Internals show Senate Democratic candidates ahead in Indiana and Wisconsin

[ProSense]

Donnelly poll puts Democrat ahead of Mourdock in Indiana Senate race

By Alexandra Jaffe

According to an internal poll out from Democrat Joe Donnelly's campaign, he leads Republican challenger Richard Mourdock in the race for U.S. Senate in Indiana.

Donnelly holds a three-percentage-point lead over Mourdock, 45 percent to 42 percent support. The campaign put out a polling memo that highlighted a possible opening among undecided voters for Donnelly, as that group supports President Obama by a six-percentage-point margin.

This new poll shows a slight increase in Donnelly's lead when compared to the last internal poll from his campaign, which gave him just a one-percentage-point lead over Mourdock in August.

- more -

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/249845-donnelly-poll-puts-democrat-ahead-of-mourdock-in-indiana-senate-race

Baldwin Holds Slight Lead Over Thompson in Internal

By Kevin Brennan

Democratic Rep. Tammy Baldwin has a slight advantage over former Gov. Tommy Thompson in the Wisconsin Senate race, according to a new poll conducted for Baldwin's campaign.

Baldwin leads Thompson, 50 percent to 45 percent, while 5 percent of respondents are undecided. The Democrat's lead is not considered statistically significant because it is inside the poll's margin of error.

<...>

But President Obama and down-ballot Democrats have seen encouraging polling numbers in the wake of the Democratic National Convention.

According to a polling memo from The Feldman Group, Baldwin's lead marks a notable turnaround for the Democrat. In a previous internal poll conducted in August, Thompson led Baldwin, 50 percent to 44 percent.

- more -

http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2012/09/baldwin-holds-s.php

Good news, especially in light of Elizabeth Warren's lead in two polls.

PPP: Elizabeth Warren leads in the MA-Sen poll... (updated Warren 48, Brown 46)
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021357998

[donco]

1. More good news

is that Akin is trailing McCaskill, according to the latest Rasmussen, putting her at six points ahead.

[ProSense]

2. Good. Thanks. n/t

[magnifisense]

3. I have more hope now than ever.

I'm still cautious, but I think we will keep the Senate, and our chances or taking back the House are looking better. I think Romney and Ryan are starting to hurt the Republican candidates in the congressional races. Romney's picking Ryan was a blessing for us.

[ProSense]

4. PPP: Kaine and Allen continue to be neck and neck (Kaine +1)

Kaine and Allen continue to be neck and neck

-PPP's newest poll of the Virginia Senate race finds...the same thing as pretty much every poll of this race conducted the entire cycle- a contest that's too close to call. Tim Kaine is ahead of George Allen by the thinnest of margins, 47-46. The candidates were tied at 46 a month ago.

These candidates are dead even about every way you look at it. 89% of Democrats are voting for Kaine. 89% of Republicans are voting for Allen. They're virtually tied with independents, with Allen having just a 44-43 advantage.

Their favorability numbers split pretty evenly as well. 41% of voters have a favorable opinion of Allen while 41% see him unfavorably. They're closely divided on Kaine as well with 42% giving him positive marks to 44% with a negative opinion.

There's not much reason to think this race will ever end up with one of the candidates winning by more than a point or two. The undecideds are voting for Barack Obama over Mitt Romney 41-36 so Kaine may have a slight edge with them but it's nothing like in Massachusetts or Nevada where the Senate undecideds are overwhelmingly Democratic leaning.

- more -

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/09/kaine-and-allen-continue-to-be-neck-and-neck.html

[ProSense]

5. Another Poll Shows Warren Out In Front In Massachusetts Senate Race

Another Poll Shows Warren Out In Front In Massachusetts Senate Race

The momentum behind Massachusetts Senate hopeful Elizabeth Warren appears to be real, with another poll out Monday night showing her with a lead over Sen. Scott Brown (R-MA).

A new poll from Suffolk University, conducted on behalf of Boston-based NBC affiliate WHDH, shows Warren leading Brown by 4 points among likely Bay State voters, 48 percent to 44 percent.

It's the latest piece of evidence that Warren has gained traction in the weeks following the Democratic National Convention after falling behind in August. Two other polls conducted after the convention, by Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling (PPP) and by Western New England College, showed Warren holding leads of 2 points and 6 points respectively.

Warren's lead in the Suffolk poll comes despite Brown boasting a higher favorability rating, although the Democratic nominee is also in positive territory. The poll shows 60 percent of voteres have a favorable view of Brown, compared with 29 percent who view him unfavorably. Warren, meanwhile, is viewed favorably by 52 percent of voters surveyed, compared with 33 percent who view the consumer watchdog unfavorably.

http://livewire.talkingpointsmemo.com/entry/another-poll-shows-warren-out-in-front-in