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Thu Jul 23, 2020, 07:49 PM

Trump lost his re-election in February.

Instead of heeding his smarter advisors on the right course of action, he listened to himself and the sycophants that reflect his worst instincts. Instead of seizing on the moment to be ~Presidential~ he instead chose to make cheap political points with the base in denouncing/minimizing the risk we, as a nation, faced.

In late February he was publicly calling the virus a Democratic Party Hoax. And the death calculus was that the real damage would occur in the Urban population centers, so that's why he wanted to liberate the American people from wearing masks. A few hundred thousand voting Democrats was no big deal to Donald.

But, turns out that Democrats are the intelligent party. They listen to the scientists and do the things necessary to mitigate their exposure. His voters believed his BS about masks not needed and various other snake-oil profit opportunities. Now they are the ones paying the price.

So he can't have his in-public victory lap/convention because he caused this problem and when his virtual moment happens, he's going to be trying to explain why he deserves another 4 years.

That's going to be a special moment in American political history. I hope the complete mental breakdown is Youtubed.

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Arrow 12 replies Author Time Post
Reply Trump lost his re-election in February. (Original post)
OAITW r.2.0 Jul 2020 OP
malaise Jul 2020 #1
CatWoman Jul 2020 #9
malaise Jul 2020 #10
edhopper Jul 2020 #2
HotTeaBag Jul 2020 #3
Stuart G Jul 2020 #4
malaise Jul 2020 #11
struggle4progress Jul 2020 #12
Drunken Irishman Jul 2020 #5
OAITW r.2.0 Jul 2020 #6
The Genealogist Jul 2020 #7
delisen Jul 2020 #8

Response to OAITW r.2.0 (Original post)

Thu Jul 23, 2020, 07:52 PM

1. THIS

Meanwhile Biden wrote this Op Ed about the virus in January. Now everything the Con is signing up to shows that he's taking orders from Biden. It's hilarious.

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Response to malaise (Reply #1)

Thu Jul 23, 2020, 08:56 PM

9. yes

the op's post is excellent

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Response to CatWoman (Reply #9)

Fri Jul 24, 2020, 05:16 AM

10. Agree

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Response to OAITW r.2.0 (Original post)

Thu Jul 23, 2020, 07:54 PM

2. Do not count our chickens

He "lost" last time too, when the pussy tape came out. But here we are.

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Response to edhopper (Reply #2)

Thu Jul 23, 2020, 07:56 PM

3. Yep.

 

.

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Response to edhopper (Reply #2)

Thu Jul 23, 2020, 08:01 PM

4. But this time he has without doubt ...proved.. he is 1) a liar 2) a con man 3) a bully..4) a fool

He won't win. He has totally exposed those 4 truths. Many of his former supporters has said that they
won't vote for him, publically.. How many that won't say so, believe the same thing?

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Response to Stuart G (Reply #4)

Fri Jul 24, 2020, 05:17 AM

11. You left out the most important one - genocide

There will be 150,000 dead within hours

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Response to Stuart G (Reply #4)

Fri Jul 24, 2020, 06:01 AM

12. Sure, he's a liar, a con man, a bully, and a fool ... But aside from that, what do you think of him?

When I knocked doors for Clinton in 2016, lots of people told me Donny Two Scoops wouldn't win

He won the electoral college because we were too complacent

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Response to edhopper (Reply #2)

Thu Jul 23, 2020, 08:04 PM

5. Even at the height of the pussy tape blow back, Trump was still doing better than he is now.

 

The tape dropped on 10/7/16. On that day, Hillary led by an average of 44.1 to 40.9 - or a margin of 3.2 points. He definitely took a hit in the polls as, ten days later, he trailed 46.2-39.1, which was a margin of 7.1, but that's still less than Biden's current average lead.

Moreover, there was a hint in these numbers that Trump wasn't severely damaged by the tape. Overall, he lost 1.8 points in ten days off his total. Hillary grew her lead from 44 to 46, so, roughly the same amount. But there wasn't a significant break. And that was Hillary's highwater mark. By October 25th, her margin over Trump was only five-points.

But the worst wasn't the margin. The margin was a good sign for Hillary, however, her polling percent was not. At just 46% at the height of the Trump blowback, she still struggled expanding that lead anywhere close to 50%. Moreover, and I can't stress this enough, the total undecided/third party vote at this point remained ridiculously high. 10 days out from the Access Hollywood tape, 14.7% of Americans said they were either voting third party or undecided.

In the 11 national polls released since June 1st, Biden has hit 50% or greater in seven of those polls. Two additional polls has him at 48 or 49%. No poll had him at Hillary's highwater mark of 46% head-to-head with Trump during the Access Hollywood scandal.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Reply #5)

Thu Jul 23, 2020, 08:12 PM

6. The next 3 months for Trump will be atrocious.

Health and Economic metrics will continue to slide. By November 1st, he's going to be down to 25% of the popular vote....IMHO.

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Response to edhopper (Reply #2)

Thu Jul 23, 2020, 08:48 PM

7. I learned that lesson in 2016

Not going to rest til the votes are counted.

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Response to edhopper (Reply #2)

Thu Jul 23, 2020, 08:49 PM

8. Romney thinks Trump will win. He is opposed to Trump

I think many Democratic voters lean overconfident and have never accepted or prepared for Putin involvement.

Too much belief in our own mythologies.

The senate us crucial.

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