Watch the polls.

[ProSense]

President Obama got a significant bounce coming out of the DNC, one that has lasted through yesterday.

Since yesterday, Mitt has experience one of the worst episodes in a Presidential campaign ever! A devastating move that led to him being abandoned by many people, including Republicans.

"Romney was faced with an important leadership test last night. He failed spectacularly."
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021325813

"Romney’s moment was...rash and shameful...Crass, undignified and troubling on many levels."
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021327008

Mitt's smirking disaster...
http://sync.democraticunderground.com/10021326694

Consensus: Mitt Romney Made A Fool Of Himself With Libya Response
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021327702

O.M.G. Mitt lost Newsmax!
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021330307

On the polling, the media went out of the way at first to try to minimize the President's post DNC bounce, that is until it grew.

Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: Is there an active effort to minimize the Obama convention bounce?
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021324028

There was also a significant shift on the economy.

The Morning Plum: Has Obama neutralized Romney’s advantage on the economy?
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021334354

Let's see what the polls show over the next few days, especially given that within the last 48 hours, Mitt basically revealed that he's unfit to be President.

Here is the current RCP average and comparison to 2008 for September 12.





http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/election_2012_vs_election_2008_four_years_ago_today.html



http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html

[NRaleighLiberal]

1. exactly! Seems like Nate updates his numbers around 9 PM est....

and it will take a few days for the Mitt-stake on Libya to hit - then the QE3 stuff and the improving Dow and economics. Then...the debates. Hope Mitt has some padding on his backside - it's bound to be a rough and rocky trip downward!

[ProSense]

2. Yup, and here's another poll

that has Obama up by five points.



http://www.democracycorps.com/National-Surveys/september-national-survey/

[ProSense]

4. LOL! Mitt on the Fed:

Romney Camp: Fed Action Proves Obama Failed

Mitt Romney's top policy aide says the Fed's major new monetary stimulus policy confirms that President Obama's economic policies have failed.

“The Federal Reserve’s announcement of a third round of quantitative easing is further confirmation that President Obama’s policies have not worked," said Lanhee Chen, Romney's Policy Director. "After four years of stagnant growth, falling incomes, rising costs, and persistently high unemployment, the American economy doesn’t need more artificial and ineffective measures. We should be creating wealth, not printing dollars. As president, Mitt Romney will enact bold, pro-growth policies that lead to robust job creation, higher take-home pay, and a true economic recovery.”

Though Romney disagrees with the Fed's step, he argues the only reason the Fed feels the need to do anything is that Obama hasn't fixed the economy. Other Republicans have inconsistently claimed that the policy won't work, and that it's being done to boost Obama's re-election chances.

http://livewire.talkingpointsmemo.com/entry/romney-camp-fed-action-proves-obama-failed

Romney lies about unemployment
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021306520

[NRaleighLiberal]

6. I don't have enough popcorn on hand in my house for the Mitt-watching ahead!

[ProSense]

7. He's gonna blow!

[BumRushDaShow]

3. K&R

Hope it holds!

[porphyrian]

5. . n/t

[ProSense]

8. More polls:

Obama widens lead over Romney to 7 points: Reuters/Ipsos poll
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021337947

NYT/CBS poll: LV - Obama 49, Romney 46; RV Obama 51, Romney 43
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021341386#post9

NBC/WSJ/Marist: Obama 50, Romney 43, (OH), Obama 49, Romney 44, (FL), Obama 49, Romney 44 (VA)

http://firstread.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/09/13/13848313-polls-obama-holds-the-edge-in-florida-ohio-and-virginia

Breaking: President Obama leads Mitt Romney in Ohio, Florida, and Virginia OUTSIDE the margin of error, and at virtually 50 percent in all three states.

