Arizona looks good to flip to blue in November
Watching the Senate race there between Democrat Mark Kelly and Republican incumbent Martha McSally, who has yet to win the confidence of voters since she lost to Kirsten Synema in 2018 and was appointed to fill McCain's old seat. Polls show Kelly up by anywhere from 5 to 8 points. And the rolling Morning Consult poll seems to indicate that Trump's popularity has fallen there quite a bit. The latino voter league there, which organized to successfully get rid of Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio, has continued registering massive numbers of voters. I think it goes blue in November, along with Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin and Florida. I don't see Trump flipping any blue states.
Kelly and Gabby are much loved in AZ. This might be the rare case where a Senate candidate can carry the POTUS candidate across the finish line.
5-10 times, if possible