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cthulu2016

(10,960 posts)
Sun Sep 9, 2012, 08:30 PM Sep 2012

bwa... bwahaha... BwaHaHa... BWWWAHHAHHAHHAHHAHHA

No matter what you want to believe, you can find it on the internet... and in authoritative looking form!

This is cutting edge wing-nut electoral analysis. I find comfort in this this stuff. Seeing a truly idiotic argument in favor of something is often the most emotionally satisfying debunking.

This... how to put this politiely... this shit-headed cretin actually uses real poll data, but then gives states to Romney where Obama has established and steady leads, but is polling below the 50% level. New Jersey is a "toss-up" because Obama only leads by seven points. New Hampshire is "leaning Romney" because even though Obama clearly leads in NH, it's a traditionally Republican state. And so on. MN, NM, and PA are toss-ups? This bozo ought to call the Romney campaign because they are abandoning some states as lost causes that this fellow thinks are highly competitive.

For the record, Obama is leading in the RCP poll averages in every single one of this fellow's "Leaning Romney" states.


(In case anyone doesn't know, the Examiner is a "severely wing-nut" website.)


Mitt Romney electoral vote lead holds strong through both conventions



The state polls and race for electoral votes shows to be unchanged from the last GOP2112 analysis of the electoral vote race published here August 25, 2012. Not a single state has moved into a different category since then, and Romney maintains the electoral vote lead of 317 to 179 over Obama with 42 electoral votes from Pennsylvania, Minnesota, New Mexico and Oregon remaining in toss-up status. The map above shows which ways the states are leaning in this presidential race.

http://www.examiner.com/article/mitt-romney-electoral-vote-lead-holds-strong-through-both-conventions

26 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
bwa... bwahaha... BwaHaHa... BWWWAHHAHHAHHAHHAHHA (Original Post) cthulu2016 Sep 2012 OP
what's his excuse for Oregon? ibegurpard Sep 2012 #1
All the hippies here will be too stoned to actually vote, man. Arugula Latte Sep 2012 #26
Either a Romney staffer or a wannabee .... MindMover Sep 2012 #2
Even Karl Rove wouldn't spin this bullshit bluestateguy Sep 2012 #3
I want some of what he's smoking. TheCowsCameHome Sep 2012 #4
NO.FUCKING.WAY that Romney is taking Michigan catbyte Sep 2012 #5
Oh Noooo. We're doomed. I tell you Dooooomed! BlueJazz Sep 2012 #6
Michigan leans Romney? Fat chance. muntrv Sep 2012 #7
Well at least he had the good sense to leave WA. alone! chknltl Sep 2012 #8
Near as I can tell... cthulu2016 Sep 2012 #10
So that must mean that they're planning on stealing NashvilleLefty Sep 2012 #14
N.M. is such a toss up oldhippydude Sep 2012 #9
Ha! I have some knuckledragger friends who would be thrilled to see this. Buzz Clik Sep 2012 #11
GOP2112's "analysis".... speedoo Sep 2012 #12
That's great! get the red out Sep 2012 #13
+ 1 n/t ejbr Sep 2012 #22
He's Romney's Baghdad Bob. berni_mccoy Sep 2012 #15
Now this is a hell of an alternate reality map nadinbrzezinski Sep 2012 #16
Well you know what they say: "keep hope alive." Kurovski Sep 2012 #17
Oregon as a toss-up. Warren DeMontague Sep 2012 #18
I'm still debating if I want what they're smoking over there. n/t cynatnite Sep 2012 #19
Absurd, but it affects the average of all polls. Qutzupalotl Sep 2012 #20
Oh, it's "Dean Chambers" again. Warren DeMontague Sep 2012 #21
It's been Photoshopped! Qutzupalotl Sep 2012 #23
I'm willing to bet this idiot $100 for every EC vote over 270 that Romney gets ... JoePhilly Sep 2012 #24
pass that pipe spanone Sep 2012 #25

chknltl

(10,558 posts)
8. Well at least he had the good sense to leave WA. alone!
Sun Sep 9, 2012, 08:43 PM
Sep 2012

Accusing him of having good sense may be a stretch though.

Let us hope he does not have insider data reflecting election fraud poll tamperings.

cthulu2016

(10,960 posts)
10. Near as I can tell...
Sun Sep 9, 2012, 08:46 PM
Sep 2012

It seems that a state is blue if Obama has never failed to have a 10+ point lead in a poll.

If Obama leads by 7 or 8 it's a toss up.

And if Obama leads by 3-4% it's "leaning Romney"

The state-by-state commentary really is something else.

NashvilleLefty

(811 posts)
14. So that must mean that they're planning on stealing
Sun Sep 9, 2012, 09:01 PM
Sep 2012

7-8% of the vote.

Remember, polls were showing that Kerry was winning in 2004 - even the exit polls.

get the red out

(13,461 posts)
13. That's great!
Sun Sep 9, 2012, 08:54 PM
Sep 2012

The readers of that site will be so optimistic that they don't even need to bother to go vote!

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
16. Now this is a hell of an alternate reality map
Sun Sep 9, 2012, 09:04 PM
Sep 2012

almost as good as a country wide EMP pulse weapon. It is up there.

Kurovski

(34,655 posts)
17. Well you know what they say: "keep hope alive."
Sun Sep 9, 2012, 09:16 PM
Sep 2012

I mean, it's not like it signed a living will or anything.

Qutzupalotl

(14,302 posts)
20. Absurd, but it affects the average of all polls.
Sun Sep 9, 2012, 09:20 PM
Sep 2012

And we have folks here advocating the inclusion of all the polls, however crazy, or it's not "scientific." But scientists need to ensure the integrity of the data, or it's garbage in, garbage out. This is just a rant writ large from a party growing more unhinged from reeality.

JoePhilly

(27,787 posts)
24. I'm willing to bet this idiot $100 for every EC vote over 270 that Romney gets ...
Sun Sep 9, 2012, 10:43 PM
Sep 2012

just so long as he is willing to pay the same $100 amount to ME, for every EC vote above 270 that Obama gets.

From the polls I track, Obama will get at least 300 EC votes ... or about 30 votes above 270 ... netting me an easy $3000.

If you put this bet on a Vegas line ... the odds would make the bet uninteresting.

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