- more -

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/09/13/1131507/-NBC-WSJ-Marist-Obama-50-Romney-43-OH-Obama-49-Romney-44-FL-Obama-Romney-VA

The margin among registered voters also increased

OH - Obama 50, Romney 41
http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/A_Politics/_Today_Stories_Teases/florida_poll_september.pdf

FL - Obama 50, Romney 42
http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/A_Politics/_Today_Stories_Teases/florida_poll_september.pdf

VA - Obama 49, Romney 42
http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/A_Politics/_Today_Stories_Teases/virginia_poll_september.pdf

Also: Womens' support for Obama grows
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021341613

[ProSense]

9. Gallup: Obama 49, Romney 44

http://www.gallup.com/poll/150743/Obama-Romney.aspx

[ProSense]

10. WAPO won't move Ohio to "Lean Obama" cuz it would hurt Romney's fee fees

WAPO won't move Ohio to "Lean Obama" cuz it would hurt Romney's fee fees

by zizi


Yes you read right. The reason Washington Post in Chris Ciliza's piece -- Why we aren’t moving Ohio to ‘lean Obama’ -- won't shift Ohio to "Lean Obama" on their electoral map, despite the EVIDENCE from various polls, is because it would prematurely show Romney losing. Their reason is NOT because Pres. Obama's lead is within the margin of error, or that there's insufficient polling available from different polling outfits. No. Among 3 mindboggling reasons, They are NOT changing their electoral map because of this reason (I kid you not):

Romney’s campaign simply will not walk away from Ohio. They understand that to pull money out of Ohio would be regarded as something between capitulation and panic — neither words they want associated with their candidate in the final 50 (or so) days between now and the election. Ohio is the crown jewel — electorally speaking — of the industrial Midwest, a region hit hard over the past decade by the collapse of the manufacturing sector among other economic hardships. Putting aside the symbolic importance of Ohio, there is also a practical reason to believe that the Romney campaign will spend every dime they have to try to win the state. With neither Michigan or Pennsylvania seemingly where the GOP would like them to be in terms of competitiveness, Ohio’s 18 electoral votes become all the more critical.

It is not surprising that Washington Post would bow to the GOP playing the refs after seeing what they did to Nate Silver earlier this week.

This is what remains of news reporting now; to deliberately manipulate FACTS in order to placate Republicans panicking about impending loss of Ohio. Washington Post is willing to lay it's puffed up reputation at the feet of political hacks just so their lies can last a little longer. And for the life of me I see nothing that prevents WAPO from changing Ohio back to toss up state later if polls change.

It is all about giving Romney as many chances as Koch $$$ has greased corporate media's ad departments with. Here you see blatant pandering to one campaign, stringing the electorate out for what reason? Buying time to put all the cheating tactics in place just as Ken Blackwell did in 2004?

Despite the fact that Real Clear Politics polling average of all the recent state polls out in Ohio shows Obama at 48.5% to Romney’s 44.3%, WAPO without an iota of proof says that this election is more likely to be a repeat of 2004 in Ohio. Therefore the President's clear lead must be transient.

- more -

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/09/14/1131974/-WAPO-won-t-move-OH-to-Lean-Obama-cuz-it-would-hurt-Romney-s-fee-fees

[ProSense]

11. Obama Extends Lead With Jewish Voters

Obama Extends Lead With Jewish Voters

President Barack Obama is closing extending his lead with Jewish voters, leading among registered voters 70-25 percent according to unreleased Gallup daily tracking poll data .

The data, obtained through a Democratic source, shows Obama up from leading 64-29 in polling this spring — and on par with his 2008 performance at this point when he led 69-25 over John McCain in Gallup polling. The data is drawn from tracking polls taken between July 1 and September 10th.

