What if we can't slow it?

[evertonfc]

Will it simply pass through the population, kill alot of people and remain around until immunities make it less transmissible and fatal as in the flu? Who days we will be able to slow it?

[brooklynite]

1. My journalist friend thinks it will decrease as we move into summer...

More U/V exposure and fresh air circulation helps.

[rzemanfl]

2. Not if you can't leave your house. n/t

[brooklynite]

3. Nobody's stopping you from walking to the store...

[rzemanfl]

11. So far. n/t

[cwydro]

9. I leave my house every day. I work outside in my garden.

I take my pooches to the park.

I seldom come into contact with anyone, since so many stay inside all the time (even before this virus).

[rzemanfl]

12. In Italy you'd need a permit to walk dogs. n/t

[cwydro]

13. I don't live in Italy.

I also own 26 acres of wild country outside my town, so I think I can take them there if need be.

[rzemanfl]

14. Good for you and your dogs.

[cwydro]

18. Kind of funny. My dad bought the property in the country because he thought there would be a

“cataclysm” one day. He stocked in tons of stuff and built a bunker out there. We used to tease him about his “cataclysm.” Wonder if somewhere somehow he’s watching all this.

It became a camp out spot for me and friends over the years. After he died, it came to me.

Nice to have it now. It’s a beautiful spot, with apple, peach, and pear trees. Wild turkeys roam there, as well as deer. My pooches love it. I keep chickens there, and grow lots of veggies (though the chickens are vicious at getting at my veggies!

[defacto7]

5. It's not what the studies show. WHO says don't expect it.

[SlogginThroughIt]

6. Take a look at Florida. It is sunny and warm there.

and it is all along the gulf coast.

[Ace Rothstein]

20. Same with Singapore, Brazil, Malaysia, Bahrain and Qatar.

[dewsgirl]

28. Its 77 in west palm and 76 in Miami right now.

[Igel]

7. Solar UV isn't all that dominant at the Earth's surface.

Most is absorbed in the upper atmosphere. Ozone layer and all that. https://gisgeography.com/atmospheric-window/

The jury's still out on the effect of small temperature differences on this puppy. Will the additional 20 degrees F make that big a difference? And if it's spread so easily, the flattening of the curve may not be all that great. In two months we'd expect feedback effects from the %age of the population already afflicted by COVID-19 to have a larger effect.

I like his belief. But I don't see any reason to think this one is all that good. Certainly better than "we're all doomed! AAAHHHH!" that I hear from the time to time.

[albacore]

17. It's summer in the Southern Hemisphere...

But Singapore, Australia, Brazil, and others down there are experiencing the upsurge in virus cases.

[jberryhill]

26. International travel affects that

Some of those cases can be from international travelers and direct exposure to them.

Warm weather is not magic, but the jury is out on whether it will slow things down.

[XRubicon]

25. The 1918 spanish flu slowed in the summer then came back in september/october

Killing the most of the outbreak

I think this will be the same.

[Aquaria]

29. Your journalist friend

Then needs to explain why it’s spreading in the Southern Hemisphere, where it’s still summer.

Or why it’s gained a toehold in equatorial Africa, where the weather is close to summer year round.

This virus doesn’t give a shit about season or climate. It only cares about finding more hosts.

[PoindexterOglethorpe]

4. The up side is that after everyone is exposed,

and the unfortunate unlucky ones die, everyone remaining should be immune. And then this specific virus ought to go extinct.

[Lulu KC]

8. I hate to say this

but people who have been released from hospitals in China are recontracting it. I wish I could give you a link to this, but I didn't keep it.
We don't know this virus yet.

[SCantiGOP]

15. small but important distinction

Some people who have recovered in China are again testing positive, but I haven't seen that anyone has recovered and then gotten sick again from an active case.
But testing positive again, even if it doesn't make you sick, is still very bad because that person could spread it to others.

[Lulu KC]

22. Indeed

I need to research this. After I walk the dogs and try to regain my sanity.

[SCantiGOP]

23. You better take a long walk

I'm not sure any of us are regaining sanity anytime soon, at least not before Jan20 of next year

[EndlessWire]

31. I am not sure

but there was a patient in San Diego who was finally cleared for release, and then got readmitted to the hospital with symptoms. They reported it as being like a relapse or something. Very alarming. To me, it is looking like no immunity is conferred.

Some things stay inside you forever and hide out. This may be one of them.

[jberryhill]

30. Beware of statistics

If they had 90,000 cases and there are ten people who were re-infected, bear in mind that people’s bodies are not machines. There are always unusual outliers.

[EndlessWire]

32. Well

What's in question is the immunity conferred. Is any? What is strange to me is the way they think that two weeks will do it. Then you are free to go out and get infected. The two weeks may prove you are clean, but I think each and every time you go out you earn another two weeks in quarantine.

Doctors don't seem to be testing for immunity. Are they? Now, I want to know what they are seeing. Anything? No one is telling us enough.

They also are not talking about the two different strains they have discovered. Is this responsible for the relapses? It would make sense, but damned scary if both are in the same environment at the same time. Can they both infect you at once?

We want to know, and not just be managed for our compliance.

[Zing Zing Zingbah]

10. Then we sure wasted a lot of days the kids could have been going to school n/t

[Claritie Pixie]

16. Then our hospitals will be overrun and a lot of people will die.

I am not being extremist, but flattening the curve is to make sure everyone can get the care they need, including critically ill people who don't have COVID-19.

[Lulu KC]

24. Exactly

I think this needs some serious messaging work for the public.

[KY_EnviroGuy]

19. Let's be honest: No one knows the answers to your questions. Period.

KY...........

[Celerity]

21. +100

[PubliusEnigma]

27. It will remain until all who can get it do. We are the first humans to build immunity to this virus.

We are the front line.

[Demonaut]

33. we can and will

[Raine]

34. Apparently it has slowed down in China

we have as a model of the way it moves.