RCP Average for April to date: Biden +5.9

[UncleNoel]

The general mood of the country is on Biden's side. Only FOX News this month gave Trump a break with a tie. The highest spike for Joe was +11 in a CN poll earlier in the month with Trump at his lowest (53 : 39--also Trump's lowest number. Joe broke 50% twice, once in the CNN poll and one in a Harvard/Harris Poll (both 53%).

While Battleground states are the most meaningful measures, it doesn't hurt to take the pulse of the nation sometimes.

The trajectories show Biden (blue) and Trump (red) maintaining a relatively even spread so that while the numbers to up and down, the spread remains roughly the same for recent polls.





Joe is ahead virtually al along,but the average spread is beyond the margin of error, it is too close to be complacent.

We need a surge for Joe to beat Trump. If Trump is going stir crazy in the WH, he can leave--next January!!

Go Joe!

[VMA131Marine]

1. Notice how Trump can't seem to get above 43%

There would seem to be no way he can win with numbers like that.

[UncleNoel]

2. Yep! With that kind of a ceiling and, I believe, he is actually in the 30s.

No way an incumbent can win reelection with numbers like that. SAtill, we have to be vigilant.

[UncleNoel]

3. On another thread, guillaumeb posted a nw poll with Biden 47 to Trump's 39.

According to a Reuters/Ipsos poll released Tuesday, the unpopular president is trailing Biden by eight percentage points, 47 percent to 39 percent.
For Biden, that’s a two-point jump in just a week and a four-point jump over the past two weeks as Trump’s coronavirus response is increasingly viewed as a failure by a majority of the American people.

https://www.democraticunderground.com/100213329449

I think we are going to win this one. It is a tragedy that our country and the world is in such an epic dilemma of suffering and death. Trump must go

Go Joe!

[OrlandoDem2]

4. It's all about the state by state polls.