- more -

http://www.buzzfeed.com/zekejmiller/obama-extends-lead-with-jewish-voters

[ProSense]

12. More

<...>

PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION TRIAL HEATS:

NATIONAL (CBS/New York Times): Obama d. Romney (49-46 LV; 51-43 RV)

NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Obama d. Romney (49-44)

NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Romney d. Obama (48-45)

COLORADO (SurveyUSA): Obama d. Romney (47-46)

ILLINOIS (Southern Illinois Univ.): Obama d. Romney (47-34)

MICHIGAN (Foster McCollum White/Baydoun): Obama d. Romney (46-44)

NEW JERSEY (Fairleigh Dickinson): Obama d. Romney (52-38)

NORTH CAROLINA (Rasmussen): Obama d. Romney (51-45)

VIRGINIA (Rasmussen): Obama d. Romney (49-48)

WASHINGTON (Elway Poll): Obama d. Romney (53-36)

<...>

Look, I rag on Rasmussen all the time. And I still maintain that their assumption that the likely electorate in November will be 4-5 points more Republican than Democratic is a freaking joke. And I do have history to buttress that opinion. In the last 36 years of presidential elections, Republicans have never turned out in greater numbers than have Democrats in a presidential election. That 2004 tie between the two parties remains the high-water mark for the GOP.

But that does not mean that it cannot happen. It just means that it has not happened yet. If Rasmussen is right, then (a) they truly are ahead of the curve, and (b) we can all prepare for President Romney. But if they are wrong, it means that their polls are, indeed, a bit biased. Especially since Rasmussen, unlike virtually every other pollster that is respected in the community, actually weights their national polling numbers by partisan identification. Which means that R+4 or R+5 electorate is actually baked into their final results. Which goes quite a long way to explaining how every other pollster looking at the race nationally gives the president a modest-to-healthy lead, while the House of Ras is on an island claiming a slight advantage for Mitt Romney.

- more -

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/09/14/1131763/-Daily-Kos-Elections-Polling-Wrap-Why-trying-to-parse-political-polls-is-sometimes-a-fool-s-errand

If that's the case, how does Rasmussen explain its NC and VA numbers?

[ProSense]

13. Poll: Obama widens lead in Pennsylvania

Note that this is before Mitt's smirking disaster.

Poll: Obama widens lead in Pennsylvania

By Tom Infield and Thomas Fitzgerald

<...>

Here's why:

The Inquirer survey of 600 likely voters, conducted Sept. 9-12, found that 50 percent would vote for Obama if the election were held today, and 39 percent would vote for Romney.

Obama's lead was up from the 9 points found in the first Inquirer poll, Aug. 21-23, in which he led, 51-42. Poll results included voters who were leaning toward a candidate. Both surveys had an error margin of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

The Obama edge stands where it was when the 2008 campaign ended. Obama beat John McCain, the GOP nominee that year, by 111/2 points.

A companion Inquirer New Jersey Poll, also taken Sept. 9-12, showed Obama ahead by 14 points, 51-37.

- more -

http://www.philly.com/philly/news/politics/169885266.html

[BumRushDaShow]

15. Hopefully this one will shift further

since it's not really carrying the full Rmoney FAIL comments.

I know the 5-county Philly metro area is almost solid Obama now because I think some of the fence-sitting moderate rethugs in the rim who voted for Obama last time, are starting to swing back again to Obama because of the poor performance of the R/R ticket.

The 3 counties that I frequent (city + 2 rim suburban) have had NO Rmoney signs anywhere so far but the Obama signs have been out for at least a month and are growing. I am thinking that rethugs who like Rmoney are withholding advertising their choice (again, at least so far).

[ProSense]

17. Good to know, thanks. n/t

[ProSense]

14. Intrade:

<...>

On Intrade, Romney has dropped 10 points in 5 days.



<...>



- more -

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/09/15/1131945/-Abbreviated-Pundit-Round-up-More-blips-and-bounces

Not that I follow this, but it's out there, and Romney is taking a hit.

[ProSense]

16. Pew: Democrats Now More Positive on Campaign 2012

Democrats Now More Positive on Campaign 2012
Fewer Republicans See Campaign as Interesting, Informative





http://www.people-press.org/2012/09/12/democrats-now-more-positive-on-campaign-2012/

[mykpart]

18. I'm afraid to get excited about the polls.

I keep remembering 2004 when the polls showed Kerry ahead, and the exit polls even showed him leading, but the "official" count gave the election to Bush.

