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guillaumeb

(42,641 posts)
Fri Jul 3, 2020, 01:17 PM Jul 2020

50% Of Voters Say They Absolutely Won't Vote For Trump

From the article:

Slightly more voters say they are certain about their support for Biden (40%) than say the same about Trump (34%). Fully half (50%), though, say they are not at all likely to support the incumbent while 39% say the same about the challenger. In addition to Biden’s current firm support, another 3% say they are very likely to vote for him and 9% are somewhat likely, while 6% are not too likely. In addition to Trump’s current firm support, another 2% say they are very likely to vote for him and 6% are somewhat likely, while 6% are not too likely.


To read more:

https://www.politicususa.com/2020/07/02/voters-wont-vote-for-trump.html
6 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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50% Of Voters Say They Absolutely Won't Vote For Trump (Original Post) guillaumeb Jul 2020 OP
I'm Suspicious ProfessorGAC Jul 2020 #1
I agree. guillaumeb Jul 2020 #3
But... will they vote? keithbvadu2 Jul 2020 #2
And how many of us will work to motivate voters? guillaumeb Jul 2020 #4
Trump got elected with 46.1% of the vote Locutusofborg Jul 2020 #5
its even worse than that........ Takket Jul 2020 #6

ProfessorGAC

(64,413 posts)
1. I'm Suspicious
Fri Jul 3, 2020, 01:27 PM
Jul 2020

I'd need to see the actual questions.
Biden is over 50% with at least a 10 point load in 3 polls, rated B+ or better by 538.
But, only 40% are certain of their support for him.
If it were a couple %, ok. But, 10-13% difference between support and intention to vote.
Even the committed support and likely vote don't add up to 50% in this poll.
I'm not placing too much stock in this one, even though it's net positive for Biden.

guillaumeb

(42,641 posts)
3. I agree.
Fri Jul 3, 2020, 01:34 PM
Jul 2020

It is one indicator, one quite a few many so far, that show confidence in Trump is slipping away even among GOP and Independent voters.

But only the national election counts.

guillaumeb

(42,641 posts)
4. And how many of us will work to motivate voters?
Fri Jul 3, 2020, 01:35 PM
Jul 2020

We know why Trump must go, but we also know that many refuse to vote, or are prevented from voting.

Locutusofborg

(524 posts)
5. Trump got elected with 46.1% of the vote
Fri Jul 3, 2020, 01:41 PM
Jul 2020

Clinton: 65,853,514
Trump: 62,984,828

Trump: 304 Electoral Votes
Clinton: 227 Electoral votes

We must never let up on Trump for one single second. He will do everything in his power to steal the election. 26 Republican Governors, 53 Republican Senators and 5 Supreme Court Justices
plus Vladimir Putin will help him.

Takket

(21,421 posts)
6. its even worse than that........
Fri Jul 3, 2020, 01:47 PM
Jul 2020

100 million couldn't be bothered so drumpf was elected by about 62/(62+65+100) = 27% of the voting eligible populace

so i find this "50% say they won't vote for drumpf" figure to be completely meaningless as far as trying to predict the election.

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