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Guaranteed Fresh ******HEARTLAND POLL RELEASE: BIDEN LEADS IN MIDWEST***** (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Aug 2020 OP
Fantastic numbers Johnny2X2X Aug 2020 #1
You get paid for every *? :-) USALiberal Aug 2020 #2
DSB's style got my attention! nt Ilsa Aug 2020 #4
DSB polling advisories are their own genre of DU post Maven Aug 2020 #6
I like them. NurseJackie Aug 2020 #9
Nice numbers calguy Aug 2020 #3
No higher than 43% for WMPCT**? Kanye will need to work Ilsa Aug 2020 #5
3 of the 4 are must wins for us... jimlup Aug 2020 #7
WARNING: only 200 polled in each state - MOE is 7% Fiendish Thingy Aug 2020 #8
I haven't seen a 200 poll in years and years Awsi Dooger Aug 2020 #10

Johnny2X2X

(18,973 posts)
1. Fantastic numbers
Thu Aug 6, 2020, 12:07 PM
Aug 2020

All look a little like outliers save for MI, Biden is definitely up 10 in MI.

B/C rated poll on 538, so not great, but not bad.

Ilsa

(61,690 posts)
5. No higher than 43% for WMPCT**? Kanye will need to work
Thu Aug 6, 2020, 12:16 PM
Aug 2020

harder and take his meds to draw support from Biden.


**Stands for Woman Man Person Camera TV

jimlup

(7,968 posts)
7. 3 of the 4 are must wins for us...
Thu Aug 6, 2020, 01:10 PM
Aug 2020

we must have MI, WI, and MN. Those along with PA essentially put Biden in. Unless we get something big down South, this is the path.

Fiendish Thingy

(15,551 posts)
8. WARNING: only 200 polled in each state - MOE is 7%
Thu Aug 6, 2020, 01:44 PM
Aug 2020

Link claims MOE is only 3.5%, impossible with N of 200 - DO NOT TRUST THIS POLL!

Actual MOE for each state is actually +/-7% using calculator at
https://www.pollfish.com/margin-of-error-calculator/

This pollster has only had two polls analyzed by 538 (compared to hundreds for the major pollsters) for a provisional rating of B/C (provisional means no predictive data exists to prove accuracy of polls).

 

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)
10. I haven't seen a 200 poll in years and years
Thu Aug 6, 2020, 02:14 PM
Aug 2020

The absolute lowest are normally 300. I'm not happy with the Pew ideological polls because they sample only 400, but at least that is double this lazy poll.

They would have been better off devoting all 800 to one state

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