Looking at 538.com it appears Mitts screwups are taking a toll

[BootinUp]

Obama's numbers are trending up again!

Nov 6 forecast: Obama 76.1% Romney 23.9% Chance of winning.

538.com is probably the number one source for accurate poll analysis.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

[Booster]

1. I want it even higher but not too soon. They may dump Rmoney or something. lol

[oldhippydude]

2. not sure they could dump him if they wanted too....

short of high crimes he's their man

[Booster]

4. Then we shouldn't push for his tax returns anymore. lol

[NRaleighLiberal]

3. I wish Nate would discuss the diff. between Nov 6 and Now Cast numbers - nearly 95% on Now.

My guess is that he tries to build in contingencies and what could be on election day, but Now cast reflects today's polling...anyone else know for sure?

[BootinUp]

5. The Nov 6 forecast includes corrections for things like

economic data and other factors that are known to affect Presidential races. Other than that I got nothing.

[gcomeau]

6. Now cast...

...is if the election was today.

The projection to Nov 6 builds in uncertainty over what could happen between now and then.