This is a reason to increase one's concern about the Cornavirus

[RAB910]

I don't like to share a lot of personal information online and I am mindful that people can be anyone they want online. That said, I work in public health emergency preparedness and my work has been involved in the coronavirus issue locally.

When friends ask me if they should be concerned about the Coronavirus, I said what for an outbreak to take hold in another nation outside of China.

China has public health powers we in the US could only dream of (perhaps nightmares) and they seemed to be reasonably successful using their draconian powers and actions to contain the virus. It seemed like the best case, the disease would be more or less contained to China and the cruise ship from hell with other nations seeing a few isolated cases that they were able to contain.

Now this news from Korea is quite concerning as it seems the disease has effectively broken out of China and is now taking root in South Korea as well.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-51582186

This news has me quite concerned. I don't think it guarantees a pandemic, but it sure moves things much closer to that situation, much closer. It doesn't help that the disease involves a cult-like religion as cults tend to distrust authority which is not a good thing when you are trying to limit the spread of a contagious disease.

I am anticipating travel restrictions similar to China's applying to South Korea in the near future.

[lapfog_1]

1. hearing the inside story of how the Japanese handled the cruise ship

doesn't give me any warm and fuzzy feelings that the world is ready to deal with COVID19.

[RAB910]

3. It does seem like the cruise ship was handled poorly

I feel though, that it was a bit of an anomaly (or at least I hope that is the case)

[jeffreyi]

2. The numbers keep changing.

Apparently the disease definitions are being dynamically altered for convenience? Anyway, I guess we can hope that viruses actually don't like warm weather. In the meantime, the economic repurcussions...we are all susceptable to that "virus".
I think that at least in the short term, I will try to avoid traveling via flying petri dish. Or floating ones, for that matter!

[RAB910]

4. At the moment I don't think their is much if any risk if you fly domestically

international is another story (although most airports are screening passengers before they depart and after they land)

[lapfog_1]

6. corona virus (in general) don't really care about the weather

until it gets really extreme.

However, the spread of the disease is caused by (apparently) people remaining indoors and in closer contact with each other.

https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2020/02/12/805256402/can-coronavirus-be-crushed-by-warmer-weather

[RAB910]

10. This is well put N/T

[nocoincidences]

5. I completely agree with you.

I think we need to watch what happens in Iran over the next few weeks. The city of Qom seems to be the epicenter of cases, which jumped dramatically from 2 deaths to 4 deaths in only a few days, with 18 confirmed cases now.

People traveling from Iran are found to be infected in other countries now, one in Vancouver, one in Lebanon, and two more suspected in Lebanon.

https://bc.ctvnews.ca/b-c-s-new-coronavirus-case-is-woman-who-recently-returned-from-iran-1.4821112?fbclid=IwAR301H5nOiy6-WnfjKgCw75UDhtCuN714kSPLxQh9r6bmovcUWcFI3BdCaA

https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-china-health-lebanon-minister/lebanon-confirms-first-case-of-coronavirus-idUKKBN20F1XH?rpc=401&

[RAB910]

8. excellent point

I didn't bring up Iran (because I don't have a high confidence level in the news coming from there) but if they also have an outbreak things just got significantly worse

[Sogo]

7. You third sentence:

....should it say, "wait" not "what" for an outbreak to take hold in another nation outside of China.....?

Took me a while to make sense of that sentence....


And what do you mean about "a cult-like religion" in a later paragraph?

[RAB910]

9. I don't know much about the religion

However, the reports are that a funeral from one of the religious leaders (with at least one infected person in attendance) is the cause of the spike in cases.