[ProSense]

19. This isn't about getting excited.

Mitt's campaign is imploding, even Republicans and the wingnuts know it. I mean, read the Newsmax piece.

Obama has erased the only perceived advantage Mitt had. There is little Mitt can do to stem the decline as he seems intent on out doing Sarah Palin in terms of cluelessness. Let's see where this goes.

[ProSense]

20. Gallup: Obama 49, Romney 45

http://www.gallup.com/poll/150743/Obama-Romney.aspx

Evidently, Romney's implosion is having a positive effect on his campaign.

Strange, huh?

[fugop]

22. Very strange

How could anyone feel better about Romney after that disaster the other day? Maybe they felt sorry for him. Or the appearances with the wife on morning shows?

[ProSense]

25. Yeah, let's see which

pollster try to sell bullshit. I mean, Romney lost is advantage on the economy, and that's not something to easily regain.

He has got nothing, and is in the middle of one of the biggest political blunders ever.

[ProSense]

21. Rasmussen: Romney 48, Obama 46

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 48% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns 46% of the vote. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. See daily tracking history.

When “leaners” are included, the race is tied at 48%. Leaners are those who are initially uncommitted to the two leading candidates but lean towards one of them when asked a follow-up question.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

That's -1 for Romney. Tied with leaners...hmmm?

[outsideworld]

23. God

John Kerry Thing makes me nervous .SMH

[fugop]

24. Relax

Kerry never had the electoral college strength that Obama has. It's nice to see the lead in national polls, but Obama's true edge is in the EC. Kerry always had a narrow path to victory ... Much like Mitt this year, who looks more and more like he'll need to run the table of battleground states. I just can't see it unless Obama implodes.

[ProSense]

26. I don't get it?

Kerry isn't even mentioned in the OP. LOL!

Another thing, Kerry was the challenger against an incumbent President. He was not in the same position as Obama by any stretch of the imagination.

[gollygee]

44. Oh my goodness!

Thanks so much for your concern!

[valerief]

27. So when Rmoney wins, it'll reek of fraud. nt

[ProSense]

28. New NYT/CBS poll shows 5-point increase in marriage equality support in just 2 months

New NYT/CBS poll shows 5-point increase in marriage equality support in just 2 months

by Chrislove

Yet another poll has shown that a majority of Americans support marriage equality. That a majority is on our side is no longer news. What is news is that this particular poll is showing a five-point increase in Americans' support for marriage equality--in just two months. That's a pretty big frackin' deal.

Just back in July, an NYT/CBS poll found a plurality of Americans in support of marriage equality. 46 percent supported it, while 44 percent were opposed. That's only a two-point spread.

Fast-forward to now. The same NYT/CBS poll is finding 51 percent in favor, bringing the poll into line with other polls finding majority support for marriage equality. And that's not all--add to that the fact that opposition dropped three points to 41 percent. So not only did this poll find that marriage equality support went up five points in a matter of two months, but there's a 10-freakin'-point spread, as opposed to the two-point spread a couple of months ago. Not bad for two months, eh?

Here are all of the numbers from the two NYT/CBS polls:



Sorry, NOM, FRC, and AFA--looks like your tactics couldn't be failing more miserably. It must really suck to put everything you have into drumming up hate against gays and lesbians, only to see something like this.

They can kick and scream and holler until the cows come home, but the opposition to LGBT equality is eroding like never before. What this poll shows more than anything, perhaps, is what we've already known from other polls and from experience on the ground--the anti-gay right is now a minority and looks to be staying that way. Get used to it, haters. There's lots more disappointment where this came from.

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/09/15/1132288/-New-NYT-CBS-poll-shows-5-point-increase-in-marriage-equality-support-in-just-2-months

Right-wing message FAIL!

[ProSense]

29. Rasmussen: Mitt losing ground

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 47% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns 46% of the vote. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. See daily tracking history.

Romney leads by eight among unaffiliated voters.

