for the future of the country, really - go.

[struggle4progress]

3. About 60 days of hard work ahead and then we'll know

[NRaleighLiberal]

4. + a zillion