General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forumsbwa... bwahaha... BwaHaHa... BWWWAHHAHHAHHAHHAHHA
No matter what you want to believe, you can find it on the internet... and in authoritative looking form!
This is cutting edge wing-nut electoral analysis. I find comfort in this this stuff. Seeing a truly idiotic argument in favor of something is often the most emotionally satisfying debunking.
This... how to put this politiely... this shit-headed cretin actually uses real poll data, but then gives states to Romney where Obama has established and steady leads, but is polling below the 50% level. New Jersey is a "toss-up" because Obama only leads by seven points. New Hampshire is "leaning Romney" because even though Obama clearly leads in NH, it's a traditionally Republican state. And so on. MN, NM, and PA are toss-ups? This bozo ought to call the Romney campaign because they are abandoning some states as lost causes that this fellow thinks are highly competitive.
For the record, Obama is leading in the RCP poll averages in every single one of this fellow's "Leaning Romney" states.
(In case anyone doesn't know, the Examiner is a "severely wing-nut" website.)
The state polls and race for electoral votes shows to be unchanged from the last GOP2112 analysis of the electoral vote race published here August 25, 2012. Not a single state has moved into a different category since then, and Romney maintains the electoral vote lead of 317 to 179 over Obama with 42 electoral votes from Pennsylvania, Minnesota, New Mexico and Oregon remaining in toss-up status. The map above shows which ways the states are leaning in this presidential race.
http://www.examiner.com/article/mitt-romney-electoral-vote-lead-holds-strong-through-both-conventions
ibegurpard
(16,685 posts)it ain't going to happen.
Arugula Latte
(50,566 posts)MindMover
(5,016 posts)bluestateguy
(44,173 posts)TheCowsCameHome
(40,168 posts)It must be gooooooooooooooooooooood stuff.
catbyte
(34,373 posts)No way. Pardon my French.
Diane
Anishinaabe in MI
BlueJazz
(25,348 posts)muntrv
(14,505 posts)Especially after "Let GM go bankrupt."
chknltl
(10,558 posts)Accusing him of having good sense may be a stretch though.
Let us hope he does not have insider data reflecting election fraud poll tamperings.
cthulu2016
(10,960 posts)It seems that a state is blue if Obama has never failed to have a 10+ point lead in a poll.
If Obama leads by 7 or 8 it's a toss up.
And if Obama leads by 3-4% it's "leaning Romney"
The state-by-state commentary really is something else.
NashvilleLefty
(811 posts)7-8% of the vote.
Remember, polls were showing that Kerry was winning in 2004 - even the exit polls.
oldhippydude
(2,514 posts)that they are pulling their cash for races elsewhere
Buzz Clik
(38,437 posts)Here's reality from pollster.com:
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2012/romney-vs-obama-electoral-map
speedoo
(11,229 posts)is incredibly funny. Sadly, there are real people who actually believe it.
get the red out
(13,461 posts)The readers of that site will be so optimistic that they don't even need to bother to go vote!
ejbr
(5,856 posts)berni_mccoy
(23,018 posts)nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)almost as good as a country wide EMP pulse weapon. It is up there.
Kurovski
(34,655 posts)I mean, it's not like it signed a living will or anything.
Warren DeMontague
(80,708 posts)That's quite possibly the funniest thing I've ever seen.
cynatnite
(31,011 posts)Qutzupalotl
(14,302 posts)And we have folks here advocating the inclusion of all the polls, however crazy, or it's not "scientific." But scientists need to ensure the integrity of the data, or it's garbage in, garbage out. This is just a rant writ large from a party growing more unhinged from reeality.
Warren DeMontague
(80,708 posts)More like Twin Chambers, for the bong he's smoking out of.
Qutzupalotl
(14,302 posts)I can see the pixels!
JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)just so long as he is willing to pay the same $100 amount to ME, for every EC vote above 270 that Obama gets.
From the polls I track, Obama will get at least 300 EC votes ... or about 30 votes above 270 ... netting me an easy $3000.
If you put this bet on a Vegas line ... the odds would make the bet uninteresting.