What's the deal with Trafalgar Group polls?

[Music Man]

They are one of the polling groups that has shown Trump either competitive or leading in key states. Trafalgar Group polls this week showed Trump ahead in Texas and Arizona, when others have Biden ahead.

I know that 538 gives Trafalgar a C- rating, but I also understand Trafalgar to have correctly polled Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Florida in 2016 and to have correctly called several important races in 2018.

Takes on Trafalgar from people who understand this stuff better than I? Are they a conservatively-biased pollster that has just gotten lucky, or is there something to their model that others are not seeing?

[Demsrule86]

1. Garbage polls...You have a link showing these polls?

Never mind ...posted them myself...

[Music Man]

2. I generally follow the polls as they come up at 270towin.com

Anyone can find them there if they'd like.

[Demsrule86]

6. I posted a link...if you have any interest...that poll was the only one showing Trump ahead

in Arizona...garbage poll.

[TheBlackAdder]

3. Perhaps they were lucky in those states because they got the skinny from Russia.

[ProfessorGAC]

5. That's Not Why

They have a notorious R bias.
Those states were believed to be fairly close by nearly every pollster.
Since they bias right, their "data" called it for PINO.
51:49, and they say 49:51. Hooray, we called it, because 12,000 people voted that way!
They just got lucky, because in any close race, they'll call it for the R.

[Demsrule86]

4. Here is the latest poll that contains Trafalgar...I am not worried.

[SiliconValley_Dem]

7. channeling your best Seinfeld

[Music Man]

9. LOL, I thought about that.

"What's the deal with Trafalgar Group polls?" is definitely not one of his classic bits.

[SiliconValley_Dem]

8. you are a 1 note Music Man

[Music Man]

10. To be fair, there is an excellent samba by that name.