When “leaners” are included, it’s Obama 49% and Romney 48%. Leaners are those who are initially uncommitted to the two leading candidates but lean towards one of them when asked a follow-up question. With leaners, Obama pulls to within two among unaffiliated voters.

- more -

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

Yesterday after losing ground from the previous day, it was Romney 48, Obama 46, and tied 48 with leaners.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1002&pid=1350413

[ProSense]

30. Poll: Obama up two points in Michigan

Caveat: This is the same pollster that had Romney ahead by 15 points in Florida.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/08/20/aug-20-when-the-polling-gets-weird/

Their last Michigan poll had Romney ahead 48 to 44.

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/08/21/1122294/-Daily-Kos-Elections-Polling-Wrap-Will-Todd-Akin-stall-a-semi-legitimate-Republican-surge

The latest poll shows Obama 46, Romney 44, but the poll has the same problem as the previous Florida poll, it absurdly skewed.

In Which Age Range Do You Fit?
1- Between 18 to 30 years old, 2- between 31 to 50 years old, 3- between 51 to 65 years
old, 4- ages 66 and older

(Between 18 to 30 years old): 2.77%
(Between 31 to 50 years old): 14.55%
(Between 51 to 65 years old): 39.13%
(Ages 66 and older): 43.55%

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2012/FMWB_MI_0916.pdf

So here we have a poll that oversampled seniors and it still shows Obama with a six-point bounce.

[ProSense]

31. Gallup: Obama 48, Romney 45; Obama approval 50

http://www.gallup.com/poll/150743/Obama-Romney.aspx

http://www.gallup.com/poll/113980/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Job-Approval.aspx

Considering that Gallup had Romney up two points before the RNC, this is good to see.

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/08/21/1122294/-Daily-Kos-Elections-Polling-Wrap-Will-Todd-Akin-stall-a-semi-legitimate-Republican-surge

Still, Mitt's campaign is imploding and Gallup is showing no movement (in fact, a +1 yesterday) in Romney's numbers.

[ProSense]

32. Obama up 5 in Virginia

Obama up 5 in Virginia

PPP's newest Virginia poll finds Barack Obama leading by 5 points, 51-46. Obama's lead is unchanged from a month ago when we found him leading 50-45 in the state. He may not be seeing a bump from the convention in the state at this point, but he was in a pretty good position to begin with.

Obama has a slight advantage over Romney (49-47) in terms of who voters trust more on the economy and a wider (51-45) edge over Romney on foreign policy. Only 41% of voters say they approve of how Romney reacted to the situation in Libya this week while 48% express disapproval.

<...>

One thing playing to Democrats' advantage in Virginia is that their voters are actually more excited than Republicans about the election now, contrary to the conventional wisdom for most of this cycle. 73% of Democrats say they're 'very excited' about voting this fall compared to 63% of GOP voters. Women (64%) are more enthusiastic about voting than men (60%), African Americans (85%) are more excited than white voters (57%), and young voters (72%) are more excited than seniors (62%). Republicans can't count on winning back Virginia just by the Obama base staying home because it's still pretty enthusiastic.

<...>

Two other notes:

-Virginians narrowly approve of Obama (50/48) and narrowly have an unfavorable opinion of Romney (47/49).

-By a 50/43 margin voters in the state think Romney should release 12 years of his tax returns.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/09/obama-up-5-in-virginia.html

[ProSense]

33. Mitt's reaction to Libya

Only 41% of voters say they approve of how Romney reacted to the situation in Libya this week while 48% express disapproval.

This is actually worse than it looks because those approving are almost all conservatives, 75 percent of that group.

Among moderates, 63 percent disapprove, 27 approve.

[jillan]

34. Rasmussen has Mittwit up by 2 today.

[img][/img]

I know it's Repussen but - personally I'm a little nervous with what is going on in the ME,
not that Mitt is showing any leadership, but, it could hurt the President in the polls if the RW gets control of the message.

