Cook Political moves five House seats in our direction, one towards Republicans.

[RandySF]

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?s=20

CookPoliticalReport
@CookPolitical
New House rating changes:
#AKAL Likely R to Lean R
#AR02 Solid R to Likely R
#FL26 Lean D to Toss Up
#GA06 Toss Up to Lean D
#NY02 Lean R to Toss Up
#OH10 Solid R to Likely R

Full article here (Lock): https://cookpolitical.com/analysis/house/house-overview/house-rating-changes-cash-disadvantage-compounds-gop-woes

[AleksS]

1. Oh Florida. Never ceasing to disappoint.

Keep racing to the bottom.

[Awsi Dooger]

3. You might want to understand the situational influence of that race

Mucarsel-Powell is running against a popular mayor with huge name recognition, certainly far more well known than she is. She won a tight upset two years ago in a wave election.

That was actually a very strong and comparatively sensible Republican she defeated in 2018, hardly a wingnut. But now she's got to do it again versus an even more formidable opponent.

The district covers portions of southwest Miami but mostly stretches down through the Keys. It's a blue leaning district but that is only part of the story. Whenever Republicans run popular Cuban-Americans in the South Florida area it's hellish to defeat them. This race is like a congressional version of the Nelson/Scott senate race in that it is basically two incumbents squaring off against each other.

IMO, the race should always have been rated a toss up to begin with, once Gimenez entered the race. It was always top tier danger list for the DCCC. I think the national evaluators make some sloppy assumptions when they look merely at the partisan index of the district without taking into account the demographic advantages of the challenger. Mucarsel-Powell is going to somehow make inroads among the Cuban community to win this thing.

[samsingh]

4. But

you're right, but at this point, any thinking people should be voting against trump. i'm surprised how many traitor loving, murderer loving people are out there.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

2. HERE

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