Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

cyclonefence

(4,483 posts)
Sun Mar 15, 2020, 10:22 AM Mar 2020

If warm weather will kill the virus

are we seeing any outbreaks now in the southern hemisphere, where it is warm?

It appears that there is one case in Brazil, in a man who had visited Italy. (http://virological.org/t/first-cases-of-coronavirus-disease-covid-19-in-brazil-south-america-2-genomes-3rd-march-2020/409)

On the other hand,

1) The Southern Hemisphere only makes up 10-12% of the global population, and since the population density is MUCH higher in the Northern Hemisphere, you'd expect to see bigger clusters of COVID-19 being reported here.

2) Testing methods are not as prevalent in many areas across the Southern Hemisphere, so there's a possibility many cases just aren't being detected.

3) Countries like Australia in the Southern Hemisphere are also struggling to limit the spread of the coronavirus. (https://www.nbc-2.com/story/41892048/will-warmer-weather-help-fight-the-coronavirus)

Has anyone read or heard anything more definite about low incidence in the southern hemisphere? And does the opposite hold true--i.e., is there a heavier incidence the colder the country is?

12 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
If warm weather will kill the virus (Original Post) cyclonefence Mar 2020 OP
Good question. Just heard Thomas Frieden on CNN bronxiteforever Mar 2020 #1
This virus is NEW. There's no evidence to support the assertion that warm weather kills it. Claritie Pixie Mar 2020 #2
This is what I have been struggling to get my boss to grasp. Pacifist Patriot Mar 2020 #3
Keep pointing your boss to the experts - they're saying "we don't know". Claritie Pixie Mar 2020 #7
You'll love this. Pacifist Patriot Mar 2020 #12
I believe there is some evidence that the warmer weather Drahthaardogs Mar 2020 #11
Iran has a huge outbreak and it aint cold there beachbumbob Mar 2020 #4
Singapore is a better example. Ace Rothstein Mar 2020 #8
Local temperature is 10 to 14 C (50-57 F) at daytime isn't cold, not even close beachbumbob Mar 2020 #9
It gets down in the 30's and 40's for highs in the winter. Ace Rothstein Mar 2020 #10
Florida snowybirdie Mar 2020 #5
Brazil has reported 151 cases so far NickB79 Mar 2020 #6

bronxiteforever

(9,287 posts)
1. Good question. Just heard Thomas Frieden on CNN
Sun Mar 15, 2020, 10:27 AM
Mar 2020

He was former director of cdc for President Obama. He said we don’t yet know about this strand and temperature and that some Coronavirus peak in the summer and others in the winter( I always thought the winter for all Coronavirus). So we are in the dark.

Claritie Pixie

(2,199 posts)
2. This virus is NEW. There's no evidence to support the assertion that warm weather kills it.
Sun Mar 15, 2020, 10:28 AM
Mar 2020

The truth is that we simply do not know how this virus will adapt in the coming months. If anyone tries to say they DO know, don't listen to them.

Claritie Pixie

(2,199 posts)
7. Keep pointing your boss to the experts - they're saying "we don't know".
Sun Mar 15, 2020, 10:38 AM
Mar 2020

Why believe someone with no expertise?? Good luck, hope your boss comes around.

Pacifist Patriot

(24,653 posts)
12. You'll love this.
Sun Mar 15, 2020, 11:16 AM
Mar 2020

He thinks the experts are over hyping, over reacting, and making inappropriate recommendations because they are experts. This event justifies what they have worked their whole careers for, so they are too invested in making it sound worse than it is.

Along with no appreciation for what flattening the curve means or that social distancing is the only proven method of slowing transmission.

This is the mindset I am dealing with. 🤦🏼

Drahthaardogs

(6,843 posts)
11. I believe there is some evidence that the warmer weather
Sun Mar 15, 2020, 11:11 AM
Mar 2020

Will slow it down. They used Italy as an example where the Alpine region is hit much harder than the southern areas. Although Daegu would contradict that. I have there twice in the last 5 years and it is much hotter than Seoul.

Ace Rothstein

(3,151 posts)
8. Singapore is a better example.
Sun Mar 15, 2020, 10:41 AM
Mar 2020

Iran actually isn't hot right now, at least Tehran. It gets quite cold there due to elevation.

 

beachbumbob

(9,263 posts)
9. Local temperature is 10 to 14 C (50-57 F) at daytime isn't cold, not even close
Sun Mar 15, 2020, 10:46 AM
Mar 2020

and that is only for a short period of time in the "winter"

Ace Rothstein

(3,151 posts)
10. It gets down in the 30's and 40's for highs in the winter.
Sun Mar 15, 2020, 11:07 AM
Mar 2020

They have a spring and fall unlike many of their neighbors. I don't believe daily highs in the 50's or even 60's is high enough to kill a virus.

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»If warm weather will kill...