[ProSense]

35. It's actually one without

leaners. With leaners Obama is up by one: http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1002&pid=1355460

[ProSense]

36. Rassmussen: Mitt up by two, tied with leaners.

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 47% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns 45% of the vote. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. See daily tracking history.

Eighty-five percent (85%) of conservatives support Romney, and 91% of liberals plan to vote for Obama. As they have throughout the campaign, voters under 40 tend to prefer the president, while their elders favor Romney.

When “leaners” are included, the race is tied with both Obama and Romney at 48%. Leaners are those who are initially uncommitted to the two leading candidates but lean towards one of them when asked a follow-up question.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

[ProSense]

43. No change

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

[ProSense]

37. Latino Decisions Tracking Poll Wave 4: Obama 68% Romney 26%

Latino Decisions Tracking Poll Wave 4: Obama 68% Romney 26%

by FightingRegistrar

In the latest Latino Decisions tracking poll, it's Obama 68%, Romney 26%

Yes, Obama is still crushing Romney among Latino voters and he has received a nice bump over last week's poll which showed Obama 66%, Romney 29%. In fact, the percentage of Latinos who described themselves as certain to vote for Obama jumped from 56% to 62%.

Here is a list of all four tracking polls conducted so far:

Week 1: Obama 65% Romney 26%
Week 2: Obama 64% Romney 30%
Week 3: Obama 66% Romney 29%
Week 4: Obama 68% Romney 26%

So after both conventions, Obama has received a continued bump (3 points) and Romney's numbers have stagnated. On top of that, for the first time Latino respondents describe themselves as more enthusiastic for this election than the 2008 election (40% to 30%).

Here is a link to the poll: http://www.latinodecisions.com/files/4613/4782/6194/Tracker_-_toplines_week_4.pdf

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/09/17/1132768/-Latino-Decisions-Tracking-Poll-Wave-4-Obama-68-Romney-26

[ProSense]

38. Gallup: Obama 48, Romney 45; Obama approval 50

Gallup: Obama 48, Romney 45; Obama approval 50

http://www.gallup.com/poll/150743/Obama-Romney.aspx

No change.

[ProSense]

39. Monmouth U national poll: Obama up 7 points among RV, 3 points among LV

Monmouth U national poll: Obama has slight lead over Romney

By Politicker Staff

Pres. Barack Obama has opened a slight lead over Gov. Mitt Romney in the latest Monmouth University Poll of American voters...Currently, Obama holds a 7 point lead over Romney (48% to 41%) among all registered voters and a 3 point lead (48% to 45%) among likely voters. That compares to slimmer margins of 4 points and one point, respectively, in mid-August before both parties’ nominating conventions.

Fully 9-in-10 likely voters have heard about the recent violence and protests at U.S. embassies in Africa and the Middle East, including 61% who have heard a lot about this and 29% who have heard a little. When asked about the two presidential contenders’ public response to the situation, 39% of likely voters approve of how Obama has handled the situation to 27% who disapprove, with the remainder being unaware of the president’s response. Opinion is more divided on how Mitt Romney has dealt with the situation – just 25% of likely voters approve of the GOP nominee’s response to 29% who disapprove. The poll also found that a majority (51%) of likely voters trust Obama more than Romney (42%) to handle the nation’s foreign policy.

<...>

While foreign affairs have driven the recent campaign debate, the Monmouth University Poll also found that Obama has gained an advantage on domestic issues, particularly Social Security and Medicare. Half (50%) of likely voters now trust Obama to handle this issue compared to 42% who prefer Romney. Just one month ago, the two candidates were virtually tied among likely voters on this issue – 46% for Obama to 43% for Romney.

<...>

The poll also found Obama with a very slight edge on handling the economy and jobs. Nearly half (48%) of likely voters trust the incumbent on this issue compared to 45% who prefer Romney. One month ago this issue was tied at 45% for each candidate.

- more -

http://www.politickernj.com/59642/monmouth-u-national-poll-obama-has-slight-lead-over-romney

http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/84/159/2147483694/31a5695e-db0d-4272-b292-b9640f4ff7fb.pdf

[ProSense]

40. Obama's lead over Romney narrows to 5 points: Reuters/Ipsos poll

Obama's lead over Romney narrows to 5 points: Reuters/Ipsos poll

By Patricia Zengerle

<...>

With just 50 days before the November 6 election, Obama led the former Massachusetts governor by 48 percent to 43 percent among likely voters in the online poll conducted September 12-17. In a similar poll last Thursday, he led by 48 percent to 41 percent.

"My takeaway is that it's pretty decent news for Obama that his bump is sustaining so long and he may be turning the post-convention bump into a lead," said Ipsos pollster Julia Clark.

<...>

Thirty-seven percent of registered voters thought Obama had a better plan for the economy, compared with 34 percent who favored Romney on the issue. Obama led 36 percent to 35 percent on the issue in a poll released last Thursday.

Forty percent backed Obama on jobs and employment, compared with 36 percent who favored Romney.

- more -

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/09/17/us-usa-campaign-poll-idUSBRE88G1BV20120917

Romney's edge on the economy and jobs has been completely erased and Obama now has a decent lead.

[ProSense]

41. MA poll: Obama lead expands, Romney's unfavorable soars

Last edited Tue Sep 18, 2012, 12:46 PM - Edit history (1)

<...>

A survey by the Western New England University Polling Institute through a partnership with The Republican and MassLive.com revealed that Obama is now edging Romney, 64-32 percent, among registered voters and by 22 points, 60-38 percent, among likely voters.

In late May, the last time the university conducted a political poll, Obama led with registered voters 56-34 percent. At the time, likely voters weren't distinguished since the November election was more than five months away.

<...>

Obama's present favorable/unfavorable ranking is 64-29 among registered voters compared to 57-33 percent in May. Romney's ratio, on the other hand, is now 31-60 percent compared to 36-50 percent in May.

Additionally, the president's job approval rating has grown to 60 percent among registered voters in Massachusetts, compared to 54 percent in May. His positive job approval number among likely voters is 57 percent, the poll concluded.

- more -

http://www.masslive.com/politics/index.ssf/2012/09/poll_barack_obamas_wide_lead_o.html

That's a 15-point negative swing for Mitt

<...>

The telephone survey conducted by Western New England University's Polling Institute through a partnership with The Republican and MassLive.com, concluded that 57 percent of likely voters are giving Obama a thumbs up for his job performance while 36 percent say they don't approve of how he's handling the reigns of the free world. Among registered voters, 60 percent say they approve while 30 percent disapprove.

The numbers reflect an upward trajectory for the Democratic president hoping to win a second term against the Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney.

In May, the last time the university conducted a political poll, Obama had a 54 percent positive job approval rating among registered voters. Likely voters weren't distinguished in that poll because it was five months from election day.


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http://www.masslive.com/politics/index.ssf/2012/09/president_barack_obamas_massac.html

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42. Poll: With Big Support For Auto Rescue, Obama Up 5 In Michigan

Poll: With Big Support For Auto Rescue, Obama Up 5 In Michigan

President Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney by 5 in Michigan, according to a new survey released Tuesday from an in-state pollster.

The poll, conducted by Lansing, Mich.-based Marketing Resource Group, shows Obama leading Romney among likely voters, 47.5 percent to 42.3 percent.

Obama has long been the favorite in Michigan — despite Romney's personal connection to the state — due in large part to his administration's successful restructuring of the U.S. automakers. The poll shows that 61 percent of Michigan voters say they supported the federal government's rescue of the auto companies, compared with just 32 percent who say they were opposed.

Obama's approval and favorability ratings are also in positive territory. Fifty percent approve of the job the president is doing, while 46 percent disapprove. Additionally, 52 percent have a favorable view of Obama, compared with 44 percent who have an unfavorable view. Marketing Resource Group did not test Romney's favorability rating in the poll.

http://livewire.talkingpointsmemo.com/entry/poll-with-big-support-for-auto-rescue-obama